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OverDrive

OverDrive - January 19, 2026 - Hour 2 - Luke Willson

19 Jan 2026

Transcription

Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

2.191 - 23.993 Unknown

Okay, okay. First question. When does Desjardins Insurance suggest you switch to winter tires? Below seven degrees. Easy. Nice. Next. What's a smart way to save money on your home insurance? Switch to Desjardins Insurance and you can save up to $900 when you bundle home and auto. Easy. Get insurance that's really big on care. Desjardins Insurance.

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24.013 - 35.74 Unknown

Here for your home, auto, life, and business needs. Certain conditions apply. Hour 2 Overdrive continues, powered by FanDuel, bringing you everything from the opening line to the final score.

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37.044 - 45.227 Bryan Hayes

Brian Hazy, O'Doug, Jeff O'Neill, Jamie Noodles, McLennan. There he is, Luke Wilson. Noodles, let's stay humble today. No matter what happens, let's stay humble.

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45.327 - 45.967 Unknown

Shut up, dude.

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45.987 - 50.894 Bryan Hayes

Shut up. Nauseating. It's so nauseating. It's worse than being a dick, like, honestly.

51.054 - 51.735 Jamie McLennan

Just shut up.

52.736 - 56.42 Bryan Hayes

I'd rather you guys were, exactly, be obnoxious, be loud.

56.441 - 58.884 Luke Willson

Noodles, just ignore the noise and stay humble, man.

58.964 - 69.677 Jamie McLennan

It's so aggravating. I was telling them last hour, the fact that you would say, stay humble, and then just a shot for Al's brother here. Right.

Chapter 2: What insights does Luke Willson provide on the NFL Divisional Round matchup?

69.657 - 91.324 Bryan Hayes

Just crushing. It's so gutless. It's so gutless. It is. And poor Al's brother, man. He is in a shell right now. Like, we're doing okay. Not well enough, evidently, but you guys are 5-0 on your picks. We're 3-2. We bet against the Bears twice, and they've had two of the most miracle, outrageous backdoor covers in the history of the game. You got to chew on it.

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91.464 - 106.223 Bryan Hayes

Credit to the Bears for covering and winning the first time, covering and losing the second time. But we still feel pretty good, right, O? Like, I know you're... Steve Kerr and Antonio Brown, you're in a weird place right now. But we still believe in you and believe in our process.

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106.263 - 124.029 Luke Willson

And there's a lot of points still up for grabs. Yeah, I will say this, boys. What's kind of been fun about this whole thing for me is just how much it matters at this point. Partially because we got shelled during the regular season. But yesterday, if you can picture this, I'm sitting on Jay's desk and it's fourth down. Those games end and we come on right away.

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124.069 - 144.552 Luke Willson

And as soon as Caleb starts pirouetting out, I'm thinking... They covered. Yeah. 100%. When they're chasing him out of the pocket, I'm like, done. And that's where my heart goes. And then all of a sudden, as soon as Komet catches it, I'm actually cheering go for two. Not because I really want them to go for two. I just know that if they go for two, the cover is safe either way.

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146.253 - 168.554 Bryan Hayes

Secure the cover. So can you speak to this? Like, I think most people understand. Brilliant play from Caleb Williams. I'm not taking anything away from him. Elusive. His arm to be on his back foot, throw that up. There was like an Aaron Rodgers vibe to that. But it's incredibly lucky. Like he wasn't saying, that wasn't a play. Like I'm going to scramble and find Komet in the end zone.

168.594 - 168.934 Luke Willson

No, no, no.

168.954 - 172.657 Bryan Hayes

It was broken down coverage. Everything was covered well. Brutal coverage by the Rams.

172.677 - 174.839 Luke Willson

Yes, everything was covered well early, I'm saying. Yes.

174.979 - 176.701 Bryan Hayes

And then I don't know what the hell the defender was doing.

Chapter 3: What are the implications of Josh Allen's clutch mentality on his performance?

233.684 - 254.228 Luke Willson

Going into games, you'll appreciate this. We had two two-point plays every week. Now, if we needed more, we could obviously add more. But I remember being in the huddle when we scored and said, okay, we're going for two. One of the plays I was our first read and really our only read. This play, if you look at it, and it's actually a great job, I'm not even in the read.

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254.648 - 271.772 Luke Willson

So what we wanted was Doug. So I remember being in the huddle being like... Doug Baldwin. Yeah, Doug Baldwin. In the huddle, I'm like, please call my number. And then they call a formation, and I'm like, man. So Russ is rolling out to the right. We're hoping to have man coverage to the right. But the Packers pass it off. See how they pass it off? We're trying to go to Doug.

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271.752 - 285.305 Luke Willson

I remember sitting there being like, oh man, this play's dead. Like, there's no world. And when that ball was in the air, I'm like, Russ, there's no chance you threw this to me. And then obviously it ended up being a huge play because Aaron drove the field and tied the game up.

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285.325 - 294.895 Bryan Hayes

Right, exactly. And now the difference also, not that we need to review from 12 years ago, but you broke in that ball. Like, Komet kept running towards the back of the end zone and it hit him.

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294.935 - 311.994 Luke Willson

But anyway, that... It was a gong show. Again, I... It's just sometimes you get lucky. You get very lucky as an offense. It's kind of a prayer, Hail Mary, throw it up. I get why he went to commit because he's a bigger frame. But I think the Rams would have been pretty sick if they didn't.

312.635 - 336.107 Bryan Hayes

Crushing for the Bears that they lose in overtime. Yes. And there's a lot of conversation going on right now about whether or not if you win the coin toss, you defer or take the ball where... I believe the Bills won the toss, deferred, lost in overtime. I believe the Bears won the toss, deferred, lost in overtime.

336.587 - 340.894 Bryan Hayes

Small sample size, but where do you stand on... I'm still on the take the ball second.

341.275 - 366.212 Luke Willson

I really am, and it's unfortunate, but I actually just went over this play for a more analytical thing. I really think right now, if you're Ben Johnson, you're the Chicago Bears, the interception in overtime, which led to the field goal that you lost the game on. I don't know how they don't execute that. That has nothing to do with Caleb Williams. It has nothing to do with Caleb Williams.

367.514 - 392.09 Luke Willson

Zach Kolaris just kind of broke it all down for me. We had kind of the all-24 angle of it. It is maybe the perfect play call. It is executed well. And DJ Moore needs to come flat there. And it is a... Did he quit on that route? I don't know if quit's the word or just like... It gets weird, but instead of... It's bad when you see it from the other angle. He needs to be flat there.

Chapter 4: How did Sean McDermott's dismissal impact the Buffalo Bills?

412.748 - 420.323 Jeff O'Neill

Partsy, how big are the roundtables regarding their quarterback? Like you saw in Houston.

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420.927 - 445.197 Jeff O'Neill

with cj stroud like they have to be looking at that guy and maybe kayla williams to williams to a certain degree where it's like this guy can get us that far but is he really going to be the guy to win us two more games is he capable of doing that i think hayes brought it up in the first hour it's like some buffalo fans must be saying about josh allen he's what the best quarterback he's the best football player in the world but we don't know if he can win the big one

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445.295 - 465.872 Luke Willson

Yeah, so there's three guys you mentioned there, and I have some pretty strong stances on all three. I'll start with the most positive, which for me right now is Caleb Williams. You think he can be the guy? Yes, I do. I do because the things that I'd like to see him get better at are the easy throws. That fourth and four is a prime example.

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466.092 - 475.386 Luke Willson

I didn't tell Dougie to pull this up, but there was a second and four on that drive where it's a quick little speed out, and he fires a fastball, I believe it was over Luther Burton's head.

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475.703 - 496.381 Luke Willson

And if he's just accurate with a five-yard speed out, six-yard speed out, we catch that ball, we get out of bounds, and now all of a sudden it's first and 10 from I think the 12-ish, and the clock has stopped because we're out of bounds. We don't need that miraculous finish. Those are easy to clean up. You saw the growth of this guy with Ben Johnson.

497.022 - 519.106 Luke Willson

As strange as Ben Johnson is with the handshakes or some of the off-the-field theatrics, I don't think there's any denying that he's an offensive guru. The talent, the arm talent, the escapability, the athleticism, I couldn't be more brighter in the fact that Ben Johnson's there. I could not be more optimistic about his future. Bingo. So that would be my first one.

519.126 - 520.207 Unknown

I like where Williams is at.

520.267 - 532.455 Luke Willson

And he's only near two. I think you've got to give him more time. I do think this guy can go the distance. I'll go to the one I have the most questions about, which is C.J. Stroud. And what's strange here is you went from... A.K.A.

532.475 - 532.996 Jeff O'Neill

Al's brother.

Chapter 5: What potential Super Bowl matchups are being discussed?

629.502 - 648.748 Luke Willson

I do. I don't think the sky has completely fallen. Obviously, there's a little recency bias because the last few games have been horrid. I think you can get this guy back on track, but I do think there needs to have some sort of conversation in the offseason with Nick Haley, their new OC, being like, how do we develop this guy?

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649.329 - 663.262 Luke Willson

And I hate to bring this up, but it's like after his first year, he had Bobby Slowik as his OC. Everyone was like, hey, he was in the MVP chat at the end of the year. The second year, he regressed a bit, and everyone blamed Bobby Slowik. Let's bring in a new guy.

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664.385 - 677.93 Luke Willson

And I didn't love that, you know, especially as Bobby Slowik was a guy that was potentially going to be a head coach somewhere that year. He was getting interviews. And certainly now, you're probably sitting there thinking, hey, maybe it wasn't Bobby Slowik. It's trouble there.

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678.11 - 684.858 Jeff O'Neill

All right, let's get to Josh Allen. He had some stupid comments earlier in the year where he felt like he said he was feeling old. Yes.

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686.259 - 691.405 Bryan Hayes

Not good. All right, Josh Allen. Let's get to the meat and potatoes here.

691.425 - 692.626 Jamie McLennan

Interception, all of that.

692.767 - 711.218 Luke Willson

Yeah, the whole nine yards. I don't love when they're like, these are things that annoy me as an ex-player, and they're like, oh, Josh Allen, four turnovers or whatever it was. Some of the turnovers, his fault, 1,000%. The end of the half cannot happen in any situation other than that was a massive play. Obviously, the three points jammed him in the end.

711.238 - 731.489 Luke Willson

There is the pick that was in Denver's end zone. Again, I actually went over that somewhat recently with Calaris. It was the perfect read. It was the perfect play call. It was the perfect throw as far as we didn't force anything. He missed the throw. That is his fault. He missed the throw. That was not a stupid idea. We missed the throw by about five yards or else that's a touchdown.

732.69 - 753.255 Luke Willson

Now we get into the one that I don't pin on him was when Bonito drilled him in the back. This is why I don't like when people just blanket statement, oh, Josh had this many turnovers. You watch that playback. Shakir misses his chip. He's supposed to chip outside shoulder. Dawkins sets shallow because he's expecting his chip. It's a waterfall effect here. You also have a guard sliding that way.

Chapter 6: How do the Maple Leafs stack up against the Wild?

783.58 - 790.054 Luke Willson

And then two was to McCole Hardman in overtime. Was that in the flat? It was kind of a corner.

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790.776 - 801.251 Bryan Hayes

Because I thought the third down in the flat, he was getting rushed. It led to the field goal. I can't remember if it was Palmer or Cooks he threw it to, but he underthrew it. Remember the guy picked it up and ran it into the end zone?

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801.271 - 802.352 Luke Willson

Yes, yes, yes.

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802.652 - 816.024 Bryan Hayes

That was a bad throw. Yes. So he had a few of those. Yes. I mean, that's my concern is McDermott's taking the heat today. I didn't like McDermott's postgame. Maybe he was trying to save his job. I had a lot of thoughts on that, too. I thought it was just excuse after excuse.

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816.124 - 816.245 Luke Willson

Bingo.

816.265 - 836.595 Bryan Hayes

What was me, Buffalo? Why can't we catch a break? He had three opportunities, Allen, to win that game. Bingo. In my opinion, we came into the week. I said it a million times. I've heard you say it. Everyone said it. This defense and the special teams, everyone else on the team, the whole objective is to put the ball in his hands late and give him a chance to win it. Yes.

836.835 - 852.601 Bryan Hayes

When they're up 24-3, he could have won that game if he drives them into six. If they go up eight, I don't think Nix is getting into the end zone twice. Because they would have to score a touchdown, then a two-point conversion. I'm not sure he does that. At a minimum, if they tie it, ball's in your hand, all you need is a field goal to win it. Couldn't do it.

853.042 - 873.99 Bryan Hayes

Late, obviously, in regulation, the throw to Knox was a bad throw. Was he pressured? Was there some arms up at the line? Yes, but still, it's a field throw and he couldn't make it. And then in overtime, three and out, he's got the ball. He can't even put him in a position to kick a field goal. So it's McDermott's fault. It's Bean's fault. It's the defense's fault. Unfortunately...

874.426 - 888.101 Bryan Hayes

To me, they did everything they could to put him in an opportunity to have his Mahomes moment, and he didn't capitalize. He didn't do it. And now you've got to have whispers in Buffalo, does he have the clutch gene? Can he close?

Chapter 7: What are Bryan's FanDuel Best Bets for the upcoming games?

912.609 - 930.618 Luke Willson

Knox ran the route, man. Okay, time out now. Let's get into this. So you talk about Mahomes. Mahomes, in his early years, had Tyreek Hill, who was phenomenal. Mm-hmm. And prime Travis Kelsey, who there's an argument that he is the best pass-catching tight end in the history of the game.

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930.638 - 942.012 Bryan Hayes

100%. And they changed the rules because of that game, because of what, for Josh Allen, because they're like, this isn't fair. Since they changed the rules, I believe he's 0-3 in the big overtime game.

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942.032 - 955.251 Luke Willson

The Knox thing, I get, and again, I just watched this, where it's like, hey, he throws a little high, Knox goes a little flat, Yeah, I think that's one he's going to want back. He's going to want back badly.

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955.752 - 971.551 Luke Willson

But you mentioned overtime, and I'm pretty sure it was some Nicole Hardman, and it was a little condensed formation, kind of smash concept, where that's one where I think he's expecting Nicole Hardman to break that flat. Mm-hmm. And it's in goal. Harmon's caught what? Three balls from the guys here?

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971.571 - 973.313 Bryan Hayes

Well, he's on the practice squad like a week ago.

973.493 - 995.085 Luke Willson

You know, that's where you kind of need a guy that you've thrown the football to consistently. So I do get where you're coming from. But my whispers for Josh not having the clutch gene, just because this game he didn't have it, he has had massive clutch genes and moments throughout the year and throughout his career. I mean, he's eight years in.

995.145 - 997.228 Jamie McLennan

Do you think the coach should have got the gate then?

998.086 - 1012.579 Luke Willson

Me personally? You guys know I don't love throwing the conspiracy hat on. I do not love throwing it on. But I've got it on today based on what happened. So after the game, this is the kind of stuff that I look into. I find very fascinating.

1012.959 - 1038.715 Luke Willson

You talk about the whole catch-no-catch thing, and I'm not going to get bogged down in that minutiae, but I thought it was very strange how he was like, I'm standing up for Buffalo. I call it, and there's some reporter said that McDermott called him on the plane and was like, this is a catch. I'm looking at it right now. Again, Let's go over this whole thing, sure. It's not clear.

Chapter 8: What are the challenges facing the Bills and their coaching staff?

1124.557 - 1147.806 Bryan Hayes

Not good enough, or decent roster, but could use improvement. He's taken a ton of heat in Buffalo for his lack of weapons he's surrounded Allen with. And we'll see what he does this offseason. Immense pressure. I just don't know who they're going to hire. The favorite right now is Brian Dable. to come in and be the head coach. Yes, it is.

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1148.207 - 1152.638 Bryan Hayes

Like on a lot of books, Brian Dable's the favorite to take over as the head coach of the Buffalo Bills.

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1152.678 - 1156.588 Jamie McLennan

Luke, would you take Dable or would you take Tomlin?

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1156.608 - 1161.78 Luke Willson

Wow, that's a great question. Thank you. Wow, that's a great – that one stumped me right there.

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1162.302 - 1162.502

All right.

1164.052 - 1168.538 Jeff O'Neill

Dude, you've been trashing Dable for three years. How could you even be thinking about it?

1168.558 - 1180.272 Bryan Hayes

I don't know if Tomlin is the guy I would want in Buffalo either. He gives me a McDermott vibe. Defensive, rah-rah guy that's going to get you to the playoffs. McDermott gets them to the playoffs every single year.

1180.673 - 1188.244 Luke Willson

For that team, I would take Dable. But I would prefer neither. I don't like Dable as a head coach.

1188.264 - 1197.238 Jeff O'Neill

Neither do I. Guys, I'm pushing this. Little Mike McDaniel wheeling around with his glasses on in a toque. Go, Bills, go.

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