Is AI About to Crash the Global Economy?

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The David McWilliams Podcast 40 min 2 speakers 3 chapters transcribed 2 months ago
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

David McWilliams 0:00
Today's podcast is all about the AI boom. Is it a boom or is it a bubble? We go back in history to 1873, to a massive railway investment-linked collapse in the American stock markets. We say, is that going to happen again?

What historical 1873 railway crash is the episode comparing to today's AI boom?

David McWilliams 0:15
It's AI, it's America, it's a bit of history, and it's lots of futurology. It's all coming up in a couple of minutes. To understand the economy, you have to understand human nature.
John Davis 0:31
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David McWilliams 0:36
How are you doing there? How is your midsummer ahead? Are you still baking away in Balmy, Dublin, Cork, Galway, Belfast, Limerick, Waterford, wherever you happen to be today? Today's podcast is all going to be about the risk in the United States. of a significant turnabout of events due to the over investment of the Americans in AI technology, which promises to change the future, but has yet to deliver any real returns for the people who put their money in. The question is, can AI deliver before the companies that borrowed huge amounts in order to build the AI infrastructure, need to pay that money back. We're going to look at history, we're going to look at the future, we're going to look at the present, and we're going to make a little connection with Ireland because you'll have seen that in the last couple of days, Intel has announced a big increase in its investment.
David McWilliams 1:36
They're looking for tech bros, et cetera, and tech professionals in League Slip. However, this is all part of the same thing. idea. There is a massive, massive, massive surge in demand for all things technological, for all things chip based. The question is, is it all sustainable? We're going to take you on a little journey to history. We're going to look at the present and we're going to have a stab at the future. Johnny boy, how are you?
John Davis 2:10
I'm good. I'm good. I'm enjoying my nice little break from the World Cup. It means that I get to sleep at night.
David McWilliams 2:17
I know. I know. Dear listener, poor old John. From the very beginning. From the very beginning.
John Davis 2:23
I am a super fan of the World Cup. I didn't think I would be actually, Mac. I was kind of secretly hoping, like an awful lot of people, that the World Cup wouldn't be as successful. But it has been hugely entertaining, that's for sure. And also hugely controversial. But that's part of the joy and excitement of it.
David McWilliams 2:43
Yeah, no, I get the controversial stuff. I get the controversial stuff. But dear listeners, you might not just confide in me. John has an addictive personality and is now emerging in his addiction to late nights watching television. From the 12th of June until today, he hasn't got a wink of sleep. And now he is delighted that the World Cup is winding down so he can get a little bit of kip. But like all Irish people now, he's complained he can't sleep for the heat.
John Davis 3:07
That's right. Exactly. So talk about heat. You're off in Europe. Where are you at this time, Mike?
David McWilliams 3:14
I am in Slovenia. I am in Ljubljana, the capital of the beautiful, almost alpine Republic of Slovenia, was one of the breakaway states of the former Yugoslavia. The Slovenes always regarded themselves as quite different to their Croat, certainly their Serb and Bosnian neighbors. And they have turned this little place in the last 30 years into, in effect, a small version of Switzerland. It looks the same geographically, topologically. It's got mountains, lakes, etc. It's got the Julian Alps, John, the spine of the Alps, the coming down. Absolutely. And it also has, and this is the amazing thing about this place. I think I might have said it in the podcast before. I think we did a podcast from Slovenia about three years ago.
David McWilliams 4:03
It has a sense of central European industry that is not shared by its Balkan neighbors down the road. What do you mean? Every small Slovenian town seems to have a little fabricat, a little place, a little manufacturing place. Almost all Slovenian houses seem to have little, almost tool sheds in the back where everyone's making things. The farms are impeccably maintained. The barns, John, I've got into barns, right? I didn't realize I might have a barn fetish.

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