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OverDrive

OverDrive - April 14, 2026 - Hour 2 - Mike Johnson/Martin Biron

14 Apr 2026

Transcription

Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

0.166 - 21.571 Bryan Hayes

Our two-over drive continues, powered by FanDuel, bringing you more ways to play your game your way. Brian Hayes, the O-Dog, Jeff O'Neill, Jamie Noodles, McLennan. Confirm or deny later in the hour. Best bets still to come. Mike Johnson will join us here in a few moments. We know all 16 teams going to the Stanley Cup playoffs. There's still some jockeying for position. Some series are set.

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21.591 - 38.794 Bryan Hayes

Montreal's playing Tampa. Minnesota is playing Dallas. Philly is playing Pitt. So we know those are going down. But we don't know the wild card rounds yet and, you know, who Buffalo is going to play, who Carolina is going to play, Colorado, et cetera. Vegas with a big win last night.

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Chapter 2: What are the latest updates on Auston Matthews' future with the Maple Leafs?

39.475 - 44.061 Bryan Hayes

They just keep rolling, man. Now they're scoring goals. They keep putting up numbers. They got stops.

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Chapter 3: How are the playoff positions shaping up for the NHL teams?

44.081 - 45.122 Bryan Hayes

Beware, I think.

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45.203 - 63.13 Jeff O'Neill

Beware, man. Beware of that team. Like if the goaltending can hold up and they get cooking – We talked about their depth all year long. They had a slide, which was remarkable to watch, and it cost them their coach their job or his job. But if they get rolling, man, they got depth and they can do damage.

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64.004 - 71.935 Bryan Hayes

Yes, they can. They have that history. Really good team. Carter Hart, I think, is going to be the man. Yeah, he is. He's going to play, right, Noodles?

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71.955 - 92.442 Jamie McLennan

He's their guy right now, and he's played well. That was the one key. Aiden Hale didn't have a great season. You've got Akira Schmidt who's up and down. And when you look at it, I think that they'd wanted Hart to be healthy, and now he's healthy and playing well. I think he's their guy to start the playoffs. He's a good goalie, you know.

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92.624 - 110.433 Bryan Hayes

How about Mark Scheifele hitting 100 points? And how crazy that season's been in Winnipeg, where they ran out of time. I think if they played 15 more games, they might make the playoffs the way they were playing. But 101 points for Scheifele.

110.554 - 117.973 Jeff O'Neill

Well, wouldn't you think it would be one of the checks? Like if you said to Scheifele at the beginning of the year, you get a hunch? we're probably going to the playoffs.

117.993 - 118.573 Bryan Hayes

Definitely.

118.794 - 126.924 Jeff O'Neill

For sure. Definitely. Another 100-point guy that was kind of sneaky, I don't know, because we kept talking about Cole Caulfield.

127.284 - 127.625 Jamie McLennan

Suzuki.

Chapter 4: What insights does Mike Johnson provide about the Hart Trophy race?

181.998 - 208.877 Jamie McLennan

Montreal, and I know the market we live in, all of that type of stuff, but they know how valuable Nick Suzuki is. He is an absolute rock star of a player. And, yes, I don't know if Caulfield gets 50, if Suzuki's not driving that line. I think he's such a great player. He got 100 points, but he's not a flashy guy. He's just really good. He's consistent.

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208.897 - 217.789 Jamie McLennan

Remember when we were hoping to compare him to Patrice Bergeron? That's what people were like. That's a Bergeron, might be a 60, 70-point guy. This guy got 100 points.

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217.769 - 222.355 Bryan Hayes

Yeah, Bergeron never hit 100 in his career.

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222.655 - 237.094 Jamie McLennan

Again, there's lots of sexy conversations, all of that, but Suzuki's a hell of a player that I don't think gets enough love because there's other people in other organizations, and including on that organization, that is maybe Caulfield.

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237.274 - 259.32 Bryan Hayes

Caulfield and Hudson are the other two that come up, clearly, as they deserve to come up. But I think we've known the heavy hitters for a while, McDavid, Kucherov, McKinnon. McDavid's going to win the Art Ross. McKinnon likely holds onto the Rocket. But you never know. Colorado and Montreal. Montreal's got one more game and maybe Caulfield pots a couple.

260.141 - 270.473 Bryan Hayes

And Kucherov's going to be right in between the two of them in terms of points and five-on-five numbers and all that kind of stuff. Celebrini's not going to be in contention now because they missed the playoffs.

Chapter 5: How is Nick Suzuki positioning himself for the Hart Trophy conversation?

270.925 - 287.174 Bryan Hayes

So it does open the door to who would be the other two or three guys in the league. Drysaddle would have been. Drysaddle's got 97 points. He hasn't played in like six weeks. It's crazy. Well, let's, I guess, bring Johnny in, and maybe he can supply us some answers.

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287.214 - 288.637 Jamie McLennan

Can help us out with some numbers?

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288.657 - 290.841 Bryan Hayes

Sure. Here's Mike Johnson, our TSN hockey.

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291.783 - 304.915 Jeff O'Neill

Johnny, hang on a sec, Hazy. Welcome to our first installment of what is our hashtag, Hazy? We are data-driven. Data-driven. Welcome, Johnny.

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306.7 - 325.224 Martin Biron

I mean, I appreciate you having me in there. We got to work on the delivery of your hashtag for next time. I appreciate the data centric nation. Although we were messaging before and I was, you know, trying to gauge we're always going to go with this. And he did not give me a ton of direction. Well, you're such an idiot.

325.304 - 335.678 Jeff O'Neill

I said, you better have some numbers, Johnny. And you said, why don't you take me in a direction? And I said, I don't have any numbers. Yeah.

336.248 - 340.253 Bryan Hayes

Well, how about the numbers that Noodles was digging up on Suzuki?

341.174 - 343.576 Jamie McLennan

Oh, I want your thought on Suzuki.

344.217 - 347.661 Bryan Hayes

For the heart, like in-heart contention. Where do you stand on that?

Chapter 6: How does data influence decision-making in NHL player evaluations?

732.904 - 739.278 Martin Biron

I know there's been this big conversation about the Norris and whether Bouchard belongs in that conversation. He does. He absolutely does.

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739.438 - 740.601 Jamie McLennan

I agree. I agree.

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740.882 - 748.386 Martin Biron

Quality of teammates, though. Who do they play with most? What do they, you know... What did McDavid do for him? What did he do for McDavid? All that kind of stuff.

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748.626 - 767.668 Martin Biron

You look at all those things and try to find commonalities where you could say, okay, by looking at these numbers, this performance, I could say he's a bit better than Pasternak in a similar situation because you flesh out through the numbers a comparable that's a bit more precise than just sort of Boston versus Montreal.

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767.688 - 788.558 Bryan Hayes

With Mike Johnson. All right, so this is a lot of looking back. Let's look ahead here. Let's bring a couple of Leafs into focus here. Of these two players, who do you have more faith will have an A-plus season next year relative to what their expectations should be? Austin Matthews or William Nylander?

791.062 - 814.562 Martin Biron

William Nylander. Expectations are lower, right? Like, I think if Willie does sort of what he did this year, that's, you know... If he gets 37 goals and 95 points and plays 82 games or... is for that, which he is on base this year to be over 100 points if he were to play every game. 12th in the league in points per game. 12th! I don't expect him to be higher than 12th.

814.802 - 831.938 Martin Biron

That should be an A season for William Nylander. I think because he's younger, he's healthier, his legs are not in question, his movement is not in question. He's very likeable. to do what he is supposed to do. Austin, a lot more question marks. I think his health.

832.599 - 856.132 Martin Biron

I also think the new coach will impact him and his usage and his game more than, sorry, if there is a new coach, the new direction will impact him more than it impacts Willie. Does he get freed up a little bit? Does he get different kind of wingers, different kind of assignments, different kind of usage? I put all that, more questions. So, yeah, confidence level for Willie, pretty high.

856.452 - 867.608 Martin Biron

Confidence level for Austin, he'll be good. He'll be solid B material. But will he be A++, which for him is 50-plus gold and 100 points? Less certain.

Chapter 7: What are the expectations for William Nylander and Auston Matthews next season?

2327.118 - 2329.282 Bryan Hayes

That's the hot new thing in sports.

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2329.302 - 2331.766 Jamie McLennan

No, you just got to go, they're brutal. They're terrible.

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2331.786 - 2353.638 Bryan Hayes

Chicago's awful. They'll make the playoffs next year. Here's an idiot in Toronto calling it. All right, best bets still to come. Powered by FanDuel. There it is. Confirm or deny. We're going to call up Marty, I guess, and ask if we can use dis or data. If we can, he may say yes, he may say no. So we'll check in with Marty quickly. Overdrive continues up on YouTube Live.

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2354.238 - 2362.45 Unknown

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2362.47 - 2365.734 Katy Perry

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2384.519 - 2398.483 Bryan Hayes

Confirm or Deny is brought to you by Boston Pizza. This playoffs BP is summoning the hockey gods to tilt the ice in Canada's favor. Join us and feast like a hockey god on our new playoff menu. See you for puck drop at your local BP.

2399.004 - 2404.654 Jeff O'Neill

This is our new theme song for potentially this or data.

2406.203 - 2425.17 Bryan Hayes

Revenge of the nerds. Okay. Dis or data, but we can't use that unless Marty signs off on it. Right. Marty Braun owns this bit, not only with us, but with everyone. There is Marty looking phenomenal. Marty, we... We have a question for you, Hazy.

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