Could New Hampshire Change the Midterm Calculus and Refugee Stories of Survival 5 Years after Afghanistan
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How are New Hampshire primary results reshaping the Senate race calculus for Democrats and Republicans?
I don't want to spoil stuff, so I'm trying to both give you information as a reporter and preserve for you the kind of feeling that I had watching it.
Hi, everybody, and welcome to Here's the Scoop from NBC News. I'm Yazin Basugin. So you just heard me talking to NBC News Senior Hollywood reporter, uh Rebecca Keegan. There was this super secret screening at the Telly Ride Film Festival over the weekend. And it turns out the movie was about Theranos founder, Elizabeth Holmes, co-directed by comedian Nathan Fielder. So we talk about what we learned about Elizabeth Holmes in the lead up to her imprisonment. That is when this movie was actually filmed, why Nathan Fielder was chosen as the co-director here, and how this whole thing came together. Plus, it has been five years since the fall of Afghanistan, and I am speaking with two young Afghan women who were the subjects of a book written by NBC News president of editorial here, Rebecca Blumenstein.
And we talk about what that exit looked like, how the resettlement process has gone for these two young women, and why it is Rebecca chose to write this book in the first place.
Stop.
Up first, though, this year has been something, to say the least. But the political primary season is nearly over. There's just a couple of races left to set the stage for the midterm elections come November. Today in New Hampshire, voters are cast in final ballots in races for governor, for the House, and for an open Senate seat. And up until now, we were not expecting this Senate seat to be all that competitive. But that calculus could actually change tonight. Republicans test the power of a Trump endorsement. And Democrats decide between establishment and more progressive candidates. So this is a question that we've seen play out before. But what could New Hampshire tell us about where the parties stand weeks away from the general?
So for that, I'm gonna bring in NBC News chief data analyst, Steve Kornaki. Tis the season.
And then we'll do that. And then the general election sprint. And then the general election sprint.
All right. Let's talk on the Senate race in New Hampshire first. So you got Gene Shaheen, Democratic senator, who's retiring after three terms. The Democratic establishment was rallying behind Representative Chris Pappas, and it seemed like it was going to be this slam dunk, right? But now Pappas is facing this challenge from Democratic Socialists of America member career. Rishma Menzor, so set the stage for us here.
Yeah, and it may still, at least in this primary, be a slam dunk for Pappas. No one quite knows what to make of it. What happened was there was a poll that came out from the University of New Hampshire uh about two weeks ago that suddenly showed Pappas still ahead, but forty-seven to thirty-four. And when you consider the endor the uh disparity between the endorsements, you know, Pappas with all the establishment support behind him, he's an incumbent member of Congress and anyone. In New Hampshire, there's only two congressional districts. So half the state is what he represents in Congress. He's been, you know, elected, re-elected four times. There, big financial disparity between them. So the fact that all of a sudden, a couple weeks out, you have a poll that shows this thing getting closer to a 10-point race was it sort of left people saying two things.
Yeah. One, he seems to be underperforming potentially as a candidate. Mm-hmm. And secondly, I think everyone's very monitoring. Mindful of this, the way this primary season's turned out. Um Manzor, his opponent there, is a democratic socialist. A socialist. We've seen these candidates in some states and in some districts. Right. And have that sort of like, you know, last-minute momentum, it kind of seems. So it it it left everybody wondering, geez, is there something happening here? Now there's been no polling since then. We don't know. The Pappas folks have responded pretty aggressively with ads and stuff.
What does Steve Kornacki’s data reveal about the shifting dynamics in the New Hampshire Senate and House contests?
But creates a little bit of mystery going into this.
So we've seen this story before because you got Republicans that are saying, Listen
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Chapters
8 chapters
1
How are New Hampshire primary results reshaping the Senate race calculus for Democrats and Republicans?
0:00–3:56
2
What does Steve Kornacki’s data reveal about the shifting dynamics in the New Hampshire Senate and House contests?
3:56–7:43
3
How did the Trump endorsement impact John Sununu’s primary victory and what does it mean for the general election?
7:43–12:11
4
Why did the Democratic primary see a progressive challenger emerge against Chris Pappas, and what are the implications?
12:11–16:33
5
What challenges did Afghan women face evacuating from Kabul and how did the New York Times aid their resettlement?
16:33–20:29
6
How have the Afghan refugees rebuilt their lives in the U.S., and what obstacles remain for them today?
20:29–24:30
7
What insights does the secret screening of the Nathan Fielder‑Elizabeth Holmes documentary provide about Theranos and its founder?
24:30–29:03
8
Why was a high‑profile actress cast to portray Elizabeth Holmes, and what new revelations does the film uncover?
29:03–32:27
Speakers
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