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Morning Wire

Decoding Trump's Win: 2024 Election Analysis | 12.15.24

Sun, 15 Dec 2024

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Brent Buchanan of Cygnal Polling breaks down the key factors behind Donald Trump's historic 2024 election victory, revealing a seismic political shift and the evolving voter landscape. Get the facts first on Morning Wire.

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Full Episode

3.015 - 15.81 Narrator

In his third bid for the presidency, Donald Trump was able to overcome past shortfalls to put together a decisive victory, winning the Electoral College, the popular vote, and GOP majorities in both houses of Congress.

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16.823 - 42.225 John Bickley

In this episode, we speak to Signal Polling Group founder Brent Buchanan about what took place this year and if it signifies a truly seismic shift in the political landscape. I'm Daily Wire Editor-in-Chief John Bickley with Georgia Howe. It's December 15th, and this is a Sunday edition of Morning Wire. Joining us now to examine how the political landscape has shifted in the U.S.

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42.285 - 58.152 John Bickley

is Brent Buchanan, founder of Signal Polling Group. Brent, thanks for coming on. Good to talk to you again. It's great to be back. Look, we wanted to start by giving you some well-earned credit in the weeks leading up to the election. You said we would know the result Wednesday morning. That ended up being true.

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58.573 - 70.624 John Bickley

On election night, you were here at Daily Wire headquarters and ready to call the election for Trump at 10.02 p.m. No one's being that specific about it, but 10.02 p.m. What made you so sure Trump had won?

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71.465 - 93.686 Brent Buchanan

When you looked at some of the key counties within the swing states, you could see that he was doing so well within those counties that what made those counties good for him could be replicated across the other swing states, including places like Arizona and Nevada, which were still counting votes or just beginning to end the polls at 10.02 p.m.

95.908 - 102.434 John Bickley

What were some of the swings you saw early in the night? What kind of movement did you see in which counties that was so significant early on?

103.194 - 123.172 Brent Buchanan

Miami-Dade has been really interesting because it has a highly Hispanic population, but it's more Cuban and Venezuelan, and that's not really replicatable across the rest of the country. What I was looking at was, if you remember from the New York City Madison Square Garden rally where you had that comedian that opened for Trump,

123.772 - 144.353 Brent Buchanan

you know, make a joke about Puerto Ricans living on an island of garbage. And maybe I'm getting that specific reference wrong, but the Puerto Ricans make up the majority of the Orlando area of Hispanics, which is a very different population of Hispanics than Cubans and Venezuelans in Miami-Dade County. So when I saw that he was doing well there, I knew that

144.853 - 159.149 Brent Buchanan

the mainstream media narrative that Trump was going to be hurt by Hispanics because of that comedian's comment was simply just chatter within the bubble in the elitist class and not actually something that was going to hurt him with voters. And then you could also go over to Maycomb County

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