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TED Talks Daily

Is your partner "the one?" Wrong question | George Blair-West

20 Jun 2025

Transcription

Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

7.068 - 22.131 Elise Hugh

You're listening to TED Talks Daily, where we bring you new ideas and conversations to spark your curiosity every day. I'm your host, Elise Hugh. Marriage has meant many things throughout history, but marrying for love is a relatively new phenomenon for humanity.

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22.772 - 43.656 Elise Hugh

In this archive talk, author and psychiatrist George Blair West says we still don't fully understand what it means to build successful relationships. He highlights a few surprising findings on the ability to tell if a marriage will end just by how it started and shares four questions every couple can ask themselves before tying the knot.

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49.188 - 68.226 Unknown

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72.492 - 95.665 George Blair-West

Around 500 years ago, Erasmus told us that prevention was better than cure. Now that might seem forward-thinking, but when blood-sucking leeches are the best cure you've got at your disposal, while you're hanging around waiting for them to work, you've got to start to wonder why this clearly bizarre treatment was needed in the first place. And I'm going to propose

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96.218 - 110.295 George Blair-West

that preventing long-term relationship breakdown is as important as preventing serious illness. I'm going to suggest that the way we see romantic love, and in particular finding the one,

Chapter 2: What does marrying for love mean in today's society?

110.782 - 140.493 George Blair-West

is a big part of that problem. So, in my 20 years of working with couples, I've come to see a relationship breakdown as being the result of an inability to overcome an emerging mismatch in the relationship. Now, why do I use that word mismatch? Well, it steps around an issue that can otherwise hijack therapy, the question of who is to blame. which of course is the other person.

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141.994 - 172.446 George Blair-West

And this approach allows me to then focus on making or remaking the match. But that got me wondering, so when does the mismatch begin? If prevention is the goal, when does the problem take hold? And I found that if I looked back, the majority of the time, I could trace it to before that couple actually even committed. before they married, before they had children.

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173.71 - 197.603 George Blair-West

For example, one of the more significant predictors of divorce is how long a couple date before the marriage proposal. In a 2015 US study of 3,100 people, they found that if the couple waited one to two years, there was a 21% reduced likelihood of divorce compared to if they proposed in less than 12 months.

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198.183 - 222.126 George Blair-West

But if you waited three and a half years until the infatuation was well and truly over, then the likelihood of divorce was reduced by a massive 48%. So... My daughter, a dating coach, and I wrote a book about how to choose your partner. It was an exhaustive psychological review on how to make an informed decision.

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223.269 - 229.703 George Blair-West

When that book came out recently, what everybody wanted to talk about, media and readers alike,

Chapter 3: How can the way a marriage starts affect its longevity?

230.206 - 264.289 George Blair-West

was a preference for not choosing the one but finding them through the admittedly romantic process but it was a spectacularly passive process of falling in love. Why? Well, my take on it is that we would rather see the process of romantic love bring the one to us rather than slowing down and evaluating in an informed way whether or not they're a good match for us.

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265.25 - 290.508 George Blair-West

When I looked at a deeper level, at a less conscious level, I saw that we really don't want to see it as a decision because then we have to take responsibility for it. And if it fails, That is a burden of some consequence. When it's a romantic process and it fails, well, it's a shared failure with the universe. A much better deal than having to blame just ourselves.

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292.41 - 301.402 George Blair-West

Is your potential partner the one, is the wrong question. In fact, I believe that's a question that is more likely to lead to divorce.

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Chapter 4: What are the four essential questions couples should ask before marriage?

302.343 - 325.687 George Blair-West

But before we look at better questions, let's look at what's at stake. Because I would suggest that choosing your lifelong partner is the most consequential decision you will make. Most of us appreciate the pain, emotional and financial, that divorce causes a couple. But it's the impact on the next generation that has my attention.

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327.028 - 352.189 George Blair-West

A study of 1,400 people looked at the long-term impact of parental divorce during their childhood when they were followed up at age 32. Now, the children from the families where their parents had divorced were more than twice as likely to be divorced themselves or to be unemployed. They were more likely to smoke on a daily basis and drink alcohol to excess.

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353.01 - 379.207 George Blair-West

They were much less likely to complete a university degree with daughters a staggering 58% less likely to do so. And girls apparently more vulnerable to parental marital breakdown than boys were more likely to suffer from a range of psychological problems. It is said that alcoholism is not a spectator sport. Eventually the whole family has to play.

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380.549 - 418.454 George Blair-West

And the damage from a parental relationship breakdown is equally impossible to limit to just the parents. And this is why having children is a big complication and a much bigger commitment than getting married. So how am I defining marriage? Well, I would see it as any relationship entered into by two people on the basis that will be long term and is recognised either legally or in common law.

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418.654 - 446.715 George Blair-West

But for the record, I believe any two people of any persuasion of either gender or of no gender who wish to spend their life together should be legally able to do so throughout the world. But for the purposes of this talk we're going to be looking at legal marriages because they're the ones more readily identified by researchers. Now that definition of course includes arranged marriages.

447.286 - 460.68 George Blair-West

For those of us who've grown up with love marriages and romantic love, we see that as the normal way of things. I think I can predict that most of you here had parents who chose each other on the basis of romantic love.

461.821 - 476.517 George Blair-West

I think I can more confidently predict that you're probably not gonna get those very same parents to choose your marital partner, a partner who you might meet for the first time on the day of your marriage, unless of course they're producers of reality TV shows.

477.948 - 514.829 George Blair-West

But despite our sense that a love marriage is the norm, by a slight majority, from a global perspective, a marriage today is more likely to be arranged than not. Moreover, for 95% of recorded history, arranged marriages have been the norm for the entire planet. Until then, Romantic love only accidentally overlapped with marriage. Now, arranged marriages take many forms.

515.83 - 545.617 George Blair-West

And to be clear, I'm not talking here about forced marriages, child marriages. These are a violation of human rights. The Universal Declaration of Human Rights states that individuals should be 18 years old before they enter marriage and do so freely with full consent. But the reason that brought that declaration into being leaves many of us feeling that arranged marriages are old and irrelevant.

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