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"The next decades might be wild" by Marius Hobbhahn

21 Dec 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qRtD4WqKRYEtT5pi3/the-next-decades-might-be-wildCrossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more technical ja...

"Lessons learned from talking to >100 academics about AI safety" by Marius Hobbhahn

17 Nov 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SqjQFhn5KTarfW8v7/lessons-learned-from-talking-to-greater-than-100-academicsCrossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. M...

"How my team at Lightcone sometimes gets stuff done" by jacobjacob

10 Nov 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6LzKRP88mhL9NKNrS/how-my-team-at-lightcone-sometimes-gets-stuff-doneDisclaimer: I originally wrote this as a private d...

"Decision theory does not imply that we get to have nice things" by So8res

08 Nov 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rP66bz34crvDudzcJ/decision-theory-does-not-imply-that-we-get-to-have-niceCrossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May ...

"What 2026 looks like" by Daniel Kokotajlo

07 Nov 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6Xgy6CAf2jqHhynHL/what-2026-looks-like#2022Crossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more technical jargon ...

Counterarguments to the basic AI x-risk case

04 Nov 2022

Contributed by Lukas

"Introduction to abstract entropy" by Alex Altair

29 Oct 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/REA49tL5jsh69X3aM/introduction-to-abstract-entropy#fnrefpi8b39u5hd7This post, and much of the following sequence, was ...

"Consider your appetite for disagreements" by Adam Zerner

25 Oct 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8vesjeKybhRggaEpT/consider-your-appetite-for-disagreementsPokerThere was a time about five years ago where I was tryin...

"My resentful story of becoming a medical miracle" by Elizabeth

21 Oct 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fFY2HeC9i2Tx8FEnK/my-resentful-story-of-becoming-a-medical-miracleThis is a linkpost for https://acesounderglass.com/2...

"The Redaction Machine" by Ben

02 Oct 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CKgPFHoWFkviYz7CB/the-redaction-machineOn the 3rd of October 2351 a machine flared to life. Huge energies coursed into...

"Without specific countermeasures, the easiest path to transformative AI likely leads to AI takeover" by Ajeya Cotra

27 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pRkFkzwKZ2zfa3R6H/without-specific-countermeasures-the-easiest-path-toCrossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May con...

"The shard theory of human values" by Quintin Pope & TurnTrout

22 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/iCfdcxiyr2Kj8m8mT/the-shard-theory-of-human-valuesTL;DR: We propose a theory of human value formation. According to th...

"Two-year update on my personal AI timelines" by Ajeya Cotra

22 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AfH2oPHCApdKicM4m/two-year-update-on-my-personal-ai-timelines#fnref-fwwPpQFdWM6hJqwuY-12Crossposted from the AI Alignm...

"You Are Not Measuring What You Think You Are Measuring" by John Wentworth

21 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/9kNxhKWvixtKW5anS/you-are-not-measuring-what-you-think-you-are-measuringEight years ago, I worked as a data scientist ...

"Do bamboos set themselves on fire?" by Malmesbury

20 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WNpvK67MjREgvB8u8/do-bamboos-set-themselves-on-fireCross-posted from Telescopic Turnip.As we all know, the best place ...

"Survey advice" by Katja Grace

18 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oyKzz7bvcZMEPaDs6/survey-adviceThings I believe about making surveys, after making some surveys:If you write a questio...

"Toni Kurz and the Insanity of Climbing Mountains" by Gene Smith

18 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/J3wemDGtsy5gzD3xa/toni-kurz-and-the-insanity-of-climbing-mountainsContent warning: deathI've been on a YouTube bi...

"Deliberate Grieving" by Raemon

18 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

 https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gs3vp3ukPbpaEie5L/deliberate-grieving-1This post is hopefully useful on its own, but begins a series ultimately abou...

"Toolbox-thinking and Law-thinking" by Eliezer Yudkowsky

15 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/s/6xgy8XYEisLk3tCjH/p/CPP2uLcaywEokFKQGTl;dr:I've noticed a dichotomy between "thinking in toolboxes" and &qu...

"Local Validity as a Key to Sanity and Civilization" by Eliezer Yudkowsky

15 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

"Humans are not automatically strategic" by Anna Salamon

15 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PBRWb2Em5SNeWYwwB/humans-are-not-automatically-strategicReply to: A "Failure to Evaluate Return-on-Time" Fal...

"Language models seem to be much better than humans at next-token prediction" by Buck, Fabien and LawrenceC

15 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/htrZrxduciZ5QaCjw/language-models-seem-to-be-much-better-than-humans-at-nextCrossposted from the  AI Alignment Forum....

"Moral strategies at different capability levels" by Richard Ngo

14 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jDQm7YJxLnMnSNHFu/moral-strategies-at-different-capability-levelsCrossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain ...

"Worlds Where Iterative Design Fails" by John Wentworth

11 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xFotXGEotcKouifky/worlds-where-iterative-design-failsCrossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more technic...

"(My understanding of) What Everyone in Technical Alignment is Doing and Why" by Thomas Larsen & Eli Lifland

11 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QBAjndPuFbhEXKcCr/my-understanding-of-what-everyone-in-technical-alignment-isDespite a clear need for it, a good sourc...

"Unifying Bargaining Notions (1/2)" by Diffractor

09 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rYDas2DDGGDRc8gGB/unifying-bargaining-notions-1-2Crossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more technical j...

'Simulators' by Janus

05 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vJFdjigzmcXMhNTsx/simulators#fncrt8wagfir9SummaryTL;DR: Self-supervised learning may create AGI or its foundation. Wha...

"Humans provide an untapped wealth of evidence about alignment" by TurnTrout & Quintin Pope

08 Aug 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CjFZeDD6iCnNubDoS/humans-provide-an-untapped-wealth-of-evidence-about#fnref7a5ti4623qb Crossposted from the AI Align...

"Changing the world through slack & hobbies" by Steven Byrnes

30 Jul 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DdDt5NXkfuxAnAvGJ/changing-the-world-through-slack-and-hobbies   Introduction In EA orthodoxy, if you're really...

"«Boundaries», Part 1: a key missing concept from utility theory" by Andrew Critch

28 Jul 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8oMF8Lv5jiGaQSFvo/boundaries-part-1-a-key-missing-concept-from-utility-theory Crossposted from the AI Alignment Foru...

"ITT-passing and civility are good; "charity" is bad; steelmanning is niche" by Rob Bensinger

24 Jul 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MdZyLnLHuaHrCskjy/itt-passing-and-civility-are-good-charity-is-bad I often object to claims like "charity/steelm...

"What should you change in response to an "emergency"? And AI risk" by Anna Salamon

23 Jul 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mmHctwkKjpvaQdC3c/what-should-you-change-in-response-to-an-emergency-and-ai Related to: Slack gives you the ability ...

"On how various plans miss the hard bits of the alignment challenge" by Nate Soares

17 Jul 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3pinFH3jerMzAvmza/on-how-various-plans-miss-the-hard-bits-of-the-alignment Crossposted from the AI Alignment Forum....

"Humans are very reliable agents" by Alyssa Vance

13 Jul 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/28zsuPaJpKAGSX4zq/humans-are-very-reliable-agents Over the last few years, deep-learning-based AI has progressed ext...

"Looking back on my alignment PhD" by TurnTrout

08 Jul 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2GxhAyn9aHqukap2S/looking-back-on-my-alignment-phd The funny thing about long periods of time is that they do, eventu...

"It’s Probably Not Lithium" by Natália Coelho Mendonça

05 Jul 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7iAABhWpcGeP5e6SB/it-s-probably-not-lithium A Chemical Hunger (a), a series by the authors of the blog Slime Mold Tim...

"What Are You Tracking In Your Head?" by John Wentworth

02 Jul 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bhLxWTkRc8GXunFcB/what-are-you-tracking-in-your-head A large chunk - plausibly the majority -  of real-world experti...

"Security Mindset: Lessons from 20+ years of Software Security Failures Relevant to AGI Alignment" by elspood

29 Jun 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Ke2ogqSEhL2KCJCNx/security-mindset-lessons-from-20-years-of-software-securityBackgroundI have been doing red team, blu...

"Where I agree and disagree with Eliezer" by Paul Christiano

22 Jun 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CoZhXrhpQxpy9xw9y/where-i-agree-and-disagree-with-eliezer#fnh5ezxhd0an by paulfchristiano, 20th Jun 2022.  Crosspost...

"Six Dimensions of Operational Adequacy in AGI Projects" by Eliezer Yudkowsky

21 Jun 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/keiYkaeoLHoKK4LYA/six-dimensions-of-operational-adequacy-in-agi-projects by Eliezer Yudkowsky Editor's note:  T...

"Moses and the Class Struggle" by lsusr

21 Jun 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pL4WhsoPJwauRYkeK/moses-and-the-class-struggle "𝕿𝖆𝖐𝖊 𝖔𝖋𝖋 𝖞𝖔𝖚𝖗 𝖘𝖆𝖓𝖉𝖆...

"Benign Boundary Violations" by Duncan Sabien

20 Jun 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/T6kzsMDJyKwxLGe3r/benign-boundary-violations Recently, my friend Eric asked me what sorts of things I wanted to have ...

"AGI Ruin: A List of Lethalities" by Eliezer Yudkowsky

20 Jun 2022

Contributed by Lukas

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/uMQ3cqWDPHhjtiesc/agi-ruin-a-list-of-lethalities   Crossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more tec...

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