Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
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Hola, guten tag, ciao, bonjour. You're listening to The Ultimate European Show here on the Lock Betting Podcast. Follow Lock Betting on Instagram, at Lock Betting. That is a hub for everything that I do. There you'll find my betting information videos. You will find free plays. It's a place to contact me if you have any questions and questions.
What you'll have most questions about is probably Lockbetting.com. That is my service that has delivered 151 months in a row of transparent and track profit. On that Lockbetting Instagram account that I just mentioned, at Lockbetting, you'll find all the latest spreadsheets. with all of the latest ones, the latest three spreadsheets pinned to the top of the page.
We are about to post the month of December. It was a little bit late getting back. In fact, I got it back a couple of days ago, but there has been some drama, as you will probably work out for yourselves. That's why we do have this ultimate European show. That's why we had the EPL show on the lock betting feed yesterday. A particular situation reached its boiling point.
That was a bubble that was about to burst. It was going to burst for a long, long time. It had a lot of pinpricks in the bubble that the bubble survived. And eventually it did burst. And it happened yesterday, unfortunately, when all of my shows for that particular podcast were already recorded online. It's a better UFC and the EPL show. We're in the cans. Come and say Italia wasn't.
The Bundesliga wasn't. Otherwise, I'd just edit them and put them out here. So I did need to do all of the European non-Premier League content, which is what I'm doing. But yeah, I'm not going to talk about that particular situation. I think it is somewhat self-explanatory. I've hinted at what the issue is. And it's been quite clear for years. People listen to my content regularly.
I'm just not going to associate with a place that doesn't put the picks first, that doesn't put results first, that are going to suck up to people and politicise their way up a ladder, which if you're not going to get there with betting picks, if you're not going to get there with results, if you're not going to get there with good plays and making people happy, your actual listeners who are only going to really be...
fully happy with betting content, with gambling content if it's winning. And that doesn't seem to be a priority. And in our defense, it's not a priority across the board. But I just don't want to be tied to it. I feel that now I have enough loyal listeners. I was able to ask people to join a WhatsApp group. My target was 200 and it hasn't got there. But...
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Chapter 2: What are the highlights from the Bundesliga matches this weekend?
Let me win if Roma win the game and I'm happy to lose if Torino win it. We can get this at around about four to six minus 150 here on Roma in the draw no bet markets. I think Torino are out of form right now. They have lost four of their last five at home. So this isn't a difficult place to go to. Whilst Roma, they've only lost one of the last eight away when travelling to Torino.
So this is a place they like to go to. We only lose money if Torino win. This is a team who have lost four of the last five home league matches. matches. So this is a good spot here for Roma, but they're not a team I trust as much as others. They have been on a little bit of a poor run. They look like a dark horse for the title.
They've now dropped off a little bit where it's looking like their best and most realistic aim this season would be the Champions League. They're still fighting for that. So they still should be picking up wins away to the likes of Torino, but don't completely trust them. If you want to get something that offers up more value, maybe take the minus 0.25 at Even Money Plus 100.
I explained this earlier. You win if Roma win the game in this situation. You win all of your money if Roma win the game. You lose all of your money if Torino win. You lose half of your money if the game is a draw. So in this situation, whereas earlier on there was a situation where we cashed half our money with the draw with Leverkusen, here we only lose half our money with the draw.
So if you want to risk it for a biscuit, take that instead of I'm going to be safer and I'm going to take Roma in the Giorno bet market 46 minus 150. Moving on to the final game here in Italy. We're looking at AC Milan at home to Lecce.
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Chapter 3: How is Borussia Dortmund performing against St. Pauli?
I want to bet on Real Madrid to go over their team total because I think they come out of the blocks here flying, trying to compensate for what's happened and trying to compensate for what has been a pretty poor season by their standards so far. I think there's a real possibility that they could be forced to score multiple goals here in order to win the game. Levante could come here and score but
Real Madrid have failed to keep a clean sheet in five of their last seven league games. Levante, they have conceded 30 goals in 18 matches. So I do believe that this is a game where Real Madrid can't fill their boots. But Levante can also come here and score. So I would not dissuade you from BTTS at 10 to 11. Real Madrid and BTTS. Real Madrid and over two and a half goals.
Even Real Madrid and over three and a half goals. But I do think Real Madrid will go over their team total. I think they'll score three goals here. That's how I want to play it. It's a short price at 4 to 6 minus 150 as you'd expect with the wrath of attacking talents that Real Madrid do have. But they have been underperforming as of late. This has been a pretty poor season.
You know that because the manager has already been sacked and we are in January. So it did not work out for Xabi Alonso. Real Madrid right now incredibly in the same situation as Manchester United with an interim boss looking for a new manager in the summer. So... I'm going to take Real Madrid to find their goal-scoring boots here.
Take Real Madrid to go over their team total, over 2.5 goals, at a price of 4-6, minus 1.50 here for this one. Up next, we're going to jump across to France for our final game here on Saturday, trying to run this portion of the show chronologically rather than league by league. This is a four o'clock kickoff in France. We're going to talk about the league leaders, Lens, at home to Auxerre.
Lens are available here at four to nine on the money line. It's seven to two on the draw and it's 13 to two here on Auxerre. We're going to take Lons to pick up the win here in this one. They have been solid for four or five years. And now this is a team who are challenging for the league. They're genuinely challenging for the league.
What's surprising to me is that I have futures on Paris Saint-Germain tied together to other leagues. And I looked at a hedge and you can still get Lons 14 to 1 to win the league. So that's definitely a hedge I'm going to be looking at because Paris Saint-Germain not winning the league for us is a disaster. And this team just continue to win.
So they host an Oxair side who are second from bottom in the table. They don't have a single away win this season. They are winless away from home. They've taken just two points from their eight away games so far. They've scored only four goals. They've conceded 16. That's two per game. So the underlying metrics also tell you that they are very poor on their travels.
They are minus 0.9 when it comes to non-penalty expected goals. And they are very easy to play against when they travel. They're actually giving up 3.75 big chances per game away from home on their travels as well. So I'm going to take Lens to win it. This is the type of game you're expected to win and win easily if you're going to actually challenge Paris Saint-Germain for the league.
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