Instant Reaction: Nvidia Gets Tepid Reaction to Forecast, Ups Investor Rewards

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Bloomberg Tech 25 min 6 speakers 8 chapters transcribed 8 days ago
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

Carol Massar 0:00
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Carol Massar 1:04
We've got a great group of people joining us to talk all things NVIDIA. including our own Ed Ludlow. He's the co-host of Bloomberg Tech. He joins us from our San Francisco bureau. Kunjan Sabani is Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Semiconductor Analyst. Paul Meeks is also with us, Head of Technology Research at Freedom Capital Markets. And Jay Goldberg. of Seaport Research Partners is joining us as well. Once again, Jay is the only analyst tracked by Bloomberg who has a sell rating on Nvidia's stock.

What did Nvidia’s $91 billion sales forecast reveal about its growth outlook?

Carol Massar 1:35
He's got a price target of $140. Paul, your reaction, pleased with these numbers?
Paul Meeks 1:43
it seems to me that everything is in order like everybody else in the preview commentary the most important metric that they could release ahead of the call was this revenue guide and it looks fine i'm a little bit um I don't want to say dubious, but a little bit confused by the change in the reporting structure.
Carol Massar 2:04
Why would a company do that? A company like NVIDIA that has such a following right now, so many analysts covering this, some people consider it a macro event when it reports earnings. Why change reporting structure right now?
Paul Meeks 2:19
You know, one of the things that they are doing is they're trying to build a walled garden just like Apple did in a previous technology transition by going beyond the GPUs and interconnecting in the data center all the different pieces. So this may not be some sort of dodge, you know, because the company typically is first class, very transparent, but it might be just reflective that they are moving beyond just selling GPUs and they want to organize their business to prove it.
Kunjan Sobhani 2:53
Kunjan, let's bring you back in here, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Semiconductor Analyst, and just get your initial thoughts on these first few numbers.
Kunjan Sobani 3:04
look everything looks kosher like your earlier guest was saying you know they have made us habituated to expect them to come out and expect and to beat by such a range mid single digits and that's a problem when you do that it has become sort of a baseline no longer something that is stands out if they didn't beat with this magnitude that would be something worse uh i do like the buyback announcement and and to address that resegmentation i i think we like that move i mean look our model has been trying to guesstimate this breakdown that they're giving in the data center business by the type of end customers for a while now it's always painful to really get that out of them and figure it out so we like that move that now they are coming up and disclosing that breakdown that also allows people to really see that it's not just the four top cloud customers
Kunjan Sobani 3:54
that they're buying and running the business for NVIDIA. There's also growth coming from other vectors that people often miss out because it was not publicly
Kunjan Sobhani 4:03
showcased. And Ed, we are just getting a headline crossing that the company is saying that no shipments of data center hopper products to China. How does that live up to the expectations of what you and Jensen Huang had discussed?
Ed Ludlow 4:20
I don't know how you did that so quick. I literally just posted that in the blog before you read it out.

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