Let's talk about how the Trump shutdown should've been completely expected....

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Belle of the Ranch 4 min 1 speaker 5 chapters transcribed 1 month ago

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Why does the host say the Trump shutdown was predictable?

Belle of the Ranch 0:01

Well, howdy there, internet people it's Bell again. So today, we're going to talk about how the Trump shutdown continues a GOP trend of shutdowns. As Republicans try desperately to frame a shutdown that is occurring while they have control of the House, the Senate, and the presidency, as somehow being the fault of Democrats, It's highlighting a trend decades in the making. Republicans are now promising to make deeper cuts that will hurt America's working class even more. While simultaneously trying to blame the Democratic Party. Here's a fun fact. There have been six government shutdowns in the last thirty years, the nineteen ninety five and the ninety five ninety six shutdown under Clinton. The twenty thirteen shutdown under Obama, and the twenty eighteen, the twenty eighteen nineteen, and the twenty twenty five shutdowns under Trump.

How many government shutdowns have occurred in the past 30 years and who controlled Congress each time?

Belle of the Ranch 1:03

During those six shutdowns, Congress had eight different congressional balances. That happened because some of the shutdowns last long enough for there to be a change in the partisan makeup of Congress. As an example Trump's twenty eighteen to twenty nineteen shutdown had three different makeups in the Senate. When the shutdown started, the GOP had fifty one seats, then it dropped to fifty. Then it went back up to fifty-three. Out of those eight congressional makeups, in six of them, Republicans controlled both houses. In two of them, each party controlled one house. And not a single government shutdown in thirty years occurred when the Democratic Party controlled both houses.

What was the unique 1980 Democratic‑controlled shutdown and why did it happen?

Belle of the Ranch 1:49

You have to go back to nineteen ninety to find a government shutdown that occurred when the Democratic Party controlled both houses. And in a funny twist, it was sparked by fighting between Republican Newt Gingrich in the House and Republican President George H. W. Bush. Didn't matter. A continuing resolution was passed even when a deal broke down and it was sent to Bush, who vetoed it and started the shutdown. It lasted three days. So even when you go to find one where the Democratic Party controlled both houses, they actually worked through Republican infighting and passed a CR. But it was rejected by a Republican president.

Why do shutdowns only happen when Republicans control both houses and the presidency?

Belle of the Ranch 2:36

In other words, the shutdown was caused by the executive branch, not the legislative one. To find something comparable where the Democratic Party controlled the House, the Senate, and the Presidency. You have to go all the way back to nineteen eighty. It lasted one day, only affecting a single agency, the Federal Trade Commission. And really happened because on april twenty fifth, the Attorney General issued an opinion that said government agencies had to shut down if appropriations lapsed. Before this opinion, agencies didn't shut down. The FTC's appropriations ran out five days after the opinion. And Congress didn't actually expect a shutdown to occur. In other words, the only democratic trifecta leading to a shutdown was the first shutdown.

How much did the 2018‑2019 Trump shutdown cost compared to other shutdowns?

Belle of the Ranch 3:32

It was a giant oopsie because of a new legal opinion. It lasted a single day and only affected one agency. It has literally never occurred again. When Republicans have control of both houses, shutdowns are on the table. And in fact, in the last thirty years, a full half of all government shutdowns occurred under Trump, and they all started when Republicans had the House, the Senate, and the Presidency. His twenty eighteen to twenty nineteen shutdown cost the government more than all other shutdowns combined. The general takeaway is that the party that says they want to run the country like a business has a long history of being unable to keep the open sign in the door. Anyway, it's just a thought. Y'all have a good day.

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