E318: The Biggest Mistake Investors Make When Building a Venture Portfolio

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How I Invest with David Weisburd 27 min 5 chapters transcribed
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What experience does Michael P. Larsen have in asset management?

You've spent nearly two decades at Cambridge Associates really building portfolios for some of the top institutional investors and family offices in the world. How has that experience shaped how you look at asset management today? I think that longevity in the role is really the superpower. That longevity gives you the patience. It gives you the perspective that are required for success. And when I think about the decisions that I've made on behalf of clients in terms of recommendations or investment action over the last three years, I have no idea yet. how those decisions will age, but I have a lot more clarity on how those decisions I made back in 2010, 11, 12 have behaved. And I think it's important that you remain in place to see the fruits of those decisions.
I think that culturally too, we're a very open source firm. Every GP meeting we have at Cambridge Associates is an open meeting. And so in 19 years and change, I've sat in on about 5,000 manager meetings. So a year at CA in this seat is a dog year at a typical endowment office or a family office. And so the amount of game film of understanding what works and what doesn't is very formative to how we look at things.

Why is longevity considered a competitive advantage in venture capital?

Ultimately, you have to have longevity. And I think it's perilous to move on quickly and not see through the decisions you're making to their eventual outcomes. Venture capital is idiosyncratic in how you create a portfolio versus other asset classes, because most asset classes, they're not subject to the power laws. A good investment is a good investment is a good investment. In venture capital, a lot of it is about putting the right parts that together make a great portfolio. Talk to me about how you put together a venture portfolio versus, say, a private equity portfolio. What are the key differences? One is what you're looking for. Private equity and venture capital, there's a lot of light space between them.
Private equity is often about process, underwriting, you know, the value impact that you can have on every investment venture capital is a completely different animal. It behaves differently to your point on power law. It re the results are dramatically different. And so I think key things we're looking for are our right to win network centrality brand, both institutional and personal. These are the things that I think will play a bigger role in success in terms of portfolio construction. Manager selection is not to be underestimated. It's a vital part of the puzzle, but it's not, in my mind, the most important piece of the puzzle. When you look at how the best performing family offices over the past several decades
what they do differently. One of the things that they do differently is they are larger in their footprint in venture capital and private growth asset classes than their peers. So the size is just as determinant of success as the selection behind it. And it's somewhat not obvious, but if you have a 40% allocation to private growth, inclusive of things like venture, growth equity, buyout, odds are you will outperform one with exceptional manager selection that's only allocated to 30%. The other thing that I think the best performing pools, institutional or family office have in common is probably the least sexy thing, but it is governance. It is the ability to make a plan and stick with it. And that might sound simple, but simple is not easy because we're all human beings, because the world around us is changing a lot.
And there's always going to be challenges. If you have to re-legislate, your asset class strategy, when you're trying to make a manager recommendation or re-up decision, then that is a big point of friction to having a durable footprint in venture capital. It can break continuity. It can sever your credibility, your relationships. And so it's really important, I think, to have the governance very, very thoughtfully put together that affords you a chance to build. It's like building Central Park. You're building Central Park. What you're doing is you're trying to build a future you can't see yet.

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