BRAVE: Three Generations, Three Revolutions: Walkman, Nokia, and ChatGPT - E636
episode
BRAVE Southeast Asia Tech: Singapore, Indonesia, Vietnam, Philippines, Thailand & Malaysia Startups, Founders & Venture Capital VC (English)
27 min
1 speaker
2 chapters
transcribed 17 days ago
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Transcript generated automatically by AI and may contain errors.
Why did human civilization remain unchanged for a million years?
If we went from Wokman to Nokia Phone and went from Nokia Phone to Chat GPT for my daughters who are three years or five years old, who are generation alpha, what will be their technology? Because if you ask me, when I was in Nokia, I read science fiction, I read about AIs that were talking about blah, but seen as Science fiction. So what is the science fiction of today that's gonna happen in the next Twenty years. Welcome to Brave. Learn from Southeast Asia's best tech leaders. Build the future, learn from our past, and stay human in between. No BS on Success. I'm Jeremy Al, Venture Capitalist, Sierra Founder, Harvard MBA, Science Fiction Nerd, and Dad of Two Daughters. Every week, we debate startup news, interview change makers, answer listener questions, and share personal insights.
Join our movement of over 40,000 members and get transcripts, resources and community at www.bravesea.com. Stay well and stay brave. I wanna talk about course of history. And the course of economic history is what was it like for hundreds of thousands of years? For a million years of human history? What was life like? Because you and I are the product of our parents. Our parents had parents. Our grandparents had parents. Our great grandparents. Our grandgrand grandparents. For a million years, some random collision of people surviving. Foraging and making do with life over the course of history has survived to this day, and you and I exist as a result of that. And what I want to say about this is that this is a very interesting chart because this shows on the y-axis how much money you make, what is the value.
economic value of production you make which roughly corresponds to the value that you produce and consume. So your GDP per capita, the gross domestic product per capita on a per person basis, what is your average income? Humans have been around in some formal version for a million years. And what's interesting to me is that for effectively almost a million years, minus about a thousand to a hundred, life was effectively the same. So this is an analysis that basically says that. Basically, every 100, whatever years, the amount of economic value that you generated more was 0.05%. And of course, lots of people died. There were wars, there were famines, there were plague. But on average, it was just a very minuscule amount.
In aggregate of society, you the economy, whatever you want to call it, the agricultural economy we lived in, grew only 0.05% for 100,000. thousand years, if not effectively a million years. This is crazy amount of time. And over the past one hundred years we have seen this tremendous change over the past several hundred years. of how much production we're creating, how much value create. And so For most of human history people made about and we use this currency of a hundred dollars per year of value. Fruits, vegetables, raising a cow, surviving, being a soldier. And Then suddenly now we're at about on a y-axis, again there's a logarithmic curve from 100 to 1,000 to 10,000. Now we're at about on a global basis, about ten thousand dollars of income and production that we're doing every year.
And so this is a crazy chart because they show that most of the value of the world changing has happened only in the past. Several hundred years. And there's this infection point. And so since then, we've been growing about 3% per year since the 18 and 1900s with medicine, sanitation, sailing ships. Phones, music, the internet. So we are living in a very different world that we evolved from. The way we work. the way we talk, the sunlight that we want to have, how our brains and have grown up, what it means to be focused in the wild. All of that DNA, all of that fundamental human biological underpinning of it was built in a world where it stayed the same. And over the past 100, 200 years. We have had to invent.
and the new ways of thinking about our life, the new ways of approaching philosophy, our new ways of approaching technology. And the question that some of you then will ask is, what does it actually mean?
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Chapters
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