The Gildan Short Report and Lessons From 7 Other Canadian Short Reports

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The Canadian Investor 49 min 3 speakers 8 chapters transcribed 3 months ago
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What recent allegations are made against Gildan Activewear?

Brayden Dennis 0:01
Investing is simple, but don't confuse that with thinking it's easy. A stock is not just a ticker. At the end of the day, you have to remember that it's a business.
Dan Kent 0:12
Just my reminder to people who own cyclicals, don't be surprised when there's a cycle.
Brayden Dennis 0:17
If there's uncertainty in the markets, there's going to be some great opportunities for investors.
Simon Belanger 0:23
This has to be one of the biggest quarters I've seen from this company in quite some time.
Brayden Dennis 0:32
Welcome to the Canadian Investor Podcast. I'm Simon Belanger. I'm back with Dan Kent. We're back for a Monday episode, and this will be a fun one. We'll be going over the most recent short report that was published on Gildan Activewear. And of course, I'll be...

How does channel stuffing impact Gildan's reported sales?

Brayden Dennis 0:47
Going over that one because Dan has trouble pronouncing Jehoshaphat Research, which is the same firm that did the short report on Go Easy. So I'll go over that. Then, Dan, you'll go over a recent history of short reports in Canada and also finish with a stock on my radar. So a company that I hadn't looked at in a while. Valuation is getting more attractive. So I'll go over why I'm seriously thinking about starting a position here.
Simon Belanger 1:14
Yeah, and on the short report front, there is, when I initially made this segment, there was a lot more than I had remembered. This happens quite often in Canada.

What is the significance of receivables factoring in Gildan's financials?

Simon Belanger 1:24
If we were to go over every one, we would be ours. So I picked out the most prominent names and I kind of have an honorable mention. So if you owned one of these and it happened when you owned it, sorry if we didn't get to it, but there's just, there's way too many to go over. And I'll kind of explain why when I start, why this happens first. so often in Canada. And the fact that you're not imagining things, that these always seem to pop up on, you know, mid-cap Canadian stocks for the most part.
Brayden Dennis 1:51
Yeah, exactly. So let's get started. So Joe Shafat Research, like I mentioned in the intro, released a short report on Gildan Activewear. This is the same research firm released the short report on GoEasy. The core allegation is that Gildan's recent growth may not be as strong as it appears. And the main thesis here is that Gildan is pulling forward sales through various methods and that this year Jehoshaphat believes that sales could fall massively short of expectation and guidance. And of course, this would in turn likely lead to a sharp drop in the stock's price. So the short seller claims Gildan has been using channel stuffing. So what does that mean? It means they're selling too much product into distributors, customers pulling future demand into the current period, making near term revenue look better than the underlying demand.
Brayden Dennis 2:44
So in other words, just trying to prop up the current revenues by potentially impacting future sales. The report focuses heavily on DSOs, so they sell outstanding. And this measures how long it takes a company to collect cash after booking a sale. So Jehoshaphat argues that Gildan's DSOs look much worse once you add back receivables that were factored off balance sheets. Factoring is something we touched back in the fall. I think it was, can't remember the exact company, but there were some private equity or private credit loans that went bad for those companies, if I remember correctly.
Simon Belanger 3:23
Yeah, well, that's why I had reached out to you and I said, what was the company that we were talking about back then?

What notable short reports have impacted Canadian companies?

Simon Belanger 3:29
Because it's kind of the exact same situation here where, yeah, go ahead and explain what it is.
Brayden Dennis 3:36
There you go. Those were the companies. I looked at our text messages and I was like, okay, yeah, that's right. Because I had looked it up when you texted me. And essentially, yeah, factoring is when you sell accounts receivable to another party for cash immediately, typically to a bank. And for example, Let's say you have $100 million of accounts receivable due in 90 days and you sell those accounts receivable to a third party now for $98 million in cash. So essentially they pocket the difference, but they also take on the risk of collecting that money. In essence, you get the cash faster, but you also collect a bit less.

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