Dive into the profound discussion on AI expectations and the future with Martin Casado, General Partner at Andreessen Horowitz, as we unpack the complexity of AI systems and their potential impact on the world. Explore the differing viewpoints on AI's epistemics, possible regulatory standards, and the art of predicting AI advancements. Gain insights into the actionable outcomes of this dialogue and the significance of understanding AI before shaping policies. Join us for this episode of the Cognitive Revolution to contemplate AI's trajectory and what it might mean for humanity. Apply to join over 400 founders and execs in the Turpentine Network: https://hmplogxqz0y.typeform.com/to/JCkphVqj RECOMMENDED PODCAST: Patrick McKenzie (@patio11) talks to experts who understand the complicated but not unknowable systems we rely on. You might be surprised at how quickly Patrick and his guests can put you in the top 1% of understanding for stock trading, tech hiring, and more. Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Mos4VE3figVXleHDqfXOH Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/id1753399812https://podcasts.apple.com/id1753399812 SPONSORS: Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is a single platform for your infrastructure, database, application development, and AI needs. OCI has four to eight times the bandwidth of other clouds; offers one consistent price, and nobody does data better than Oracle. If you want to do more and spend less, take a free test drive of OCI at https://oracle.com/cognitive The Brave search API can be used to assemble a data set to train your AI models and help with retrieval augmentation at the time of inference. All while remaining affordable with developer first pricing, integrating the Brave search API into your workflow translates to more ethical data sourcing and more human representative data sets. Try the Brave search API for free for up to 2000 queries per month at https://bit.ly/BraveTCR Omneky is an omnichannel creative generation platform that lets you launch hundreds of thousands of ad iterations that actually work customized across all platforms, with a click of a button. Omneky combines generative AI and real-time advertising data. Mention "Cog Rev" for 10% off https://www.omneky.com/ Head to Squad to access global engineering without the headache and at a fraction of the cost: head to https://choosesquad.com/ and mention “Turpentine” to skip the waitlist. CHAPTERS: (00:00:00) About the Show (00:03:18) AI progress (00:05:20) Threshold effects (00:12:30) Heavy-tailed universe (00:14:53) LLMs are not very good at unique tasks (00:26:27) Sponsors: Oracle | Brave (00:28:36) Understanding meaning (00:31:44) How do LLMs work? (Part 1) (00:36:25) Sponsors: Omneky | Squad (00:38:12) How do LLMs work? (Part 2) (00:44:01) Post-training (00:51:09) Simulation (01:04:06) Regulation (01:08:53) What makes AI a paradigm shift (01:11:51) Compute limits (01:20:07) Sleeper agents (01:23:16) Surface area of models (01:25:49) AI regulation (01:27:35) AI in medicine (01:29:56) AGI, superintelligence (01:37:04) Competition in the foundation model space (01:40:57) The scaling laws (01:44:31) The AGI convergence (01:45:35) Bets on the future of AI (01:48:20) Outro

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“What did the council decide on item 42?” — answered with the speaker and the moment.