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Zach Dell

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
901 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

And now you're seeing these auto OEMs and some of these Korean companies and the Chinese companies form JVs to build factories here in the US.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

That's fair.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

I think that the materials problem is one that people like to worry about.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

They're like, oh, we don't have enough minerals to build all these batteries.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

And I think that's just fundamentally untrue.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

I'd point people to Tesla's master plan three, where they address this head on.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

And that is a really clear documentation of the abundance of these minerals in the Earth's crust.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

Turns out there's a lot of lithium, a lot of iron, a lot of manganese, a lot of cobalt.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

A lot of it's not been mined, and the cost to mine it is high, and there's complexities and nuances, and it's not easy, but these minerals exist in great abundance in the Earth's crust, and I think that is not a real constraint.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

Now, getting them out of the ground is a constraint, and there are certainly hard problems to solve there, but yes.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

We will not live in a world where we're unable to build incremental battery capacity because of some kind of mineral constraint or unsolvable engineering problem.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

One way to think about what we're building is battery storage behind the meter at homes in Texas.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

Another way to think about it is a yield curve.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

It's just a cash flow stream.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

I'll just simplify it here.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

It's matching that cash flow stream to a cost of capital that has the appetite to underwrite those cash flows.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

And so we put money in the ground and then money comes out of the ground towards us at some frequency.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

And we have to find the capital provider who's willing to underwrite that amount of money and the frequency by which it comes relative to the amount of money we put in the ground in the first place.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

And there's volatility and predictability and unpredictability in each part of it.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Zach Dell - Powering the Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.434]

And so on one hand, it's complicated asset-backed financing and people have to go underwrite batteries and their salvage value and the volatility of the grid and all that kind of stuff.