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Zach Lloyd

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
730 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

That's not a good business to be in.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

And so we don't want to be in that business, but I don't believe that.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

And so it's like, do what you need to do right now to like get the thing to a good enough spot without screwing up growth is kind of the main point.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

End state's not obvious because it totally depends what happens in the model market.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

Somewhere there's going to be a margin, right?

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

Like Anthropic has a big margin on their API business right now.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

What I've heard is 60% margin on Anthropic's API.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

I've heard 50% on OpenAI's.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

Again, I've heard this.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

I don't know if it's exactly right or not, but if there were no margin anywhere in this stack, I think it's really bad, but there's margin.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

The question then is like, well, who's capturing that?

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

And I think it depends.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

If the model providers are really competitive,

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

even better would be like some open source model that's good enough, I think the app layer is going to get a lot of value.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

If you think that it's going to be like one model provider runs away with it, then that's horrible for us.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

I don't think that's going to happen.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

I think that's, there's too many smart people who are working on building these models.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

So our bet is like, there's competition.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

It might look like G cloud, AWS, Azure level competition, or it might look like actually like open source, like database competition.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp

And then we're going to have an awesome business, but I don't know.