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The Bulwark Podcast

Will Sommer: Conspiracy Theorists Are Behind the Wheel in the Republican Party

16 Dec 2025

Transcription

Chapter 1: What are the main themes of nativism and populism in the Republican Party?

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Thank you.

103.492 - 126.095 Tim Miller

Hello and welcome to the Bulwark Podcast. I'm your host, Tim Miller. If you missed at the end of yesterday's pod, for Bulwark Plus subscribers, I'm doing a Monday mailbag now. And many people gave me feedback on the amount of chores that I'm doing. So if you want to hear about that and want to give me feedback about that as well... or hear my answers to other random questions you all have.

126.616 - 144.848 Tim Miller

Become a Board Plus member. This is the time of year to do it. You can do it on Substack, on Apple Podcasts, on YouTube, and you just go to the end of the Bill Kristol Podcast. You get a mailbag. You also get Sarah and JVL's secret podcast on Fridays, a bunch of other fun stuff. Today's show is free. It's for everybody. It's for the masses. And I couldn't be more excited about it.

145.088 - 165.578 Tim Miller

It is my colleague, author of the False Flag newsletter, one member of the fingering trio. It's Will Sommer. How are you doing, man? Hey, happy to be here. It's good to have you. It is perfect. I've been wanting to just sort of do a deep dive on all of like the Real Housewives of MAGA infighting with you. And we kind of penciled you in for today a while ago.

165.558 - 182.744 Tim Miller

And little did I know that it would be the day after the historic Candace Owens, Erica Kirk summit. So I feel very good about that. We're going to get to it in a second. First, it is for people who maybe, you know, aren't and they should be following the false flag newsletter as closely as they should be.

Chapter 2: How has Candace Owens' conspiracy theory about Charlie Kirk's assassination impacted her audience?

239.089 - 241.313 Tim Miller

What is your input that leads to this?

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241.563 - 258.763 Will Sommer

Yeah, I mean, I'm consuming this stuff pretty much constantly. I obviously be online on places like Twitter. You know, when the family goes to bed, I that's when I hit the videos when I'm cooking, you know, pancakes for the morning. I say, OK, it's Candace Owens time and I fire it up. And so, you know, I have a true passion for the drama.

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259.203 - 279.07 Will Sommer

And so when someone says, you know, here's a video of a guy getting punched out, I go, oh, boy, you know, and then I then I dive in. So you bring a joie de vivre to the job. I do. It's not a burden for you. You know, you have to. I would pay to do it. It is such a pleasure. There are so many absolute lunatics in this field. And they love betraying each other and talking to reporters.

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279.11 - 280.193 Will Sommer

So it's a lot of fun.

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280.173 - 300.285 Tim Miller

It's interesting. There's the old phrase that gets brought up a lot during the Trump era about you have to be careful when you stare into the abyss, the abyss stares back into you. That doesn't seem like a problem for you. You seem to have a detached separation from these people in a way that I kind of admire, but also wonder how.

300.305 - 318.395 Tim Miller

I also, like you, enjoy laughing at them from time to time, but I find myself consumed with rage at times. I find myself you know, wanting to use their tactics back against them. These temptations don't seem to afflict you. Why is that? Talk to us about your inner self.

318.776 - 334.861 Will Sommer

You know, well, you have no idea what kind of dark, twisted stuff I'm getting onto privately. No, I mean, you know, it's, I think often, you know, and there are certain people, you know, who I cover who have sort of a sense of humor about it. And so, They're personally nice, even if they're up to awful things for the country and other people.

335.301 - 357.565 Will Sommer

Some of them are not, and they're rude and unpleasant people, and I think seriously bad guys. But on the other hand, at least we can take solace in the fact that I think for a lot of these right-wing media personalities, karma does catch up to them. I think about people who are just really awful people, and then they'll get indicted. The We Build the Wall guy was running a grift.

357.545 - 366.035 Will Sommer

or they'll turn out in some cases to be a pedophile or texting underage boys or something. And so often there is sort of a recompense waiting.

Chapter 3: What role do right-wing influencers play in shaping political narratives?

448.351 - 466.096 Will Sommer

This is so crazy. So it was Palestinians who had been injured during the war and had legs blown off, including a lot of children. And they were visiting the U.S. temporarily to get medical aid. And basically she said, oh, my gosh, look at all these Muslims coming into the country. This issue did not exist as a talking point on the right. No one cared. No one knew this was happening.

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466.336 - 472.365 Will Sommer

And then within 48 hours, the State Department said, OK, don't worry. We blocked any Palestinians from coming to receive medical aid.

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472.345 - 491.592 Tim Miller

That is an interesting transition to Candace, because there is this horseshoe that people talk about. And sometimes I throw that word around and not all listeners understand what we're talking about. But essentially, there's this horseshoe theory that like the far right and the far left end up intersecting at a point and overlapping. And like you see, like Tulsi Gabbard is a good example of this.

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491.612 - 502.007 Tim Miller

She was like a left wing populist who ends up now in Trump's administration. You know, you see and I talked about this in the last couple of weeks with Chris Hayes and Tommy Vitor.

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502.067 - 521.455 Tim Miller

You see, you know, sometimes folks who are, you know, on the left and are critical of Biden, maybe legitimately critical of Biden for, you know, the policy of our administration in the Middle East and upset at the Democratic establishment and upset at AIPAC. And they find themselves online.

521.435 - 541.958 Tim Miller

receiving candace owens or tucker carlson content and they hear them talking quite passionately about how bad israel is and they start to get like kind of drawn in is interesting you know and that this is one of the visual lines right like i think that some of those people who you know were drawn to trump because they felt like he was the anti-war candidate or because

541.938 - 565.383 Tim Miller

They maybe sensed an anti-Semitic streak that they liked or whatever, that he didn't seem like he was part of the military establishment. They liked him. And now they get him and Trump is in there. And what Trump is doing is banning injured Palestinian citizens from being able to come to America to seek medical care, to seek asylum. I mean, it's insane.

565.463 - 571.59 Tim Miller

But, you know, like that shows you kind of like, you know, the limits of that little horseshoe coalition, I think.

571.975 - 584.267 Will Sommer

Yeah. And I mean, I think that's a lot of the strife that we're seeing right now in MAGA is this disappointment from, you know, what they're really billing themselves as sort of the America first wing. And a lot of these people don't trust one another. And then they're kind of disparate ideologically.

Chapter 4: How does the anti-Zionist sentiment manifest among right-wing circles?

693.287 - 714.292 Tim Miller

The budget director is a right wing absolute zealot. And that Bondi completely whiffed on handling the Epstein files. I feel like anytime a Trump person like kind of speaks honestly about the administration, they sound like me, which makes me feel good. You know, those quotes could have been right here on this podcast. But do we have any sense at this point for how it's being received?

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714.653 - 721.405 Will Sommer

Yeah, I mean, so right now. Looking out at MAGA, as far as I, you know, as you said, it's been a few hours. I think people are kind of trying to figure out how to react.

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721.465 - 732.865 Will Sommer

I mean, there has been this sort of, among the people I cover, there's been this kind of simmering resentment at Susie Wiles, this feeling that, you know, she's this gatekeeper who won't let them truly run amok in the way they want. And so...

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732.845 - 747.681 Will Sommer

periodically you get these kind of thinly sourced stories that are saying, you know, Susie's the one who, you know, won't let us do really ramp up deportations or something like that. I don't think that's necessarily true, but I suspect that they'll be happy. You know, this interview sort of suggests that she's on her way out.

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748.363 - 750.027 Tim Miller

Yeah. Susie, um,

750.007 - 777.229 Tim Miller

says in the interview you know basically that she hasn't had any big fights with trump so she's had a lot of little fights over little things so i i you know and she essentially says like she's not gatekeeping i mean she might be gatekeeping you know whatever like random pet issue that you know people in the mega swamp want to push on to trump but like on all the big ticket items and she she says bluntly that she doesn't she's not pushing back

777.209 - 798.669 Tim Miller

One other thing for the story. We're going to go deep on this on the next level pod on Susie. But one thing that's, I think, particularly relevant for your beat, this one to flag, is she was asked during one of these interviews about Jillian Maxwell's transfer to a less restrictive facility. That's what the Vanity Fair is calling it, kindly. Wiles says this at first.

798.709 - 818.277 Tim Miller

She said the president was ticked. It happened. He was ticked off. She adds the president was mighty unhappy. I don't know why they moved her. Neither does the president. And then she followed up and said, if that's an important point, I can't find out. The reporter followed up several more times and while said she's still not found out. So magical, a mystery tour.

818.818 - 840.19 Tim Miller

And the course of the interview, also talking about Epstein, she basically acknowledges that like there's this new part of the coalition, like the kind of conspiracy theorists. And she's like, JD is kind of the point person for I just said exactly like he's kind of implying that. And it's like they care a lot about Epstein and Gaza. And like, we got to figure out how to how to message to them.

Chapter 5: What insights does Susie Wiles provide about Trump's influence?

917.398 - 918.299 Will Sommer

Yeah, I would say it matters.

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918.739 - 943.618 Tim Miller

Yeah, going to the club fed. It sure doesn't leave you feeling comfortable that there's not a cover up afoot if they can't come up with a clear answer to this. So we'll keep monitoring that. There'll be much more Epstein this week. Right, guys, I got good news. If you've been listening closely to my ad reads last couple of weeks, I've purchased some Christmas presents. I have. All right?

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This deal is exclusive to listeners, and frames sell out fast. So order yours now to get it in time for the holidays. Support the show by mentioning us at checkout. Terms and conditions apply. All right, back to the main show. The Candace thing. So I'm trying to figure out about the right way to set the stage for this. Why don't we just start here?

1066.149 - 1080.135 Tim Miller

She meets with Charlie Kirk's widow, Erica Kirk, yesterday for four and a half hours. And after the meeting, she does not have the usual live stream that she does. Instead, she puts out this video. Let's listen.

Chapter 6: How does Stephen Miller's wife contribute to the current media landscape?

1107.497 - 1111 Candace Owens

This probably should have happened a very long time ago, but I wanted to let you guys know that I am alive.

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1110.98 - 1117.699 Tim Miller

She's alive. Candace is alive. People are worried about that. That she might be killed.

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1117.848 - 1145.543 Will Sommer

the meeting yes this was a big issue so you know this there's been about two weeks of discussions about how exactly candace would meet with turning point she said one ground rule no assassinations you know which i'm sure they were happy to agree with but you know she and her fans i mean she had claimed there was a hit team from france and israel out to get her and so her fans were really like oh my gosh where's our candace update they posted instagram videos and tick tocks of themselves you know pacing the house where's candace

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1145.523 - 1153.187 Will Sommer

And so, yeah, I mean, she had a lot of people convinced that, you know, this was going to be some kind of the French Legion was going to be waiting to sniper or something like that.

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1153.319 - 1174.206 Tim Miller

So let's just back it all the way up. I want to get into kind of like why this matters. For folks who have been blissfully unaware, like let's just take the lens all the way back. Like what is the backstory here? Why is Candace afraid she might be assassinated like Charlie Kirk? Like why did she have to have a beer summit? Well, not beer. I don't think they drink, but, you know, whatever.

1174.727 - 1182.757 Tim Miller

You know, why'd they have to have a sparkling juice summit between Candace and Erica Kirk? Can you just kind of like walk people through the basics?

1183.158 - 1183.258

Yeah.

1183.238 - 1203.981 Will Sommer

Sure. So, I mean, Candace Owens worked for Turning Point USA. She was very close with Charlie Kirk years ago. She left, and I think roughly 2020, 2019, over some ardently pro-Hitler remarks, I would say. She said Hitler wasn't so bad if he had just stayed in his own country. And so then there was kind of a distance there. She sort of went off into the right-wing media.

1203.961 - 1219.757 Will Sommer

Cut to the Charlie Kirk assassination. She has built this huge YouTube profile of her own. And then after the assassination, she basically says, you know, I'm going to get to the bottom of what really happened. I don't believe the story that Tyler Robinson did it or that the FBI's official narrative.

Chapter 7: What are the implications of the upcoming AmericaFest for the Republican Party?

1397.233 - 1418.124 Will Sommer

Charlie was about to flip and become more critical of Israel. And, I mean, a lot of those text messages were authenticated by Turning Point. They said, yes, you know, he was saying essentially these Jewish donors are – They're alienating people. I'm getting fed up with them because they're so demanding. They demand this kind of total fealty to Israel and support. They don't want any criticism.

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1418.625 - 1423.23 Will Sommer

And so I think that that really got a lot of it going. And so that is sort of the fault line there.

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1423.851 - 1435.624 Tim Miller

Just kind of like setting the table about like the influence and how important this is. And even this morning, like I was as I was preparing for this on social media, just kind of looking at the reactions to Candace. I see a couple of like.

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1436.87 - 1461.925 Tim Miller

more like mainstream Fox type Republican influencers, you know, basically saying that Candace has zero real life influence or presence outside of social media. Like this is not important. One of them says all my IRL friends are normies. Most have no idea who she is. And I do think that's just wrong. I think that Candice has 6 million YouTube subscribers. The word normie is interchangeable.

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1461.945 - 1483.684 Tim Miller

Sometimes people say normie, they mean people who have normal views, like mainstream views. And sometimes they say normie and they mean average person. And if your person is a normie in the sense that they are college educated, they read the New York Times or Wall Street Journal, depending on which party they're in, they are probably not big cannabis consumers, right? But if you are younger...

1483.664 - 1501.622 Tim Miller

If you're a normie in the sense you're a regular person that doesn't read news articles, really, but gets your news from TikTok or Instagram reels, Candice is huge. It has a massive, massive reach in that world. That's always my assessment. How do you judge what matters and the extent of her influence?

1501.843 - 1518.21 Will Sommer

Yeah. Yeah, I mean, I think she's really, really popular outside of not just kind of like hardcore online politics people. But I mean, you know, she got really into like celebrity gossip, the Blake Lively, Justin Baldoni lawsuit. So I think she's expanded her audience beyond sort of a typical talk radio Ben Shapiro world.

1518.19 - 1535.17 Will Sommer

And, you know, look, I mean, you can look at her metrics on YouTube, which I'm not saying are, you know, down to the view count accurate. But each video she's hitting two, three, four million views. She's all over TikTok, Instagram. And, you know, I mentioned these videos of people saying, you know, is Candace going to make it out alive? These do not seem to be like lunatics.

1535.27 - 1553.511 Will Sommer

You know, they are people who are living in their homes. They seem like otherwise regular people who might be watching The Bachelor or something like that. And then they're also tuning in like a soap opera to this kind of Candace Owen versus Erica Kirk thing. So I think she's very influential. I mean, when I talk to, you know, regular people, I mean, people know who Candace Owens is.

Chapter 8: What does the future hold for the GOP with the rise of conspiracy theorists?

1621.128 - 1635.144 Will Sommer

OK, you know, they were kind of like saying some of her stuff was accurate, some of her text messages and I think trying to mollify her. And then there was this sense of, OK, enough's enough. We have this big conference coming up, America Fest at the end of this week. Let's close the book here. And so they sort of issued a challenge.

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1635.205 - 1653.649 Will Sommer

They said, meet us in person in Phoenix and we're going to have a showdown over Charlie Kirk conspiracy theories. And she said, no. And I think, you know, it kind of seemed like she was wimping out, but somehow she managed to broker this sort of in-person private meeting with Erica Kirk. So I think ultimately she, at least from this round, has sort of emerged the victor.

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And talk to your doctor about VivGuard Hytrulo. Brought to you by Argenix. you wrote your last newsletter was like this title, what to do about the Candace problem.

1720.725 - 1746.124 Tim Miller

Like it seems to me like just basically that you've got kind of Candace and Tucker and unclear, like kind of who else, like on one side of this, you know, and then you have like more traditional type Fox Republicans and, you know, like Ted Cruz, Ben Shapiro, those types on the other side. And then you've got some folks kind of like, you know, you know, trying to straddle the fence.

1746.544 - 1751.571 Tim Miller

Is that is that right? Or like, how would you kind of explain the battle lines?

1752.232 - 1770.475 Will Sommer

Yeah, that's right. I mean, I think on one hand, you have people who are really and again, I think a lot of it comes back to Israel. You have people who are really sort of staunchly pro Israel, often Jewish themselves. So people like Mark Levin, Ben Shapiro, and they are ardent Candace haters. Then you have people who I think are less tied to Israel as an issue, and are maybe willing to sort of

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