Daily Market Recap (November 25th 2025)

These financial and economic reports from late 2025 paint a picture of mixed market optimism against a backdrop of structural uncertainty. Equity markets, particularly the Nasdaq and technology stocks like Alphabet, are experiencing a significant rally driven by confidence in Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and the ongoing AI investment cycle, despite warnings from the European Central Bank that AI's productivity benefits are not yet visible in data. Geopolitical and trade policy are critical, as the US and China reached a trade stabilization deal that temporarily lowers tariffs and extends exclusions, even while the second Trump administration’s transactional foreign policy is anticipated to increase long-term trade volatility and inflation risks. Economists forecast a sluggish US economy with below-trend GDP growth and sticky core inflation exceeding the Fed's target, while the energy transition is projected to be too slow to meet climate goals, facing headwinds from US policy reversals, though global renewables adoption, led by China, continues to grow. Global trade, meanwhile, is expanding, but with major economies grappling with widening imbalances and increased regulatory attention on the market dominance of digital technology firms.

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