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Courtside Financial Podcast

NIO Stock Alert: Q4 Profitability Coming?

09 Oct 2025

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NIO stock is making massive moves in October 2025, and HSBC just doubled their price target to $7.80 citing sales momentum. In this episode, I break down what's really driving NIO's surge—from the Onvo L90's explosive 20,000 deliveries in just 2 months to the ES8 selling out 40,000 units in 9 minutes.We're diving deep into NIO's Q2 vehicle margins at 10.3%, comparing them to Li Auto's 19.4% and XPeng's 14.3%, and analyzing why NIO is projecting a massive jump to 16-17% margins in Q4. With 150,000 unit target for the quarter and CEO William Li reaffirming profitability goals, this is the make-or-break quarter for NIO bulls.I'm covering:Why HSBC reversed their bearish stance after 4 yearsNIO September delivery record: 34,749 units across all brandsOnvo L90 vs ES8 demand signals and production constraintsThe $1.16 billion capital raise and what it means for shareholdersVehicle margin compression analysis and recovery outlookCompetitive positioning against Li Auto and XPengQ4 targets: 150,000 deliveries and path to profitabilityValuation metrics: P/S ratio, earnings estimates, and stock performanceAs a NIO investor, I'm giving you my objective analysis on whether this momentum is sustainable or just another pump. The Chinese EV market is brutal, but the execution signals are undeniable. This is your complete guide to understanding where NIO stands heading into the most critical quarter of 2025.NIO stock, NIO stock analysis, NIO stock prediction, Chinese EV stocks, EV stocks, NIO stock news, HSBC price target, NIO Onvo L90, NIO ES8, NIO deliveries, NIO profitability, NIO margins, Li Auto, XPeng, electric vehicle stocks, NIO Q4 2025, William Li NIO, NIO bull case, NIO stock forecast, battery swap technology, Chinese stocks, growth stocks, EV market China, NIO investment, stock analysis, NIO earnings, vehicle margins, NIO vs Tesla, automotive stocks, tech stocks, NIO battery swapTAGS (500 characters)

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