Let's talk about Trump and Investment vs Tariff revenue....

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Belle of the Ranch 4 min 1 speaker 5 chapters transcribed 1 month ago
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What claim did Trump make about foreign investment in the US?

Belle of the Ranch 0:01
Well, howdy there internet people it spell again. So today we're going to talk about Trump and investment versus tariff revenue. So recently, I put out a video talking about Trump's claimed foreign investment in the US. It's the one with a gazillion in the title. He actually claimed seventeen trillion. One of the things I've noticed is that you often get very self-assured responses when you question or in that case outright debunk his claims. I've got a comment we're going to go over because it can showcase another way Trump supporters are being tricked. And knowing that will be useful during Thanksgiving. Another reason we're going to go over it is because I found this one really funny.

How much tariff revenue was actually collected in 2025 and what portion comes from new tariffs?

Belle of the Ranch 0:53
Quote. You should actually do research instead of speculating on numbers. You have to be talking to idiots who take your blabber as fact. According to PIIE and Treasury data through mid twenty twenty five. Roughly one hundred twenty two billion had been collected by july twenty twenty five in new and existing tariffs combined. Of that, about twenty eight to thirty five billion, about twenty three to twenty nine percent, is estimated to be attributable to the new twenty twenty five tariff package. Primarily on Chinese EVs, batteries, and high tech components. Analysts expect these new measures alone to contribute sixty to seventy billion in added annual revenue if import levels hold steady. I've been accused of many things.

Why is the $70 billion annual tariff revenue figure far lower than Trump’s $17 trillion claim?

Belle of the Ranch 1:48
Not doing my research on numbers isn't one of them. The numbers literally came off the White House website, except for the national GDP numbers and the Sovereign Wealth Fund numbers. Okay, so again, that video was on Trump's claims of foreign investment in the US, not tariff revenue. This is literally a whole different topic. But this also definitely shows that people have a gap in being able to visualize the difference between billion and trillion. We're just going to assume the numbers provided by the commenter are correct because it doesn't really matter. But the highest possible added annual revenue is seventy billion. The number Trump gave was seventeen trillion. Even if this was on the same topic, which it isn't, but even if it was, this would be incredibly embarrassing.

Can tariffs simultaneously generate revenue and bring manufacturing jobs back to America?

Belle of the Ranch 2:46
It's actually worse for Trump than the estimations I had in the video. Seventy billion in annual revenue. Let's say that seventy billion is collected every year for a hundred years. He's not even halfway to the amount he claimed. That's how huge the numbers he's throwing around are. To get to the amount of money he claimed, he got invested in the US in the last eight months. You would need to collect that $70 billion per year until about the year 2267. But here's the thing that Trump supporters are misunderstanding. Analysts expect these new measures alone to contribute sixty to seventy billion in added annual revenue if import levels hold steady.

What is the overall impact of Trump’s tariff strategy on American consumers?

Belle of the Ranch 3:37
So he'll get those numbers and successfully jack up prices on Americans without bringing jobs back. If import levels hold steady, production didn't shift to the US, so we pay more for a policy that failed. See, if production had shifted, import levels would decline and there wouldn't be tariff revenue. One more time for the people in the back. It doesn't matter how many times Trump says it. Tariffs cannot raise revenue and bring jobs back. They can do one or the other. By the way he's been talking lately, it looks like he's counting on the revenue, which basically just made his whole tariff scheme a tax on the working class. Anyway, it's just a thought. Y'all have a good day.

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