OTB Football
Final One Standing: "Spurs vs Forest could go either way" | Will Man United win away? | Carabao Cup Final
20 Mar 2026
Transcript generated automatically by AI and may contain errors.
Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
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18plusgamblingcare.ie Alright, delighted to say Lee Phelps and the lads are here for this week's episode. Lee, how are you?
I'm really good, thank you. Suffering a little bit post-Cheltenham COVID or something, but you know, cowboys don't cry, do they? So I enjoyed my week. I'm just struggling this week.
It's a man flu. You can tell the truth. Quietly in the break there, Shane was like, oh, I had a great chat. I'm like, he's literally the only person I know who finished up.
We had a few people. I think there were a few people who backed bigger price each race selections, had really good weeks. We had some incredible hackers that were landed, but there just weren't many of them. Yeah, I think on the Wednesday, and like, I don't know if you've got violins under the desk for the punters there, but I think we had the best Cheltenham day we've ever had on the Wednesday.
So on day two, which is incredible. But yeah, one for the bookies it was in the end.
Yeah, Shane had a 50 to one, which he just picked up in the paper. I was like, oh, I like the sound of that.
Apollon de Cherny five or each way on the 50s yeah and then Gaelic Warrior of course in the Gold Cup had to back it so not a bad Friday no decent I got wiped out which meant I ended up stupidly panicking cashing in my Aston Villa not to finish in the top four bet before they lost to Man United I was like oh my god anyway they're back now they won last night and John McGinn is back and Teelam is back and they're going to go on a rampage they're going to finish third anyway I won't regret that
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Chapter 2: What are the predictions for Spurs vs. Forest this weekend?
Yeah, and he didn't start last night. So I think that might be the end of him starting for the foreseeable as well. Aston Villa favourites at home to beat West Ham.
Yeah, justifiable. I mean, not as short as you might imagine they could be, given it's Aston Villa versus West Ham. Even money, which like, there's a few of these teams this weekend. Manchester United are odds against to win at Bournemouth. I know they're away from home. Liverpool, odds against to win at Brighton. Chelsea, odds against to win at Everton.
And Aston Villa, even money to win at home to West Ham. I know West Ham have improved, but they still haven't overtaken anyone. They're still in the bottom three. West Ham aren't big enough a price for me just on the 90 minutes to take on.
Chapter 3: How are Tottenham's recent performances impacting their chances?
Five to two isn't big enough at Villa. I mean, I guess team news is everything here, isn't it? Because if Tielemans is playing and McGinn's playing, then that changes things. Equally, if Crescencio, Somerville...
place for West Ham that changes things as well intriguing game I read a stat where Unai Emery has never lost four successive league games in his managerial career they've lost three on the bounce at the minute so he could well do without losing to West Ham or there's some history created in Emery's career there but Yeah, look, on the face of it, you have to go with Villa, don't you?
I mean, they would be going in a lot of hackers. Anyone who's looking at an hacker boost on Sunday, they'll be looking to stick Villa in there without really thinking about it, I guess. But I'm not so sure. I must admit, that's why I've gone for the draw. I know they seem to have an easy night of it.
in Europe but it's still exertion isn't it and it's still they're not quite at it Aston Villa so yeah maybe West Ham can just hold them to a 1-1 they don't score that many goals in the league either have they you guys have just been saying so you know if you do Man United away Liverpool away and Chelsea away with the draw it comes out at 32-1
tempting Will Man United win away sorry you had to say something no just interestingly Villa are unbeaten in the last six games against West Ham three wins three draws but they're looking for their first double over West Ham since the 2010-11 season and that was the last time West Ham were relegated from the Premier League ah so there you go a little bit of history repeating yeah Will Manchester United are they in a scenario now where they can go this evening and win against Andona Areola who you couldn't get out because you're on yeah
I was at the 4-4 game between these two at Old Trafford before Christmas, and I don't think it's going to be like that tonight. Michael Carrick's obviously tightened up the ship a little bit, but Bournemouth are in really good form. That 10-game unbeaten run, and yet it's just hard to see United drop points.
Even when they're playing poorly, they're picking up points, Newcastle game notwithstanding. They just look so hard to break down. I tell you, performances all across the pitch have been really, really good. There's cause for optimism with Mason Mount back on the bench as well. They're getting a few more options in there. Bruno Fernandes is just...
he's running the show at the minute for them he's at his peak I think Zenith Bruno right now is the one we're seeing in front of us and yeah I think this is the type of game that Carrick you know United can get over the line maybe 1-0 2-0 sort of thing Bournemouth will fancy themselves scoring at home but I just think at the moment they look irrepressible and the fact that they have what three weeks gap maybe two and a half three weeks gap between this and their next game yeah they'll play until mid-April mid-April which is a long long gap for these players so I think United will fancy this one
I don't know, I wouldn't be as confident. I think United's performances kind of regressed after the initial kind of impact under Carrick. And then last week they showed up again against Villa. At times in the game, there was times in the game where they really struggled, especially after going 1-0 up
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Chapter 4: How does the relegation battle affect Nottingham Forest and Tottenham?
Others obviously clearly are. You know, the Premier League, as a whole, was caught out in this last round, wasn't it? It was made to see... I think there was a false confidence about how well the Premier League teams had done. But Brighton have been in good form recently. I think they've been in really good nick.
And I think from a trading point of view, I think you can afford to tempt customers and punters in by giving these prices, knowing full well that they won't all land, or probably won't all land. I mean, you wouldn't be that confident in Chelsea at Everton. Not that confident. I'm not looking at Liverpool and thinking...
oh yeah, they'll win at Brighton, even though they've got a good record there, even though it's obviously in great form. And, you know, if Salah is back, then obviously that changes things because him linking up with Eketike obviously would be fantastic. And there was some great football the other night.
But we've seen this from Liverpool that, you know, they were brilliant against Real Madrid earlier in the season. Then they think they came back into the Premier League and were really good against Aston Villa when they were playing well. And then it all just bottomed out again, didn't it? There's one bet in this game that I do like. I mean, Brighton,
um surprisingly are right at the top of the yellow cards this season they're as bad as Tottenham are in terms of yellow cards and Diego Gomez um has been booked twice against Liverpool this season already he's picked up two bookings in his last two games um and like I say that they're liable to pick up cards he's over two to one 23 to 10 to be carded so if you again if you're looking for a bet builder I'd be chucking that one in there Diego Gomez to pick up a yellow uh in there but uh
Yeah, I can't trust... I'm not looking at the 65-battle opponent. I'm rubbing my hands together.
Similarly, are Everton actually a good price at home to beat this Chelsea side who may be careering off-track at the moment before our very eyes?
Well, the 23-10, I was a bit worried about the fact that I had an interview with Moyes the other day and they were asking about the home stadium and he was kind of saying like, yeah, we do need time to make it our own. I think, I guess when you move into a new stadium, you need those...
moments that create memories don't you and they haven't really had any of those particularly yet you know you need a huge win over Liverpool to like make it feel like it's that there is something that you can latch onto as a fan I just think it's maybe not quite there the home form has been poor Chelsea have won six of the last ten away lost to PSG lost to Arsenal and they drew at Wrexham of course in the FA Cup with a bit of a changed team so Chelsea have been decent away from home yeah
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Chapter 5: What recent trends are seen in Premier League betting odds?
I just wonder, does Lee have the odds for Chelsea to form another huddle around the referee and respect the ball?
If we see it again, Jesus. That was crazy, wasn't it? Yeah, I was looking at it last week thinking, it did make a nice change for the ref to be in a huddle rather than a VAR muddle.
Please not again.
We haven't talked about the Carabao Cup final. What do you think is going to happen here?
And for Manchester City, are they going to go and put a statement performance and then go and change their form around to go on a run towards the end of the season? I don't know. It's irrelevant, isn't it, to the league?
In this game itself, right?
Psychologically, though, I think it can have some sort of impact. I think Arsenal, the last thing they probably wanted to face this weekend, the ball weekend, was definitely Man City. Now, they were boosted last week by kind of having the nine-point gap. But still, I don't think they want to see the City team at all.
And the only thing is, though, City, look, this is the end of the Guardiola era, maybe. And maybe this is the end of the Guardiola...
this is the end of a team and maybe the formation of a new team with Gehi and Semenyo and obviously Haaland is going to be there so I don't know we've had question marks over City all year and I can't see them showing up on Sunday either because I think Arsenal are just going to have too much for them either in set pieces or either from open play as well I think they'll just suffocate them and I don't think there'll be any Guardiola master plan unfortunately
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