Chapter 1: What are the latest developments in Trump's negotiations with Iran?
what's up what is up everybody welcome to a brand new episode of part of the problem i am dave smith he is robbie the fire bernstein how you feeling today sir i am well how are you my friend i'm good i'm good i can't complain i have a little espresso drink that i probably shouldn't be drinking but it's hitting the spot right now so now that's a good time you don't have to feel guilty about an espresso shot
yeah well it's just that the starbucks makes these dumb little things and they put sugar and stuff in them and i typically don't drink sugar in my coffee i mean drink sugar had sugar in my coffee since i was a child you know what i mean like a teenager or something like that And then, you know, my wife loads up the fridge to be nice and just buys these little things at the supermarket.
You've experienced this when you're here, Rob. And then you just, you end up having them because they're here. And so now I'm just chugging two cans of sugar that I don't need in a day. Like if this wasn't in the refrigerator, I would just go upstairs and make a pot of coffee. But because this is sitting here and I've already made two pots of coffee, I'm like, I'll have this.
So I think what I'm trying to say is that my wife is killing me slowly. She's slowly killing me.
those are dangerous i remember at one point i was keeping a concentrated cold brew in my fridge and there were two nights i'm pretty sure i had a heart attack i mean i'm not lying i convinced my i convinced myself i'd done too many abs that day and that's why i had chest tightening in an irregular heartbeat and i'm like that happens all the time i don't usually do abs that's what that is you sure you sure it wasn't the three foot jug of cold brew that you just chugged i was like in an obnoxiously huge like like uh thing too i'm like i get chest pains that's normal
Yeah, it's totally, it's probably what it is.
Yeah, dude, it's, well, I, you know, my wife is like, as you know, she's so into, you know, she's a full-time mom and it really suits her well. And it always has, like, she's just, she loves it. She loves taking care of the kids and all this.
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Chapter 2: How is the Southern Poverty Law Center being investigated?
And every holiday, everything is decorated in my house. And, you know, it's very sweet and nice. But then she'll do this, like, She does it for Easter or for Valentine's Day or whatever. She just puts like bowls of candy everywhere throughout the house. She doesn't eat any of it. But she could have all the bowls of candy out and just not eat any of it.
And the kids are like allowed one piece after dinner. But then that just leaves me just roaming my house all day long like a bear scooping up candy. I'm like, what am I doing?
i remember uh i think it was your upper west side apartment you had a glass uh like big glass jar that lauren had stacked oreos around the circle of the jar with a lid on it and i walked and i said that's really sweet i would be dead i can't believe that this decorative display of oreos just lasts i would one night get high and eat the entire barrel
Yeah. Yeah. No, it's yeah. Look, there's been problems.
Chapter 3: What allegations are being made against the SPLC?
She's a good lady, but we have our problems. Oh, they got, she's got, it's in her blood too. So this is like Italian thing where they just want everyone to eat as much as possible. Like eat, eat more, keep pushing. Anyway. All right. Let's start getting into some stuff. Well, I will say Rob, there's a couple things on today's show there. I think I'm actually going to compliment Rob.
the Trump administration a little bit. There's two things specifically. Number one, I would like to genuinely thank Donald Trump for being a gigantic bitch. and backing down once again.
I don't think that's what's actually happening here.
Well, we could get into that a little bit, at least momentarily, because, you know, look, I got to say, Rob, this is... Covering this war has been a challenge in a way that's different than other just topics that we would cover.
Chapter 4: What is the significance of the indictment against the SPLC?
Like, usually the template pretty much is that
um the government is trying to you know get more power or crack down on liberty in some way more they're lying they have their propagandists lying for them they're doing it for nefarious reasons but typically it's like the lie is this and so then we attack that from different with this one it's just like the target is just moving so fast and it's so hard to even you know but it is
It's hard to express how crazy it is. It's been like four days since Donald Trump said that we have a deal and the Iranians have completely surrendered and agreed to everything. It's been six weeks or so since he demanded unconditional total surrender. And then essentially he claimed he had it four days ago. The US is coming in. Our guys will take out the nuclear dust. The Strait is open.
They'll get no sanctions relief. They'll get no money for it. This is all just made up. You know, the Iranians yesterday, the latest here is that the Iranians were they're just like, you know, we're not showing up to the meetings. They totally, you know, Donald Trump had set this artificial timeline. The ceasefire would be over now.
Chapter 5: How does Dave Smith feel about the SPLC's actions?
And Donald Trump had once again, of course, this is back the day before yesterday. had said bridge and power plant day, again, if we don't have a deal. So Donald Trump says this time, even more clearly than the last time, he said he had given him this two weeks since the last time he backed down, but he said if a deal's not reached in these two weeks, it's bridge and power plant day.
Not only was a deal not reached, the Iranians straight up said, we're not coming. We're not coming to the negotiations. We've already given you what our demands are. And this is just unworkable. So they're not even coming. At this point, it was reported that J.D. Vance was getting on the plane today to go to these meetings. The Iranians yesterday said they're not going.
There is no meeting taking place. And then Donald Trump came out and just announced an indefinite extension on the ceasefire. So, Rob, whether you know, and I'm curious to hear your take on this, but whether or not you're saying ultimately the plan here might be to hit them really hard and reengage in the war.
But at least in the moment, Donald Trump didn't go through with once again his empty threat of destroying the whole civilization and instead just said, let's keep the ceasefire going.
Chapter 6: What are the implications of the SPLC funding hate groups?
Pretty wild. Well, all right. This is wild speculations here because I don't think Donald Trump quite knows what he's doing and whatever he tells us today is not going to happen tomorrow. So I'm working with what I got here. But my read is we got a World War II Japan play going here. which is I think Donald Trump didn't like the optics of just very aggressively striking at Iran.
And so now he's blocking the straits and we're kind of playing the economic warfare game. And I think Iran's in a worse situation. It's not good for the it's not good for the U.S. It's particularly not good for our Asian partners. And it's a problem. You are going to see, you know, less fertilizer and less oil in the world. And that is a problem. But I think the problem is more immediate in Iran.
And I think Iran probably needs to be more in the warfare escalation game now to exact more media costs to try and have a quicker change in the situation.
Chapter 7: How does this episode critique the current political landscape?
And so I think in blocking the straits, my guess is that even if we're not striking Iran, they might then move forward with some of their critical infrastructure strikes, which then gives a little bit more of a opening for Donald Trump to act aggressively without just looking like a big old meanie pants. Yeah.
You know, this was a treat. A Parsi was saying something pretty similar to that, that essentially Donald Trump got what he wants, which is just a pause in the war right now because he was in a desperate situation. So he got that. And now he can frame any Iranian attack as aggression by the Iranians and kind of at least be in a stronger position with public support or something like that.
Quite possible. You know, it's, it's a bit of speculation in there, but not, I don't think unreasonable speculation. Um, Look, I mean, the reality on the ground is just essentially what we've been saying this whole time, that it's a real mess. This was my take, I think, on the second day of the war and ever since.
It's very clear that there was a major shift in incentives and in the decision-making of the Iranian leadership from the 12-day war to this war. And they've been very clear.
Chapter 8: What final thoughts do the hosts have on the SPLC and its impact?
that they even as donald trump announced that he was extending this ceasefire that they've they've been saying they're like i don't know what ceasefire you're talking about like what they agreed to was a ceasefire that included israel not attacking lebanon anymore and the straight being open What they're saying very clearly, and by the way, the Pakistanis are backing them up on this.
And what they're saying is that as long as Israel keeps hitting southern Lebanon, which they are, not as much, they've slowed down substantially, but as long as they keep hitting southern Lebanon and as long as there's the U.S. naval blockade of the Strait, then there's no ceasefire. And so, like, they are saying the war is still going on. Again, we will see where all of this goes. I'm hopeful...
You know, as you were saying, you never know what Donald Trump's going to do. He's incredibly impulsive. Evidently, even people within the administration, people within the Pentagon are a little concerned with how impulsive and emotional he is. But it is possible that he he will just walk away at some point. And it's like I did enough and we're leaving. That would be the much better option.
I don't know if you saw this, Rob. This just came out literally, I think, moments before we started recording the show. But the here let me see if I can pull this up. The source is The Washington Post. And according to the Washington Post, the Pentagon tells Congress it could take six months to fully clear the Strait of Hormuz of mines deployed by Iran.
And any such operation is unlikely to be carried out until the U.S. war with Iran ends. So translation, it takes six months for us to open up this strait. And that's only if the Iranians let us.
is the translation of that like they have to come to that agreement too because as you can imagine they're saying we're not going to run this operation until the war's over because if a war is still going on and you just send a whole bunch of your your your you know your naval fleet out there they're sitting ducks and so we could park outside the Strait of Hormuz and say no one's coming through but to actually open the thing is a whole different game and so
you know i i guess maybe what makes me a little bit optimistic about hearing reports like that is that this is the type of thing that donald trump's you look at that and you go okay so let's say it takes another three months for this war to end and then another six months after that to get the straight back open this is just a nightmare politically from donald trump and i guess this gets into what joe kent was saying where it's like look dude we could just walk away and
you know, say it's not our problem. Now it's, it's, it's a bad sign that Donald Trump went from a couple of weeks ago, really signaling that we don't need the straight. We don't care about the straight. It's the rest of the world's problem. It'll naturally open up. You know, now he's more in the mode of promising that he's going to deliver the straight opening.
But the truth is that I think Rob, right. Tell me if you agree or disagree with this, but I think this is a lot of where, um, It's part of being like a free market guy is that you understand that like incentives are very powerful things. And this is why cooperation and business usually end up working out. This is why silly government arguments when they'd always be like, who will build the roads?
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