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Bankless

ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

05 Jun 2026

Transcription

Transcript generated automatically by AI and may contain errors.

Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

4.233 - 5.955 David

Welcome to the Bankless Weekly Roll-Up.

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Chapter 2: What is Michael Saylor's confidence test for Bitcoin?

6.016 - 11.223 David

It's the first week of June, and we've got Haseeb on the show, subbing in for Ryan this week. Haseeb, how are you doing?

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12.525 - 15.188 Haseeb

Doing okay. It's kind of a rough day, but, you know, hanging in there.

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15.789 - 16.991 David

Rough day because of the markets?

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18.213 - 29.869 Haseeb

Rough day because of the markets. I'm just seeing all the bleeding. I mean, obviously, you know, I think it's okay. I think it's going to be okay, but it sucks to see so many people kind of down and hurting.

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30.305 - 36.513 David

Yes. Is this different than any of the times in the past? I think what you're saying is like, eh, this happens.

Chapter 3: How is Bitmine's ETH offering impacting the market?

37.073 - 41.819 David

This is what we go through in crypto. And this is par for the course.

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41.899 - 59.08 Haseeb

I mean, look, if you're in crypto, if you've been in this industry for a long time, you know, being down 4% in a day is not catastrophic. Yeah. I think we were feeling a bit of a sentiment reversal. It's like, oh, okay, we're pulling out of this. It seems like we're going to shake it off. And it's like, oh, no, you're not out of it yet. So I think people are feeling that pain.

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59.161 - 73.546 David

That's right. We're going to talk about a handful of things on the podcast today. Is Michael Saylor going to kill Bitcoin? Bitcoin is trading at its 200 week moving average while Stretch is trading off of its peg. Saylor is in the middle of a confidence game with a market. We'll see whose wins.

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74.328 - 91.734 David

Tom Lee and BitMind have announced that they're going to issue an equity yield instrument right in the middle of Stretch being distressed. We're going to talk about whether that's a good idea or not. Despite the weakness in the majors of crypto, some tokens are still very green on the week. That, to me, is new. So what to make of that?

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92.155 - 97.562 David

And also the CFTC greenlights, the first compliant perps markets inside the United States.

Chapter 4: What does the major weakness in the crypto market reveal?

97.702 - 125.482 David

Let's start with Michael Saylor. Saylor and Strategy sold 32 Bitcoin for $2.5 million, a very small sale, probably just probing the market, seeing how the market digests it. Coincidentally or not, this is a question that I have for Haseeb is whether this was a coincidence. Coincidentally or not, Bitcoin fell by like 17% after the announcement of that sale from $72,000 down to $62,000.

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125.522 - 137.278 David

It's back up about $63,600. Haseeb, coincidence, Bitcoin is kind of just doing the cycle thing, but the timing is

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Chapter 5: How are U.S. perps changing the crypto trading landscape?

137.258 - 138.359 David

Special? What do you think?

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139.3 - 156.259 Haseeb

Yeah, I mean, clearly not a coincidence since this was announced. I think this was announced on, what was it, Tuesday that the sale was announced? But the sale happened last week. Yes. And obviously this amount of sale is so small that it's obviously it wasn't the sale itself that was absorbed by markets causing this downturn.

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156.319 - 157.441 David

It was more symbolism.

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158.202 - 178.926 Haseeb

It's a signaling. It's a signaling. And the signal clearly has accelerated this, but only since Tuesday, right? And the market was coming down before Tuesday. So I think it's quickened the pace of the sentiment turning sour, but it doesn't explain the full drawdown that we've seen since Bitcoin kind of recovering to near 80K.

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Chapter 6: What does Coinbase's investment in Ethena signify for the market?

179.26 - 194.67 David

Right. Yeah. I'm of two minds. There are some such thing as coincidences. But also, I think if you just ignored the sailor thing and just looked at the price chart over cycles, this would look normal. This would look relatively normal. But at the end, you disagree?

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195.14 - 211.14 Haseeb

Well, look, I'm not a TA kind of guy, so I don't know what's a normal or not normal price chart. I'm like, I think it was true that there was a sentiment reversal. People felt like the weekends had been shaken out. A lot of retail had already exited the market. And so it's like, okay, now we've, you know, we've...

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211.12 - 229.247 Haseeb

Taking our lumps and now it's time to reconsolidate and kind of reestablish, okay, how do we feel about the fair value of Bitcoin? I think it's pretty clear this market is very flows-driven right now and very sentiment-driven. And sentiment, I think, you know, Saylor was probably testing the market, as you mentioned, and I think he got...

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229.227 - 244.409 Haseeb

The answer he was not looking for, which is that absolutely not. You are not allowed to sell like you are a big part of the story of why Bitcoin gets to keep going up. And so I think Saylor likely has internalized this lesson of never press that button ever again for as long as really you think that he is not.

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244.75 - 247.113 David

He's his hands are tied and he can't sell.

247.173 - 252.501 Haseeb

You you think this response has told him, OK, yeah, it's fine. Go sell some more.

252.65 - 279.109 David

Okay, so here is a possible path that I kind of think was my base case. So we have to look at Stretch. Stretch is trading at $95, $95.3. That's about 5% off of its peg. The market cap of Stretch is about $500 million off of the market cap. It should be a little over $10 billion. It's trading over at $9.9 billion. We're $561 million below par.

279.99 - 302.496 David

I think Saylor just needs to take it on the chin and he needs to sell enough Bitcoin to fund the stretch dividends for three years, three plus years to establish confidence in the market. That is a, I can't remember how much that is. That is a sale in the five or six or seven hundreds of millions. And so he needs to sell $500, $600 million.

302.516 - 310.486 Haseeb

I don't think they get for multiple years. I believe the Stretch dividends are like over a billion a year. And he has $700 million on hand, if I'm not mistaken.

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