Iran deal on a knife-edge, Trump vs Netanyahu & yet another UK Prime Minister resigns
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
This is a global production.
Now, on regime change, nishta, neymar, nada, nothing, nothing, rien, niet, whatever word you want to say, this regime is here to stay under President Trump's directive.
The Iranians will over-negotiate, and they just have an ability sometimes to negotiate themselves out of the picture. And by now getting the leverage they have, they may get too cocky.
If they have a hand on the whole global economy, I think this is also another potential departure, is for Iran anyway, a nuclear weapon, more of a leverage, a threat, a hostage device than the Strait of Hormuz. I wonder if Benjamin Netanyahu will rue the day that he couldn't figure out a better coalition.
Not something that the United States can support. It's not something that I can support. It's the screamings of someone who doesn't care about the lives of others.
Hello, everyone. Here is the latest episode of The X-Files with me, Christiane Amanpour, in London.
And Jamie Rubin here in New York.
And because we always like to be a little topical as we record and a little Trumpy, we need to say that President Trump appears to have employed his unique political prognosticating skills. And even before the current British prime minister resigned today, as we record on Monday, June the 22nd, Trump had posted online. on Truth Social that he was going to resign. Now, I don't know whether this is just following the herd of conventional wisdom or was it something that Trump is very good at, which is, frankly, putting his finger on the pulse. Jamie, what do you think?
Well, I think he was hoping he would resign. He obviously didn't have a great relationship with him. And he does like the UK and loves the British royal family and probably was hoping that the conventional wisdom was going to turn out to be true, which it did turn out to be true in this case.
It did. So let's move on because we'll talk a little later about what this means and will Trump or the world or Britain be any better off under Andy Burnham, who is likely to become the next prime minister, a Labour MP, former cabinet minister, etc. So let's talk now about Trump and the Iran deal a little bit more because we know a lot more about the actual details of the memorandum of understanding. than we did when we were talking about it last week. So the question, is it a 60-day fudge? Is it a capitulation, as many said earlier on? Or is it potentially something that completely realigns not only America's relationship with the Islamic Republic of Iran, but also Iran's relationship with its neighbors, with the wider world?
Because as we speak, Iran's oil tankers are coming back from places where they had been parked in hiding, like waters off Malaysia, coming back through the Strait of Hormuz to Iran, ready to be filled with oil to export now, allowed to export under full market value. What do you think?
Well, it is true that Iran's ability to export oil at the market value is going to be a dramatically new thing and give them money they didn't get before. Remember, they had to sell it at a discount to China and other places. And it is possible, if the negotiations are successful, that Iran's role in the world will change because Iran, President Trump has shown a willingness to do things in a dramatic way, to open things up. And he's talked about a reconstruction fund, even though he's pointed out that the U.S. won't be paying for it. Someone else will. There's always that other person paying. We're never quite sure who that other person is. But nevertheless, that is possible. The only thing that I would caution I would say about that is that the Iranians may be in a stronger position than they thought they would be.
They've admitted, their leader and negotiator, Kalibov, admitted that the Strait of Hormuz leverage was given to them by the United States, that it was theoretical and now it's real. So they are feeling, I guess the right word would be cocky, that they can put pressure on the West, put pressure on Donald Trump to pressure the Israelis, and that they have a new pressure point.
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