Chapter 1: What teams are competing in the NFL Conference Championships?
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Movement that inspires. What we witnessed today from CJ Stroud was an abomination to the game of football. You realize C.J. Stroud had a 28 passer rating. You can spike the ball on every single snap and have a 39.6 passer rating. Nearly double the passer rating C.J. Stroud had by playing. Houston Texans defense is a generational caliber defense. And Stroud went out there and wasted it.
This is no hyperbole. C.J. Stroud threw a ball so inaccurate that his player got injured trying to catch it. Cade Stover. That is how bad of a game C.J. Stroud played today. If you are a Texans fan, you have to question if C.J. Stroud has the ability to get it done long term. I love the players having his back. Will Anderson, you are a leader. D'Amico Ryan's coach, you are a leader.
They stood ten toes down and had C.J. Stroud's back. But if you are objectively analyzing the game, any criticism of C.J. Stroud today is earned.
Welcome back, Texans. to the NFL versus the picks versus the spread, whatever the hell we call the show. I don't think we even have an official name for it, but it's NFL versus the spread show. And this is where myself, Cab Manning, and Billy Boddy, the man who runs lockbetting.com, and is... Not with other companies. He's his own company, as far as I know.
And he gives out all the information on his betting site, which all the sports, extra stuff for NFL. And this is the time of NFL that it's really hot because we're getting into Super Bowl. How you doing, Billy Boy?
I'm actually good. I thought that I would be more stressed in a week like this, but I've been preparing for it for years. Like, it's been a while. I didn't want to work for the woke, rambling podcast. And yeah, just all the shit came to a head. Obviously, it was always going to be a fucking argument. Obviously, it was always going to be heated words. You knew how it was going to end.
Yeah.
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Chapter 2: What are the predictions for the AFC Championship game?
They've got this one guy, like this big guy who gets loads of fucking appearances on shows. He comes in, he does this steam report, and he's talking about, oh, the book's opened up here, and now it's here. Like, the public have gone in on this. It goes, and like, this whole thing is about what people have bet on and how you should do the opposite.
Do you actually understand how old and how dated this method of gambling is? It is so fucking old and unprofitable. And here's the thing that really fucking sends me over the top. They are running a fucking YouTube channel about gambling because they want to provide information about gambling. You follow me? They are doing podcasts because they want to provide information about gambling.
They are selling picks because they want people to get what they perceive to be the best bets from them, but they want to charge for them.
So when you go on shows and you turn around and going, me smart, public stupid, public bet on everything public see and overreact to it, then you're basically saying that your fucking podcast is pointless and your videos are pointless and there are no educated bettors out there and everybody doing it is an idiot unless they listen to your plays.
And basically, strategically, all you need to do is... see where the bets are going, see what the public are doing, and just do the opposite.
Well, that hasn't been correct since about five years, because we had this little thing a while back called COVID, and everybody was sitting at home, bored, and once they took their hands, once they were done putting their hands in their dicks, they started to look for different things on the internet. after Pornhub had done the job. And some of that turned out to be gambling content.
And some of that turned out to be research. And research led on to data analytics and statistics. And then people started to find podcasts who would teach you how to implement those analytics and statistics. And then people started to find YouTube channels. So they shit on themselves on their shows when they turn around and go, oh, public dumb. What the fuck are you talking about?
There's about 200 podcasts and YouTube channels out there telling you how not to be dumb. Do you think people are that stupid that they didn't actually utilize their time and are just continuing to blindly waste their money? When we're in 2025, ChatGBT will give you a betting pick. All forms of AI will give you a betting pick. There's countless betting websites. There's countless channels.
There's countless podcasts out there. They all pretty much give you the same information so you can make an intelligent pick. No one's fucking sitting at a bar anymore. getting drunk with their buddies and going, oh, next week I'm betting against that team. Oh, they won by 20. I've got to bet on them next week. That is not happening in 2025 or 2026. We're actually in now.
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Chapter 3: How do the Denver Broncos and New England Patriots match up?
Oh, fuck.
And the only reason I was able to... I only benefit to it was being able to plug my shit. So if I did four years without plugging my shit, when you start paying me $50, which increased to $75 and then increased to $100, and then they fucking said, we can only pay you for $100 for one show, and we're going to pay you $50 for the others...
Like I said, they actually gave me a pay cut during this as well. You know, you have to let me plug my fucking shit. Because if you don't, then what you need to do is you need to find, now you're making money, you need to find four years of salary. You need to pay me for, according to my maths, it's a minimum, 408 shows I did for free.
So if you pay me for 408 unpaid shows, then, you know, then I'll stop reading my ads. But I'll stop reading the ads for myself. But, you know, it was agreed upon with the sensible guy. I'd take the feed. The other guy has a fucking ego like you wouldn't believe. He's done a little bit of fucking stand-up comedy. He basically gets in... He's very smarmy.
He gets in bed with, like, all of the other podcasts and whatever. And like I said, they don't care about the fucking results. All they wanted to do was get their buddies in there. They've got their buddies now in there. All their buddies have got a show. They've got some girl in there. She's fucking insufferable and talentless. And I've sent you her stuff before.
And so this is what we're fucking... And it's constantly like sharing their buddies, winners and sharing all of her takes. She's there like talking about, oh my God, like, I can't believe how good this, the rivalry is. This is what football is about. Talking about like the Bears and the Packers.
And she was like, and she's like, has this insufferable video, like talking about how great it is to have rivalries back and whatever. It's like, No one cares, like, what you fucking think. Like, just... If you've got a fucking... I mean, there are some girls, yeah, that are out there.
And even though you know they're reading their shit or whatever, like, they do actually... Whoever's giving it to them, boyfriends, the company, the company, whoever, they do have, like, winning bets, winning prop picks and whatever that they're given. Now, usually with these girls... Because I know they're going to get shit. I find their props are about three, not even close.
Like, you know, sometimes my clients say, oh, I got a yard missing here. I got a fucking reception missing here. They are like yards out. And they'll say, oh, you know, we got it right at the start of the week. We're really fucking sharp. Like, we were on it straight away. We knew the props we were looking for. No, you didn't. Like, you fucking... You knew it was there at the start of the week.
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Chapter 4: What are the key factors in the NFC Championship game?
I like Denver in the first quarter, which is, I think, well, it was, now the lines are all moved. It was plus one and a half. So they just needed to tie it to win. So I don't know what it would be now. Hopefully plus half, that's enough. Because in the history of the NFL, Only five number one seeds, only five number one seeds have ever been an underdog.
And none of those five teams have been losing in the first quarter ever. So there's one. And in this particular situation, with me thinking it's all going to be design plays, and I think Pats might try and run it initially for a bit for the start. Yeah, I think first quarter under, first half under, first quarter under, Denver first quarter, that kind of stuff. But...
In terms of this guy throwing a ball around, I think A, he throws it anyway because that's what Sean Payton does. And B, according to the spread, like this should be a situation where Denver are trying to get back in the game. But then getting back to what you said, I also agree with you.
And, you know, I gave you audio this week and I said to you, I don't know if you listened to it, but if you did and you know you have it, you can insert it at the top of the show.
I'll put it in. I have not listened to it though.
Okay, so let me just get back to this point and say, you know, let's assume everybody listening to this has listened to the start of the show. So Cavs are going to put the audio in at the front. So at the front, what you heard was audio that's saying that CJ Stroud played so badly and his quarterback rating was so low
that it was lower than if he'd spiked the ball on every single possession in the game. If you spiked the possession, and I can't remember the exact number because I haven't watched the video fresh, but if you guys would have listened to it at the top of the show, I think the quarterback rating of spiking every ball is 36. And he got a 29.
That's amazing because, yeah, the interceptions are in there and fumbles.
So it was the worst rated performance in playoff history. And the problem that I have with that is that... they still could have won. He could have won with any of the other 31 quarterbacks in the league. And what's most annoying about it is that they had an unbeaten quarterback on their bench who came in, he saved their season, and handed it back over to Stroud.
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Chapter 5: What insights do the hosts offer on betting strategies?
All season, these two have been number one and two for the MVP. You get that, and then you have your biggest Super Bowl possible. You could even probably sell the rematch of Seattle and New England, because it's been a Super Bowl before. And Seattle got fucked.
um they fucked themselves but that was one of the what that was the worst call one of the worst calls ever um so there's there's ways to sell the other one um but there is no way to sell denver versus anybody i don't think so you got los angeles rams going to seattle and seattle's favored by two and a half i'm very comfortable to take seattle to win this fucking game and cover that 46 over under
Actually, you know what I just forgot to say on that bit? I'm just going through my notes. There was an episode of The Simpsons where they were in the future and Homer asked who won, he saw that the Denver Broncos had won the Super Bowl. Oh, jeez. And it was against Seattle. It was 34-20 is what the scoreboard said. Wow.
it's pretty good um and you know about a simpsons thing yeah yeah uh but anyway so yeah sorry yeah two and a it's two and a half two and a half and the uh total is 46 and a half over 60 years ago the credit union was created not for profit but for better reasons for living for homes for futures the credit union for you not profit
Credit unions in the Republic of Ireland are regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland.
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Yeah, so I'm not sure what to do with a lot of this game. The title was really fucked because last time it flew over and I can see that again.
Yeah.
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Chapter 6: How do the hosts evaluate CJ Stroud's performance?
And it's picked off of your body, you know?
But it wasn't. It was grabbed out of his hands. It wasn't bouncing off him.
I mean, you got to secure the ball on the way to the ground. Obviously, you didn't have it secured if he's fucking getting it pulled right the fuck out of him. He did Adam's. Oh, Adam. You know what? I got to look at it to fucking see again.
But I know. You put them next to each other. Like, Adam's knee is barely down. And he has the ball taken away within seconds. But it's down.
The knee's down.
Yeah, so is the other guy.
Well, his back's on the fucking ground as they're fucking tackling each other, right?
Yeah, Cookie's down. Like, they got fucked over big time. And I think they fucked themselves over.
They shouldn't have been that close in the first place.
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Chapter 7: What are the implications of the Super Bowl matchups?
But they put the Bears out. when the Bears were still lockboxing. The Bears kept it close. The Bears made a fucking touch, a miracle touchdown at the end. All the fucking signs from God were that the Bears were going to win the game, right? They even got the ball back and the Bears are moving up the field. They're 10 yards away from winning, from being in field goal range.
Caleb fucking then throws that pass and turns it all around. So... It feels like to me like that they have all the luck. And I don't mind the shit wins. I don't mind the shit wins because that almost more so tells you in this sport that this team just fucking grind out. Just grind out the shit which you're supposed to do at this point of the season. So I don't know. Seattle played one game.
San Francisco were fucking awful. They lost the game in 20 seconds. Last week.
Yes.
Yeah, and after that, it was just done. So, I think San Francisco, in that situation where I should have clocked it before, that they over-celebrated the whole thing with the Eagles. When you over-celebrate and you feel like that was, you know, you've done a massive thing, like, it's so hard to, like, get going the next week. Obviously, like, Kittle was out and everything as well.
But, yeah, I just... So that's my big regret from one of my big regrets from last week. It's not actually taking the Bills in Houston because the Bills in Houston should have won. It was not having a parlay on San Francisco and the Rams. Sorry, on the Seattle and Rams because that was my original parlay that I had in the week.
And then all throughout the week, it's like, oh, seven and a half's gone, seven's gone.
Yeah.
um donald's injured and it was like oh you know what this like i can't i can't put this team in it i can't put this team in this massive parlay that i've been planning so around about wednesday thursday i abandoned the idea and i shouldn't have done because i because i decided on it and And I'm very good at betting on things that I decide like way ahead of time.
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