Bitcoin vs AI + SpaceX's Historic IPO | PBD #815

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PBD Podcast 1h 47m 6 speakers 8 chapters transcribed 3 months ago
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What is discussed at the start of this section?

Adam Sosnick 0:01
Adam, what's your point? The future looks bright. My handshake is better than anything I ever signed, right here.
Vincent Oshana 0:18
You are a one of one? My son's right there.
Unknown 0:20
I don't think I've ever said this before.
Vincent Oshana 0:26
Folks, if you want to learn how to make money, sometimes you've got to pay attention to what's going on to these IPOs because there's a lot of money being made right now. We're going to talk about that today. We've got a bunch of smart guys here with us. We've got Pomp back here with us. I'm sure Sylvia is going to be with us today as well sometime. Tom is here, and then we have, of course, national security guy Aseto here. So stories, IPO. We've got SpaceX, okay? That's IPO in. And, you know, I got a call. We talked to our Goldman folks about SpaceX. I think they're leading the round, if I'm not mistaken. Then you have a Sarah's bras, not Sarah's bras, Sarah bras. People have a hard time pronouncing that.
Vincent Oshana 1:05
Tom's been coaching me this morning with my English St. Pat. It's not Cere bras. It's Sarah Braz. That's the proper way to announce it. You want to know the craziest thing? They are oversubscribed 20x. Imagine you're going saying we want to raise whatever, half a billion dollars, and they're like, yuck, that's a problem. We got $10 billion of people that want to invest with you. What do you want to do? That's what's going on with them. I think they're up, if I'm not mistaken, 68% after day one, Tom. You can fact check me on this one here. It was huge. It was massive, yes.
Unknown 1:32
It was bouncy, but it was huge.
Vincent Oshana 1:33
OpenAI that's coming out saying we're revamping the chat. We're revamping what we're doing. Some people are saying, I don't know how much you're going to revamp because Claude's been beating the crap out of you, but maybe they are doing something. They're also going through... the IPO, and then we have Anthropic, which with the new Fable 5, I don't know if you've heard anything about the Fable 5. If you're not following it, we'll cover that today. It's apparently supposed to be something insane that they've never seen before. So a lot of conversations. A couple years ago, I called it. I said, 2026 is going to be the year of IPO, and that's exactly what's happened. A lot of people are like waiting to deploy their money to get involved in some of these things, but are all of them good to get into or not?
Vincent Oshana 2:11
There's even a cow sheet that just came out, I think, 10 minutes ago, 15 minutes ago, They said there's a 12% chance, Kalshi is saying, that Mr. Beast may announce an IPO this year, which I want to get your thoughts on, because I know we talked about that last time. And let's see what he's going to be doing with that. Next story, World Cup. Ready for this? 180,000 tickets are unsold that they haven't sold. What do you mean you haven't sold World Cup tickets?

Why is the IPO market happening now?

Vincent Oshana 2:35
You saw videos about Knicks fans, guys outside asking questions. How much do you pay for your tickets? $60,000? $60,000? $20,000, $200,000, then Juan Soto's walking by. They ask him, I don't know if you saw this. I saw it. He said, ask the Knicks. He said, ask the Knicks. People are paying $20,000, $200,000. I know you're going to the game tonight. You were at the game. Yeah, you got the game on Monday, so we'll see what's going to happen there. But World Cup, more hotels are selling out in Mexico and Canada than the U.S., and people are wondering why. Why is that? Is it a visa issue? Is it an economy issue? Is it not interest? There's some data that came out with Wall Street Journal a couple days ago saying Americans were not interested in soccer.
Vincent Oshana 3:18
Right now, they are more than even MLB is what it's saying, a story that came out. So we'll see what that story could look like. Next, Kevin Warsh. who is replacing Powell, has announced that he wants to take it all the way down to 1%, but CPI came out, I think it's 4.2. And so there's some contradictions. He's supposed to raise the rates, but 60% of the inflation is apparently tied to, you know, it's fuel-related and diesel and all this stuff. So we'll see. We'll get into that. Florida, if you don't live in Florida, listen, if you live in California, earmuffs.

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