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Marketplace All-in-One

How confident are crypto consumers?

16 Mar 2026

Transcription

Chapter 1: What is the Consumer Cryptocurrency Confidence Index?

0.031 - 27.765 Stephanie Hughes

Getting a bead on how people are feeling about crypto. From American Public Media, this is Marketplace Tech. I'm Stephanie Hughes. Here at Marketplace, we often report on a monthly economic indicator from the University of Michigan called the Consumer Sentiment Index. It basically looks at how people are feeling about the economy.

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28.666 - 44.145 Stephanie Hughes

Now, a team of academics at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School have used that index as a model to create something similar, though much more niche. It measures how people are feeling about cryptocurrency. It's called the Consumer Cryptocurrency Confidence Index, which is a monthly survey now in its third year.

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44.75 - 50.062 Stephanie Hughes

I asked Wharton marketing professor Dave Rebstine, one of the creators of the index, what he hopes to accomplish with it.

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50.883 - 75.523 Dave Reibstein

Hopefully, what it is that I'm going to be able to do is start to predict what's going to happen with crypto prices and use it as a guide for people about should you be investing, should you not be investing, etc. And we could give some guidance about, you know, this appears to be a good currency to be investing in. And by the way, I refer to it as a currency.

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75.543 - 94.238 Dave Reibstein

I don't actually think of crypto as a currency. And I don't think people do either. I think that they view it as a risky stock that one could be investing in, seems to be on the rise right now. Why not ride the coattails of this comment?

94.879 - 101.526 Stephanie Hughes

How much does the price of Bitcoin affect how consumers feel about cryptocurrency?

102.407 - 130.994 Dave Reibstein

As the price goes up, people feel more confident. As they feel more confident, prices go up. For example, if you look at our index that we have, it actually peaked around April of last year. And it started to go down while the prices were still going up. And then we see subsequently the prices sort of steady and then the prices starting to come down.

131.555 - 154.683 Dave Reibstein

I fully anticipate we're going to see them take back off. But it's going to be some consumers that are starting to look at it and say, hmm, you know, the prices have come back down to earth a little bit. Maybe it's a good time to get back in. I think we're first going to see it with a rise in confidence and then the prices will fall.

156.024 - 163.131 Stephanie Hughes

What does your survey tell you about what types of people tend to be more confident in investing in cryptocurrency?

Chapter 2: How does consumer confidence influence cryptocurrency prices?

280.595 - 308.229 Dave Reibstein

You would expect sort of the 25 to 35 being more likely invested and more optimistic about it. Of course, they don't have quite as much money as the 35 to 54 year olds, which is where a great deal of the confidence and the investment is. And then as you get, you know, to the older group beyond that, no, I'm going to hold on to my nest egg as long as I can.

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308.85 - 311.112 Dave Reibstein

And, you know, it's just gamble money that's out there.

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311.833 - 316.137 Stephanie Hughes

What are people using it for? Are they using it to buy stuff or are they using it as an investment?

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316.538 - 340.608 Dave Reibstein

I think for the most part, they're using that as an investment. You know, we see some places that accept cryptocurrency. We here at the Wharton School, we offered a course that you could take and pay for in cryptocurrency. It was a course on crypto. Did it work? Did you have any takers? Yeah, there were lots of takers. It was sort of interesting. I've seen movie theaters that accept crypto.

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341.189 - 357.574 Dave Reibstein

And I think we will see more and more of that. But for the most part, it's people that are investing and they're holding on to it just like you would in any stock before you say, I think it's peaked. It's time for me to, you know, grab my riches and get out of here.

358.676 - 374.036 Stephanie Hughes

Wharton's Dave Rebstine is the creator of the Consumer Cryptocurrency Confidence Index. Daniel Shin produced this episode. I'm Stephanie Hughes, and that's Marketplace Tactics. This is APM.

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