ROLLUP: $300M DeFi Hack Fallout | Arbitrum Freezes Funds | AI Deflation Debate | Productive ETH

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Bankless 1h 7m 4 speakers 8 chapters transcribed 4 months ago
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What recent events have impacted the crypto market?

David Hoffman 0:04
Bankless Nation, it is the fourth week of April, time for the Bankless Weekly Rollup. We got the most consequential DeFi hack, I think, in history? Yeah, big words. I think they're true. I think they're true because there was so much fallout. It reverberated all around crypto and all around DeFi, including our Layer 2s. A lot of questions were raised. This was a $300 million hack. We'll talk about who's to blame. Was Arbitrum right to freeze some of the funds? And what does this mean for DeFi and for the rest of crypto?
Unknown 0:36
Zooming out to all the markets, still bullish, still all-time highs in equities just last week. Can that be sustained? We're also going to be learning a little bit more about Fed chair, incoming Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, and what he believes about AI and how it is going to be factored into Fed policy. It's interesting to have a Fed chair. thinking about how the Fed as an institution will need to adapt to the AI world. And then also, we've got, according to the words of my co-host, and also me, the best ETH thesis since ultrasound money and the triple point asset. We're on to a new one. Yes. Productive money, the best case for East. We're going to talk about this whole thesis and why we think it's the best.
David Hoffman 1:18
Oh, yeah. Productive money. There you go. Also, if we get to the end of this and we still have some time, David, I want to get into a rant, okay?
Unknown 1:25
Ryan's got a rant.
David Hoffman 1:26
Yeah.

What happened during the KelpDAO $300M exploit?

David Hoffman 1:27
It kind of feels like the U.S. government is trying to KYC, let's know your customer, all of our devices. There's some bills I want to talk about. I feel like the surveillance state is the final boss here.
Unknown 1:39
Does that mean I need to like link my driver's license to my iPhone?
David Hoffman 1:44
Yes.
Unknown 1:44
And have that registered with this date?
David Hoffman 1:45
Not just your iPhone, like your MacBook, your like any device. Anything connected to the internet? Anything connected to the internet. I think we got to talk about this and what's at stake if we lose this battle because it's not great. But let's get bullish for a minute and let's look at the market. So David, I know you love sharing your screen. You love showing me some charts. I
Unknown 2:03
I've taken over the charting section of the Weekly Rollup six years into the Bankless podcast and finally figured out that David should do the charts. What do you want to show me? Oh, we are looking at the S&P, which is at all-time highs again for the second week in a row. Last week, we were right above 7,000 at like 720, 7,020 points. We're at now 7,100 in the S&P. And so the equity has continued to look good. We can take a peek at NVIDIA. Not at all-time highs, but pretty close, pretty close.

How did Arbitrum's decision to freeze funds affect DeFi?

Unknown 2:33
And if you kind of go down the list, Amazon, basically at all-time highs. Apple is at near highs. And so if you're a tech equity investor- You're probably doing okay in recent times. The markets are kind of just resuming their normal thing, which is just going up and to the right.

What is the 'productive money' thesis for Ethereum?

Unknown 2:48
Not universally true. It's not universal good news. We have oil going up, which we don't want. We want oil to go down. Yeah, it's up on the weak.

How is AI expected to influence deflation or inequality?

Unknown 2:58
Last week, I think I called it wartime lows, wartime being high because we're in war and a war around oil, but lows in the sense that it's a lower end of the prices that oil has seen during the war.

What are the implications of the recent prediction markets expansion?

Unknown 3:11
We are at now war middle price. Warm prices. And so we're up on the week. We're about up 10% on the week on the oil prices for both Brent and WTI. That's about what? Upper 90s price per barrel? Yeah. So $100 for a barrel of Brent and then $95 for Wexessus Intermediate Crude. And so what does that tell us? It just means oil coming out of the Strait of Hormuz is increasingly constrained. That is not resolved. And then also, importantly, inputs into inflation. Inflation numbers are going to be downstream of oil prices. Oil prices are... I was hoping they were going to go down this week again, seeing as the conflict of war in Iran has somewhat found some sort of... equilibrium, I guess. We'll talk about that in a second.
Unknown 4:01
We'll get there. And then 10-year yields also going back up. So again, they were going down. Now they have kind of trended back towards like the middle highs of wartime 10-year yield prices.

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