Old Guard vs. New Guard: Why the Rams & Jags are LOCKS

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The Dan Le Batard Show 52 min 5 speakers 8 chapters transcribed
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What insights does the host provide about NFL playoffs?

Dave Dameshek 0:00
Hi and hello and welcome to the playoffs, my fellow football Americans! And to the analytics enthusiasts out there, with all due respect, please put the abacus down for a second and listen up here. I get it, some people love math. A lot of us grew up with Good Will Hunting and the Beautiful Mind Guy as Oscar-winning action heroes. But small sample sizes be damned, of course postseason QB wins are a real stat. You remember in Fight Club when Tyler Durden makes the other Tyler Durden embrace the pain instead of trying to wash it away? That's the NFL playoffs. The analytics peeps insist the performances of quarterbacks in the most critical moments of their careers don't much matter when it comes to determining who the best QBs in the QB league are.
Dave Dameshek 0:41
But then what metrics are we using if not QB wins in the big games? Their stats? Well, Cary Collins has more career passing yards than Joe Montana. Matt Schaub has a better passer rating than Roger Staubach. I don't want to live in a world that says Emmitt Smith is better than Walter Payton because Emmitt had more rushing yards. Now listen, I know no one thinks Trent Dilfer is better than Dan Marino. but I'll bet you Marino would rather have had Eli Manning's career. Likewise, Eli Manning wasn't better than Tom Brady, but winning when it matters most does matter. Is it the number one thing? I don't know, but it's way up there. The guy who gets paid 10 or 20 times more than most of his teammates is more important to winning, and if he loses, he'll get most of the blame.
Dave Dameshek 1:26
Sam Darnold knows what I'm talking about. Silly me, I assumed the ultimate point of every NFL season was to win it all and therefore winning postseason games is actually a terrific measure of an NFL QB's greatness. In my defense, I've been brainwashed by Vince Lombardi, you know, the trophy guy, who said, winning isn't everything, it's the only thing. But you know, maybe the math dorks are right. Maybe we should just end the season around the holidays. Why bother with the playoffs and cold weather and heightened competition and the winner takes all standard? Who needs all that drama, am I right? I like when the mathies insist you can't count rings as a measure of one's greatness. But here's the thing.
Dave Dameshek 2:06
Yes, I can. Listen, the inconvenient truth is this.

How do the Rams and Jaguars compare in the playoffs?

Dave Dameshek 2:10
The majority of Lombardis are won by the teams with the best QBs. Here's the rub, so long as the NFL's brain trust continues its practice of awarding only one Lombardi per year, the math doesn't allow for every good QB to win one. And that's what makes it good. The pressure of singular moments. The guys who do win them are the ones who become enduring legends. Ring your hands all you want, but this is how recorded history works. Of course, there are other factors, but these are footnotes to the main plot. Whatever happens in the playoffs, the great QBs are still going to be great. But when the debate is best ever, rings count. The titles are history's markers. They are everything. I know ignoring reality is all the rage these days, but this isn't about how you feel.
Dave Dameshek 2:56
It's about who wins, aka the only thing. Let's start the playoffs. Let's start the show.
Dave Dameshek 3:15
Yes, hi and hello. Welcome to the Wild Card Round. Welcome to Football America. We're presented by DraftKings. DraftKings, the crown is yours for 14 fan bases at least. These are the good times. Join us throughout this playoff ride. Subscribe, subscribe, subscribe. Spread the good word, would you? Download, listen, experience. wherever you find your podcasts, and on YouTube, Football America, plus Jeff Schwartz, and Jeff Schwartz is smarter than you, also available on that YouTube page, Football America. Speaking of Jeff Schwartz, he's jumping in to help us make the wild card round picks. He'll be with us in just a second. In the meantime, it's episode 41. Mike McDaniel is now out in Miami. That makes, what, eight available head coaching gigs at the time of this recording, maybe by the time you're listening to it,
Dave Dameshek 4:09
One or more of those has been filled by the guy or guys who got rejected from one NFL town and have now landed in another to play hero slash savior there.

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