Let's talk about Senate Dems, the ACA credits, and what's next....

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Belle of the Ranch 4 min 1 speaker 6 chapters transcribed 1 month ago

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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

Belle of the Ranch 0:01

Well, howdy there, internet people, it's Belle again. So today we're going to talk about what's next for the Trump shutdown.

What did the Senate Democratic members do that broke ranks with Republicans?

Belle of the Ranch 0:11

Over in the Senate, eight members of the Senate Democratic Caucus voted with Republicans to break the procedural impasse and advance the Republican agenda. Leaving health care for millions of Americans in the air. There is a promise of a vote on extending the ACA tax credits for working class Americans. But there's no promise of Republican support. And more importantly, Republicans have previously backed out of budget deals. Senators Dick Durbin of Illinois, Angus King of Maine, Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada, Jackie Rosen of Nevada, Maggie Hassen of New Hampshire, Jean Shaheen of New Hampshire, John Fetterman of Pennsylvania, and Tim Kane of Virginia were the ones that broke ranks. Some are retiring.

How will the ACA tax credit extension move through the Senate and House?

Belle of the Ranch 1:05

None of them are up for reelection soon. So what happens from here? Procedurally, it bounces through the normal route. There are little delay tactics that can be used in the Senate, but it'll be a token. It has to go through the House, which might need pressure from Trump, because there are some Republicans who understand exactly how bad this is going to be for them.

What are the two possible Republican actions on ACA tax credits and their consequences?

Belle of the Ranch 1:33

So Where does the health care for normal Americans using the ACA tax credits stand? Recently, we answered a question from a Republican who rightfully didn't understand his party's fascination with hurting the working class. And we laid out the options. Yeah, no. Republicans were so busy being contrarian and following Trump's desire to not negotiate that they walked into a no win situation in every scenario. Let's say Democrats cave on the shutdown, which after the election results would be a horrible move for them. Please don't do that, guys. Republicans have two options. Republicans can A move to address the ACA tax credits and extend them, and Democrats win. They get to say Republicans shut down the government, hurt American families and the economy, and then extended the tax credits anyway because they knew we were right.

Belle of the Ranch 2:40

They hurt you for no reason. Or B. They don't extend them, and millions of Americans lose their health care as a direct result. And Republicans lose their votes. Politically, it would have been better and smarter for Democrats to hold the line and energize their base for a fight in the midterms, especially considering the landslide results in the election sweep they just won a few days ago.

How could the ACA credit debate affect Republican voter support and Trump’s involvement?

Belle of the Ranch 3:10

But from a practical standpoint, the final dynamics before the voters don't change much. Either Republicans kick working class Americans in the face again, or they don't. If Republicans cave on the ACA credits, Democrats can still claim credit for the win. Though without as much fanfare as they would have had if they had done it in the shutdown. If Republicans don't cave, they risk losing support among another critical demographic of their base. Another issue for Republicans is Trump wanting to meddle with the ACA. Congressional Republicans might want to extend the tax credits for political reasons. But Trump has indicated his desire to fix a program that he seems to know so little about, he posted a reference to a satirical Dunning Kruger article saying Obama was getting royalties from it.

What’s the outlook for the shutdown fight and the ongoing ACA tax credit battle?

Belle of the Ranch 4:09

If he starts to meddle, he'll likely create infighting in the Republican Party. That might prevent movement. Which is bad for working class Americans and bad for the Republican Party. The shutdown fight is drawing to a close, but the shutdown fight was part of a campaign over the ACA tax credits. That's still far from over, and will likely go on for a while if Anyway, it's just a thought. Y'all have a good day.

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