Show notes
Tariffs are dominating the headlines, but they’re not the biggest risk Jean-François Tardif sees for investors. The President of Timelo Investment Management is cautious on the economy, skeptical that the massive AI spending boom can last and actively positioning for downside. He explains why he’s short Canadian banks and semiconductors, using puts on the S&P 500 and Nvidia, and preparing his portfolio for what could happen when AI spending eventually rolls over. At the same time, Tardif remains net long equities through gold and oil, explains why he sees gold stocks as significantly more attractive than copper right now and tells us his top gold stock. He also weighs in on the controversial H&R REIT deal, why he calls it a “take-under” and why he’s been buying more shares even as he considers voting against it.In the mailbag, Tardif goes in depth on the Canadian banks and explains why taking profits in a tax-free account is a 'no-brainer'. He also talks CAE (CAE), Toromont Industries (TIH), goeasy (GSY) and Propel Holdings (PRL), Champion Iron (CIA), Village Farms International (VFF) and Magna Mining (NICU). Plus, he explains why he’s bearish on parts of the economy, what insider selling can tell investors and where he’s finding opportunities in beaten-down sectors.In Pro Picks, Tardif revisits last year’s ideas, including Total Energy Services (TOT), which has roughly tripled since his appearance, Calian Group (CGY), up more than 50%, and H&R REIT (HR.UN). Then he reveals three new ideas: Adentra (ADEN), a cash-generating consolidator he believes is cheap even without a housing recovery; Colliers International (CIGI), a former market darling hit by fears over AI and commercial real estate; and Dutch Bros (BROS), a fast-growing coffee chain he believes has the potential to multiply its store count over time.Timestamps00:00 Trailer 02:17 Introducing JF Tardif 04:17 Canada, the US, and rising tariff tensions07:54 The AI trade and the risk of peak spending10:18 Why gold may be more attractive than copper11:24 Hedging with shorts and put options13:01 JF’s high conviction gold ideas14:40 The H&R REIT take under19:43 Mailbag begins21:16 Are Canadian banks too expensive and JF’s short process28:30 CAE stock (CAE)30:31 Toromont Industries stock (TIH) 32:47 Go Easy, Propel, and consumer lending risks (GSY, PRL)34:13 Champion Iron stock (CIA)36:27 Village Farms stock (VFF)39:03 Magna Mining (NICU)40:26 Past & Pro Picks ( TOT, CGY, HR.UN, ADEN, CIGI, BROS) 52:55 The Closing Bell: Golf, snowmobiling, and the closing bellSponsorsThank you to our partners at ATB Financial. ATB Cormark Capital Markets is a leading North American investment firm providing holistic corporate and capital markets advice and full-service financial solutions. Visit https://ATB.com/inthemoney for more information.For over 25 years, Raymond James has been helping Canadians achieve their financial goals. Visit https://raymondjames.ca today to discover how you can live a life well planned.Thank you to our partners at Hamilton ETFs. For more information visit https://hamiltonetfs.comAll the charts you’ll see today are sponsored by Wealthsimple Trade. The self-directed trading platform built for active traders in Canada. Learn more at https://app.wealthsimple.com/74rd/83ftma8xSupport for this podcast is brought to you by EQB – the company behind EQ Bank, Canada’s Challenger Bank. For more information visit https://www.eqbank.ca/The Closing Bell is sponsored by The Haliburton Post House: private executive retreats in Ontario's Haliburton Highlands. Reserve your Fall 2026 or Spring 2027 dates at The Haliburton Post House. Mention In the Money for $1000 off your reservation! [email protected] for more information. Linkshttps://inthemoneypod.com/ https://instagram.com/inthemoneypodhttps://facebook.com/profile.php?id=61569721774740 https://twitter.com/inthemoneypod https://tiktok.com/@[email protected] The information provided in this podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or professional advice.The views expressed by the host and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of any organization or company. The host and guests may maintain positions in any securities discussed on the podcast. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions.In the Money delivers expert stock picks, market analysis, and timely investing insights. Hosted by business journalist Amber Kanwar, each episode features interviews with top portfolio managers and financial experts. Covering everything from ETFs and Canadian stocks to global investing trends, dividend strategies, and risk management, this show is made for DIY investors, stock market enthusiasts, and anyone looking to sharpen their financial strategy.Contact: [email protected]#IntheMoney #Investing #StockMarket #CanadianInvesting #FinancialNews