EM Sovereign External Repayment Risks: Staying alive after 2025

Ben Ramsey, Nishant Poojary and Jonny Goulden discuss the latest publication on EM Sovereign External Repayment Risks. This report builds on our previous work, providing a comprehensive assessment of external repayment risks across a broad set of EM and frontier sovereigns. We focus on 18 sovereigns flagged by our risk metric assessment as most vulnerable to credit events. Our set of countries features many familiar names that have faced stress in the past, but there are also some new names in the mix. Our key finding is that the majority of at-risk EM sovereigns possess sufficient reserves and financing sources to meet upcoming Eurobond amortizations through 2026.   Speakers Jonny Goulden, Head of EM Fixed Income Strategy Ben Ramsey, Head of EM Sovereign Credit Strategy Nishant Poojary, Emerging Markets Strategy   This podcast was recorded on October 8, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4987663-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

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