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The David Pakman Show

It’s backfiring but it might be profitable

13 Mar 2026

Transcription

Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

0.031 - 3.716 David Pakman

We're going to start today with a question that only gets more interesting the deeper you look.

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Chapter 2: How is Donald Trump's Iran war affecting oil prices?

4.316 - 29.008 David Pakman

Is it possible that Donald Trump's Iran war is creating a massive financial windfall for him and his family through oil markets and a strange Venezuelan oil arrangement that his administration controls? I'm going to break it all down and then we'll see where we land on it. We then have the targeting of Gavin Newsom exploding now over Newsom's dyslexia.

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28.988 - 37.761 David Pakman

And as soon as you examine the argument, it falls apart. We'll explain why it's a dishonest attack and why. Why does Gavin Newsom trigger Trump so much anyway?

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Chapter 3: What did Trump say about Gavin Newsom's dyslexia?

38.142 - 64.986 David Pakman

We also have a shocking special election result in Marjorie Taylor Greene's old district in Georgia. A Democrat actually finished first, but it was a multiway race. And Joe Rogan says Trump supporters are right to feel betrayed by the Iran war. And even Republican Senator Rand Paul is warning that the war gas prices and the economy could be disaster for Republicans in November.

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65.307 - 66.19 David Pakman

Well, let's hope so.

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Chapter 4: Why are gas prices expected to remain high according to Rick Scott?

66.23 - 97.707 David Pakman

All of that and more on today's show. Is Donald Trump making millions, hundreds of millions or billions of dollars from the Iran war? When you look at the sequence, it's a pretty logical question. Let's go through it. Trump launches a war with Iran. Oil prices spike. Shipping is disrupted.

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Chapter 5: What does the special election result in Georgia indicate for Democrats?

98.028 - 125.001 David Pakman

The Strait of Hormuz is thrown into crisis. And at the same time, remember that the Trump administration is controlling Venezuelan oil sales through a bizarre arrangement that reporting says Trump himself is overseeing. So that's the setup for this situation. And it very quickly gets very dark. Trump didn't need to seize Iranian oil for there to be money in this.

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Chapter 6: Why do Joe Rogan's supporters feel betrayed by Trump?

125.021 - 152.836 David Pakman

He needed a war that made oil more expensive and he created one. That's exactly what happened. Nicolas Maduro was captured. The Trump administration took control of Venezuelan oil exports and that creates a revenue stream. You've got it. You've got oil sales and money that are all real. So when oil prices jump, the stream of income from the Venezuelan oil gets far more lucrative.

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152.856 - 160.629 David Pakman

This is the mechanism. This is not, you know, it's not Trump loading oil onto ships. It's that he has launched.

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Chapter 7: What was the reaction to Trump's recent speech?

161.33 - 183.588 David Pakman

You could launch or escalate, but he has launched a war and escalated a situation. that drives oil prices higher while his own administration controls oil flow thanks to his decision to go and kidnap Nicolas Maduro. So the oil produces more money and the president who launched the war is reportedly controlling how the proceeds are released.

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184.149 - 199.649 David Pakman

So if this is starting to sound like a setup for corruption, it is. Add in the rest of the information that we have. The public case for the Iran war has been very shaky from the beginning. You know, Trump talked about there's an immediate threat because of nuclear and the reporting doesn't support that.

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200.19 - 222.774 David Pakman

Marco Rubio's explanation sounded less like we have no choice and more like, well, Israel was going to strike and we wanted to get ahead of the fallout, which is also not a very good justification. And that really makes a difference, because if the official rationale for why this is even happening doesn't hold water, you kind of have to ask, is there some hidden reason for this war?

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223.315 - 233.064 David Pakman

And the obvious answer would be Trump just took control of a bunch of Venezuelan oil and now he's doing something to blow up the price of oil.

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Chapter 8: What concerns did Rand Paul express about the Iran war?

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And even Trump admits he wants it to only be temporary. Now, where does the money go? Good question. Originally, the proceeds went through a Qatar based arrangement and then it has shifted into Treasury managed accounts, U.S. Treasury managed accounts.

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251.789 - 278.212 David Pakman

I don't want to overstate this part of it, but the underlying reality is that it's bad enough already without even going further into the speculative part where Trump lines his own pockets. We have an extraordinary oil money set up connected to American military action. and very credible reporting that Trump is controlling the disbursements of that money. That should be a scandal.

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278.292 - 300.426 David Pakman

Like even beyond is this money that's funneled being that's being funneled back to Trump now to be responsible. I should say we do not have proof that Trump is personally profiting from that oil money. We don't have the proof. I'm laying out a circumstantial situation. I don't have a bank record to show you or proof of money going into Trump's bank account or something like that.

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300.406 - 326.558 David Pakman

But that doesn't make the question absurd. It makes it sort of a necessary question. Even if Trump is not pocketing a dollar from the oil sales of the oil whose market value he blew up with the Iran war, who is benefiting, which firms are benefiting, which traders, which donors, which insiders are positioned to make money? from the spike that Donald Trump himself caused.

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326.698 - 346.9 David Pakman

And a lot of times this is how corruption works. It's not like one obvious payment. It's access contracts, timing and a very opaque, bigger picture. So maybe the cleanest way to put this to you is it's not. We know Trump is making millions or billions from the war.

346.88 - 370.26 David Pakman

But it's did Trump launch a war that made the oil system that his administration controls a lot more very valuable and someone is making a killing off of that? If not Trump, we've just got to figure out who the answer is. Yes, the oil resources became significantly more valuable thanks to Trump's war. Trump clearly knew that that was going to happen.

370.761 - 388.199 David Pakman

And so you have an environment for profiteering, corruption, insider benefiting on a massive, massive scale. Totally plausible. Now, we don't have real transparency about where did the money go. Who controls it? Who's benefiting?

388.881 - 409.325 David Pakman

We should keep asking these questions because very often, uh, Ryan holiday recently recommended to me the book war is a racket and what his like a hundred year old book almost. When bombs fall and money flows, follow the money isn't really a conspiracy theory. It's just like we've got to do it.

409.866 - 425.571 David Pakman

And the Venezuela Maduro Trump oil stuff connected now to the context of this optional and totally harebrained Iran war. It's raising a lot of questions. Let me know what you think. Leave me a comment or send me an email info at David Pakman dot com.

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