Trump will make the call on tariffs, but not interest rates
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How are the US President’s tariff decisions affecting equity markets today?
Not much enthusiasm in the equity markets again today in the United States, perhaps because the US President has reiterated it's going to be his decision on tariffs, less negotiation, more unilateral decision making. So a bit of a wasted trip for Mark Carney in that case, he could have saved on the airfare. Meanwhile, a big announcement coming from the US President within the next week. As big as it gets, he says. Good news, he said, but not necessarily trade related, but one of the most important. Important announcements that have been made in many years about a certain subject, he said. Don't know about you but that just makes me feel more nervous. It's Wednesday, it's the seventh of May 2025. It's the morning call from Nab.
Good morning. Well, US equities continued heading south today. One percent off the Dow at the close, not point eight percent off the SP, not point nine percent lower for the Nasdaq. Energy and utilities, the only sectors in the green today. Falls in Europe as well, but not as much. Not point four percent off the Eurostocks fifty and the DAX. The FTSE one hundred is flat today. Bond yields are lower in North America, down four basis points for ten-year treasuries, but up two basis points for GEM and ten-year bundles. Aussie ten years up six basis points yesterday to four point three three percent. On futures now a couple of basis points lower than that. We've got a naught point six percent fall in the US dollar down to ninety nine point two on the DXY index, a naught point five percent rise in the Aussie, just a little under sixty five US cents now.
The euro is also up half a percent, naught point six percent for the pound. And oil has come bouncing back, three point four percent up for WTI, three point one. percent for Brent, uh which is sitting just above sixty two US dollars a barrel now, and a big rise in gold. It's up over three point two percent for Comics today, two point seven percent for spot gold, both well over three thousand four hundred an ounce now. So this might surprise you. Stocks are down uh possibly on words coming out of the mouth of the US President.
Why is the US dollar weakening while the Australian dollar is gaining strength?
Can you believe that? Uh Nab Sally Ald is with me today. Day. He has reiterated that he's going to make the calls on tariff levels. Um maybe there's not going to be any backwards and forwards negotiation. He's basically saying he's going to make a uh make the decision. And also, a big announcement before he goes off to the Middle East next week as well.
All of this has got markets a little unsettled, hasn't it?
Yes, I think so. I mean, you know, I think markets have got themselves into a a a sort of headspace where You know, obviously we had the pause and then it was gonna be, you know, we're gonna have this sort of negotiation with all these countries and deals would be announced and over the course of the ninety days and I guess what we heard overnight was actually that's not how it's gonna work. Um we're moving away from back and forth negotiations and uh the US president he has said that he's gonna prescribe very fair tariff levels on everyone and then it would be up to the country just to Take or or leave it. So that's a little bit different to I think uh where most people were thinking the process was sitting at the moment, uh, and so might have taken some of the gloss off um, you know, the recent rise in equity markets.
Uh and I guess there was also a meeting with uh the new Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney as well in the White House with the US President. And he was pretty clear about saying to the Canadians, I'm not gonna change uh the tariff regime for you guys. Uh and I guess um you know the other part of that discussion was Mark Carney pushing back and pretty much saying Canada's not for sale so you can sort of cool your jets on any uh expectation that we might become the fifty first state of the of of the US. Which he which he was fine on Which he which he was fine on. He said
he said it takes two to tango the president. So he's I'll do it. But yeah, but the fact that there'll be no deal.
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Chapters
8 chapters
1
How are the US President’s tariff decisions affecting equity markets today?
0:01–1:54
2
Why is the US dollar weakening while the Australian dollar is gaining strength?
1:54–3:54
3
What does the US‑Canada trade deficit reveal about upcoming tariff negotiations?
3:54–6:21
4
How is the violent repricing of Asian currencies influencing the Australian dollar?
6:21–8:37
5
Why are investors shifting capital from the US to Europe and Australia?
8:37–11:03
6
What can we expect from the upcoming FOMC statement on interest rates?
11:03–13:47
7
How might Germany’s new coalition government affect European markets?
13:47–15:42
8
What impact will New Zealand’s labor and financial‑stability data have on regional markets?
15:42–16:58