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The Counter Ruck

Why is James Lowe leaving Leinster?

12 Jun 2026

Transcription

Transcript generated automatically by AI and may contain errors.

Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

4.267 - 26.629 Nathan Johns

Hello and welcome to the Counter-UK Rugby Podcast brought to you by the Irish Times in partnership with Oak Energy. Well, considering there's no actual rugby involving Irish teams this weekend, it's busy news week. Of course, James Lowe confirming what had been widely reported that he will be leaving Leinster and Ireland this summer despite, by all accounts, wanting to stay.

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27.229 - 42.286 Nathan Johns

John O'Sullivan, Irish Times rugby reporter, has written a very interesting story. Well, he put some facts and figures on the situation that may or may not explain what happened. So he's going to come and talk to me now. But as I said, more generally, very busy Newsweek.

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42.446 - 62.755 Nathan Johns

Munster have confirmed that Jared Payne, former Ulster and Ireland centre and fullback, will be on their coaching staff after Roger Randall won't take up the contract that he agreed, for reasons we all know about. And they've also hired Jimmy Duffy from Ulster as a forwards coach. And there's also an Ireland in the 20s squad to discuss prior to their World Cup. Here's John to chat all of that.

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63.939 - 73.491 Nathan Johns

John O'Sullivan, hello. Welcome back. I think it's actually been a while since you've come on. You've been a combination of working very hard elsewhere and I think taking some time off. Welcome back.

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73.555 - 73.976 John O'Sullivan

Thank you.

Chapter 2: Why is James Lowe leaving Leinster despite wanting to stay?

73.996 - 93.258 John O'Sullivan

You must have saved up all your pennies to get me back on this podcast. Well, if we can afford Gordon Darcy, I think you might not quite come in. You don't ask for as much money as he does. You're saying that I'm cheaper than Gordon Darcy is what you're actually saying to me here. I'd frame it the other way. You try and recover your position there quick.

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93.338 - 106.465 Nathan Johns

Well, we've got you here. Well, speaking of money, part of the reason why I've asked you on is because you wrote a very interesting piece about James Lowe. Look, everyone is aware of the news by this stage. My initial reaction is just, it's just very sad, you know, how they couldn't.

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106.445 - 122.614 Nathan Johns

make it work for one more year for a guy who clearly has a lot to give but is aging well I say aging 33 he's not over the hill by any stretch of the imagination but yes it's a crying shame they couldn't get this to work because Andy Farrell still seems to have quite a lot of interest in him

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122.695 - 137.717 Nathan Johns

But you've written a piece, the headline, James Lowe is box office, Leinster and Ireland do not have a winger of his ilk. But you've managed to kind of guess into what he may or may not have been offered and paid. And equally, you've kind of worked that in with how many games he'll actually play for Leinster. So can you talk us through that a little bit?

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137.697 - 150.813 John O'Sullivan

I suppose the headline says it all, if you want, from a rugby perspective. So I posed the question in the piece that I wrote about, well, who's deciding whether James Lowe should stay or what he should be paid? Is the commercial side of the house at Leinster or is it the rugby side of the house?

151.373 - 166.813 John O'Sullivan

If you look at it from a rugby perspective, first and foremost, there isn't another winger like him in Leinster in terms of quality or style in those terms. So you're not replacing him There's nobody there to replace them as such. You can change how you play, or you can change for a different type of player.

166.853 - 180.493 John O'Sullivan

And there's a bit of a gap between him and some of the younger players in the academy and fringe players. That's not to kind of run down the qualities. Like Tommy O'Brien has been Leinster's player of the year, and nobody would question his qualities. But he's just a different style of player.

180.893 - 199.31 John O'Sullivan

And I don't think there has been a sizable decrease in the influence that Lowe brings to bear when he plays matches. So... At 33 years of age, I thought he still had a role to play for Leinster. And I think he still adds a point of difference in the way that he plays the game. And Leinster don't have a player like him in the squad.

199.49 - 213.659 John O'Sullivan

So I would have thought that an extra year would have been reasonable. And when I say an extra year to keep him going through the World Cup and come up with some sort of deal for that. The problem for Leinster was twofold. One is obviously they've got to come up with the money.

Chapter 3: What factors contributed to the breakdown of talks with James Lowe?

462.995 - 478.619 John O'Sullivan

So it allowed players to retain a good earning. And without it then, there's the... You know, it's up to the province to either come up with the shortfall. And in the circumstances, then you would look at it and say, well, obviously Leinster didn't feel that that was something that they could do or have the money to do.

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478.72 - 484.33 John O'Sullivan

So they decided that they couldn't offer him the same terms or anything like the same terms by the looks of it.

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484.512 - 504.276 Nathan Johns

It's probably an easy analysis, but presumably the decision to go 40% of national contracts get paid for by provinces. Leinster's wage bill increased dramatically, what, two years ago when that came in? That presumably is a factor. Equally, I agree with you. You can see whoever is the bean counter. You can see them going, let's say it is that 200 grand figure.

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504.496 - 511.604 Nathan Johns

We're not paying this bloke 200 grand for what, seven, eight games, maybe nine. You do the maths of how much you're paying him per game and That might not add up.

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512.365 - 530.128 Nathan Johns

Even if it is, you could also argue it doesn't come down to, for a one-year deal to keep someone in Irish rugby who is a Leinster icon now, leading try scorer in the history of the province, very popular amongst the fan base, I would say. There probably is a marketing value there beyond an on-field one, but...

530.108 - 548.893 John O'Sullivan

Well, I think the person as well here, like you can look at the figures and a balance sheet doesn't always convey the full picture, obviously, with the person as well as personality, his character, what he adds to the environment, the culture, the group, all that sort of stuff. But even if you look at the bare numbers here in terms of what his contribution on the pitch is,

548.873 - 568.353 John O'Sullivan

Like 71 tries in 102 games is a phenomenal strike rate by any standards, given the quality of the games that he plays in. So it's not like James Lowe stockpiled these playing, you know, scoring five tries against the Dragons at Rodney Parade or five tries against the Dragons in And I apologise to Annie Welch, listeners to the podcast. I'm not picking on the Dragons.

568.373 - 592.175 John O'Sullivan

I just decided that the Dragons was an example. But if you look at something like that, his tries are scored against more often than not in Europe and top quality teams that they play against. So that in itself and the number of tries he scored for Ireland, the contribution he makes, the difference he makes. You can argue that this season for the first time, he wasn't always the first choice.

592.576 - 613.648 John O'Sullivan

That was partially down to him coming back from injury at the time he was coming back from injury for Leinster. But you can make an argument and Leinster could make an argument that he wasn't. an automatic choice, which he has been for the other eight and a half years that he's been at Leinster. So maybe there was a, they looked at that and said, well, okay, we're happy and inverted commas.

Chapter 4: How does James Lowe's age affect his contract negotiations?

955.124 - 976.51 John O'Sullivan

All of this has been said in his post on Instagram, saying goodbye. And he'll get an opportunity. I would imagine he will get an opportunity on Friday week to remind everybody of his qualities when Leinster take on the Bulls in the URC final at Crow Park. And I would imagine that he will be playing in that game. And even that will be interesting as a selection.

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976.53 - 998.42 Nathan Johns

I'll continue my chat with John O'Sullivan after the break. You made another interesting point. If Ireland was looking to replace him, as like for like as they can, and obviously they're not just going to go out and find, it's not club rugby, you don't just go out and find a player.

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998.76 - 1016.5 Nathan Johns

But you have made the point that there is a player within the system who is not similar, but in terms of, well, I'll let you explain it, but my take on it was in terms of body shape, the way he plays, and kind of that combative wing rather than out and out speed wing. And it was an interesting name you came up with.

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1016.48 - 1038.745 John O'Sullivan

I likened James Lowe to, in terms of the power aspect of his game, to Shane Bolton. Shane Bolton, I likened him, sorry, to James Lowe. So yeah, I think Shane Bolton is very quick, but he has that power as well in contact. His ability to bounce tacklers, he works off his wing as well. So I think that he would be, for me, he's the closest that I see.

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1039.526 - 1061.731 John O'Sullivan

You could argue maybe that Zach Ward would be a version of that as well. Again, somebody with power, with... with good hands, works hard off his wing and is very difficult to put down. So maybe those two players would be similar-ish, but it would be ish players. And I think they have a little bit to go before we're talking about them as test players.

1061.791 - 1073.284 John O'Sullivan

Now, obviously, I know Shane Bolton made his debut in Portugal for Ireland. So yeah, if they continue to develop, you would see those two as players who have that power game.

1073.686 - 1074.166 Nathan Johns

Fascinating.

Chapter 5: What are the financial implications of retaining James Lowe for Leinster?

1074.327 - 1081.773 Nathan Johns

Looking forward to seeing who gets to fly out to Japan to do the James Lowe interview once he's a Suntory player and all will be revealed. That'll be the day.

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1082.474 - 1103.592 Nathan Johns

Moving on, this kind of slipped under the radar a little bit and I was a little bit surprised because just given the nature of the coverage and the amount of coverage, just the volume of coverage that Munster's hunt for an attack coach has gotten, the fact that they made the decision they did to pivot from Roger Randall, they've gone and got a, well, in our circles, a very familiar, if not big name,

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1103.572 - 1122.677 Nathan Johns

Jared Payne, the former center for Ulster in Ireland, played quite a lot towards the end of the Joe Schmidt era for Ireland, actually. He was a Lion as well, something that people forget, toured in 2017. He's going to be Munster's attack slash backs coach with Mossie Lawler kind of also in a role there. That was a very interesting hire.

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1122.944 - 1145.644 John O'Sullivan

Yeah, he's done it. Yeah, it's a curious one. I don't quite understand how you share a role with somebody else for something that's one dimensional. Like if you're an attack backs coach, well, how are you going to share that role? Or what's the demarcation? Who takes training? Who does what when it comes to, you know, backs attack? Because, you know, backs attack is kind of the one position.

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Chapter 6: Why did the IRFU decline to subsidize James Lowe's contract?

1145.624 - 1164.477 John O'Sullivan

in a general sense. I'm not saying that other people don't have input into how a team attacks and there are various components to that. But yeah, I was kind of surprised. Obviously, Jared Payne has done a lot of defence work in terms of his, if you like, his coaching appointments post, well, with Ulster first and then afterwards.

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1164.457 - 1182.475 John O'Sullivan

He did a little bit of attack for the Scarlets as well as defense initially. And then I think Dwayne Peel took it back at the start of the season. So he had more of an influence, I think, on the attack side of things. So yeah, like Jared Payne as a player was kind of Rolls-Royce to use a bit of a cliche in the way he played.

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1182.495 - 1193.265 John O'Sullivan

So it will be interesting to see what he brings to that role and how it fits with Marcy Lawler as a coach. So how those two mesh will be interesting.

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1193.6 - 1206.242 Nathan Johns

Just interesting. I mentioned the fact that trusted by Schmidt as a player and kind of was that he was a bit of a bridge, wasn't he? Between O'Driscoll in 13 and Ringrose in that 13 jersey for Ireland.

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1206.357 - 1214.184 John O'Sullivan

Yeah, he played full-back as well. He did. So, yeah, he could play. He was a very talented footballer, put it that way.

1214.484 - 1236.364 Nathan Johns

He was, yeah. And trusted, kind of. Maybe it's not surprising that a details coach such as Joe Schmidt, who kind of had these players who he trusted, a lot of them have ended up in coaching. You know, Sexton and O'Connell being two prominent examples, but now Jared Payne as well. Turns out spending a lot of time with Joe may or may not have been a good education for a future career in coaching.

1236.698 - 1245.511 John O'Sullivan

Yeah, I think Munster will be happy. I mean, they've got their coaching. Jimmy Duffy, don't underestimate how important and how good a signing Jimmy Duffy is for Munster.

1246.252 - 1253.862 Nathan Johns

Just to dot that I, he's going to be their forwards coach, correct? Alex Codling's gone to too long and Jimmy Duffy is moving from Ulster to Munster.

1253.882 - 1266.3 John O'Sullivan

Yeah, correct. Jimmy Duffy has a long record of producing very good packs in the sense that the forwards, the performance of the forwards right across all the aspects of the game have been very good.

Chapter 7: What does James Lowe's departure mean for Leinster's playing strategy?

1463.161 - 1485.051 John O'Sullivan

I think he went for his final year at school. He went to Campbell. He's in the Ulster Academy. But between Campbell and playing for Queens in the AIL, he went back and played for the force in Melbourne at under 19 level. So he's been added to the squad. He wasn't part of the Six Nations. And then you look at some of the standout players that you had.

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1485.031 - 1503.439 John O'Sullivan

Pretty much all of them are there, with the exception of the couple of players that I mentioned. Alex Latz, as well, of Shannon. He's another one that was in the original squad, but didn't play in the Six Nations. And then there's players, as you've mentioned, Josh Neal, Dylan McNeice, second row, is another standout. Tom Wood is there. Daniel Ryan did well.

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1503.459 - 1522.973 John O'Sullivan

So it's an exciting... Charlie Maloney is back in. So it's an exciting squad, and there's plenty of football in it. If Ireland can get... a little bit of purchase up front in terms of getting that platform, then they've got plenty of pace. Noah Burns is another standout player. So, you know, they've got plenty of pace and football. And it would be exciting.

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1523.213 - 1526.8 John O'Sullivan

It would be nice if they could win that first game. They've got

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1526.78 - 1548.417 John O'Sullivan

they face Argentina and the USA and Argentina will be tough obviously as well but it would be great if they can win that first game it opens up a lot of possibilities in terms of making that semi-final there's plenty of quality in this squad so injuries permitting and if they properly represent the talent in the squad then yeah you could be reaching the last at least the last four in the competition in the tournament and and to

1548.397 - 1560.567 John O'Sullivan

Tbilisi as well. Going back, all three matches are in Tbilisi. They're on Premier Sports, so you'll be able to watch them. And I don't know too many people who are interested in rugby or enjoy the rugby who don't enjoy watching the 20s.

1561.019 - 1586.166 Nathan Johns

like i said we'll delve into that squad more before that first game so that's saturday the 27th of june so what two and a bit weeks is the first game and the weekend after the urc final and they have a weekend to themselves it's the weekend in between so there's two weeks between the urc final and ireland's first test in australia and that weekend in between is when the 20s are on so maybe the the few days this this time in two weeks we'll we'll do a big preview on on

1586.146 - 1602.653 John O'Sullivan

on that yeah you'll also see like they will play irrespective so they've got three pool matches but they play five matches in total so the last game that Ireland play the Irish 20s play is the same day Ireland play seniors play New Zealand in Eden Park so it's the I think it's the 18th of July is the finals day

1602.633 - 1625.687 John O'Sullivan

You play through your pool matches, you're ranked then after the pool matches and then you play in various playoff games. So you play, all teams play five games in the tournament. So finals day, if you like, depending what position you're playing for right up to the final is Saturday, July the 18th, I think, off the top of my head. And yeah, for us, it's been a long, long, long season.

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