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P1 with Matt and Tommy

Our 2026 Miami GP predictions

28 Apr 2026

Transcription

Chapter 1: What are the hosts' thoughts on Tommy's time in New Zealand?

5.583 - 23.965 Matt

Hello everybody and welcome back to the P1 Podcast with Matt and Tommy. Yes, Tommy is here. That is correct. He's been very generous with his time. You know, of course, about 300 days of the year he's on holiday. But he is now here.

0

23.985 - 35.463 Tommy

I love that. That's the thing. I saw a comment that was like, that Tommy's lack of being on the pod is ridiculous. We've done like 700 episodes and I've missed about three, I think.

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35.483 - 56.324 Matt

Yeah, I know. But those three are what we really miss you for. But you are here. You are in New Zealand before we both head to Australia very shortly. I mean, how are you enjoying New Zealand? People have, of course... I mean, you've been recognised already in a very uncompromising position of you on a zipline, which was impressive.

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56.906 - 63.805 Tommy

Yeah, shout out to the guy on the zipline or at the end of the zipline. We have this running joke now.

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63.785 - 86.704 Tommy

uh between uh you and our producer charlie that basically like everywhere i go now it seems to be recognized if i just go out in public um which is really weird and uh i happened when i went to portugal and it's it's always weirder when it's around the world and yeah i ended up doing this this zip line thing got to the bottom and the first thing the guy said to me is

86.937 - 108.658 Tommy

uh enjoying the the break i was like oh okay the break from what the zip line or f1 do you know me yeah so yeah that was uh that was really cool you did some yeah luge luge i did luge with grace yeah practice her racing lines and things she's a she's a proper daredevil um she's she's gonna be bungee jumping when she's like 10

108.638 - 122.442 Matt

So if you don't know what luge is, it's essentially like downhill racing. Every video I've ever seen looks insanely dangerous. Can you, as someone who has actually done it, tell us how dangerous it actually is?

122.482 - 143.939 Tommy

It's not as crazy, but I did get up on two wheels a few times. It's good fun. It depends how much you send it. You can control your speed, basically, by moving the handlebars forward and backwards. So as the competitive Formula One fan that I am, I had a go with Grace and Katie.

144.059 - 151.572 Tommy

And then when they went off to get dinner, I had one ticket left and basically sent it on the last lap as fast as I could.

Chapter 2: What exciting news was shared about the return of Turkey to the F1 calendar?

769.154 - 774.782 Tommy

I think it's going to get worse for Red Bull before it gets better.

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774.762 - 802.44 Tommy

I've seen that what was very surprising was there's been a loophole closed in qualifying where Mercedes and Red Bull were doing a trick that basically meant they had more power in qualifying and then the car would almost shut down on its in-lap, but it didn't matter because they've already completed their lap and the FAA stopped that from happening. And one of the biggest surprises from that was

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802.42 - 831.019 Tommy

Wait, Red Bull were using that and they're still this bad? You know, Max didn't even make it into Q3 last time. So if they don't have that and they're already slow, I'm not expecting big things. And... How motivated is Max going to be returning to Formula 1 after having been racing at the Nürburgring again and things like that?

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831.92 - 839.751 Tommy

I think he's going to be back into the kind of bad times of 2026 Formula 1 for him.

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840.946 - 848.116 Matt

OK, well, a flop for Max Verstappen is a very different flop to what it's been in the past few seasons already. The expectation is pretty rubbish.

848.136 - 850.239 Tommy

Oh, yeah, like a piece six is a good surprise.

850.72 - 868.405 Matt

Yeah, genuinely, if he beats any one of the top three teams, then he's cooking. But OK, sad times, Tommy. I love how you've had a whole five, six weeks off and you've gone still depressed. OK, going to still be depressed about Max Verstappen. Let's now head to Sprint Poll.

869.617 - 895.084 Tommy

This sprint pole, this may be the Southern Hemisphere talking, but I'm going to go for Oscar Piastri. And again, this is maybe the Mercedes advantage in qualifying isn't going to be as strong. Oscar Biastri had a brilliant race in Japan, of course, and great qualifying as well. But Mercedes have been, of course, very, very fast in qualifying.

896.085 - 902.593 Tommy

But maybe that advantage might be cut a little bit based on this new kind of loophole that's been closed.

Chapter 3: How are the updated regulations expected to impact the Miami Grand Prix?

1254.515 - 1268.981 Matt

I think right now, Momentum Man, Kimi Antonelli, This will probably be where he spears it into the wall and all of this is wrong. But that's not the Kimi Antonelli we've seen so far this year. So, well, apart from one crash.

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1269.001 - 1269.662 Katie

Anyway, it's fine.

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1269.883 - 1293.718 Matt

I'm not changing it. Not changing it. Yeah, P3. Who cares about that? No one cares. Pole position, Kimi Antonelli. Right, let's get into the top three for Sunday's race. In third position... I've not mentioned him yet, but I'm going to do it now. Charles Leclerc. Yes, Charles Leclerc is still here. He's still kicking. And I still believe Ferrari are going to be very competitive.

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1294.019 - 1303.797 Matt

Will they be Mercedes competitive? I don't know. Will they be able to beat McLaren? That's a question. That's a big question as well. So it's...

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1303.777 - 1305.279 Tommy

Don't talk yourself out of it.

1305.579 - 1319.278 Matt

Yeah, I could easily put a McLaren in right now if I keep talking, but I have to mention Charles Leclerc at least once, although technically I have already. Different championship. If I do change it. So what were you? What's that little?

1319.839 - 1323.444 Tommy

It's a different championship from Miami, apparently, according to Fred, remember?

1323.904 - 1331.995 Matt

Yeah, but I just don't think it's going to change whatsoever. So it should be a McLaren. I don't know why I put Charles Leclerc, but we're going to stick with it. Charles Leclerc.

1332.987 - 1345.605 Tommy

So P3, I have gone for McLaren and it's Oscar Piastri after his sprint win and pole position that's definitely happening because I predicted it. He is going to finish third in the Grand Prix.

Chapter 4: What predictions do the hosts have for the Miami Grand Prix?

1962.973 - 1963.894 Tommy

Okay, here we go.

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1963.914 - 1965.897 Matt

We've got a voice note. Have you listened to the voice note?

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1966.377 - 1966.938 Tommy

No, I haven't.

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1967.418 - 1972.625 Matt

Oh God, this could be anything. Could be anything. Go get the groceries. Could be the wrong voice note. I hope it is.

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1972.645 - 1976.029 Tommy

At half ten. Can you get some milk? Right.

1976.482 - 1997.989 Katie

Hello, these are my predictions in case I've gone to bed because I'm still a little bit jet lagged. So P3, I'm going to go for Oscar Piastri. P2, George Russell, and P1, I'm going to go for Kimi Antonelli.

1998.13 - 2014.453 Matt

Okay, thank you, bye. Okay. The formal thank you, bye. Thank you, Katie. I know you hate getting involved in this so much, but Tommy keeps asking. Speaking of getting, hasn't Katie been fielded for almost every weekend so far?

2014.957 - 2030.39 Tommy

I'm trying to remember who... Yeah, pretty sure. No, last time was... No, last time was my dad. Oh my God, last time I was also on holiday as well, yeah. And no, the time before that was my niece, my three-year-old niece.

2030.871 - 2036.095 Matt

Okay, maybe it just sticks out in my mind so much that Katie just... Just because she hates it every time.

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