It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like... the Economic Outlook for US Consumer Spending

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Recorded06 Dec 2025

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In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam dives into the intricacies of U.S. consumer spending as the holiday season approaches. Joined by Michael Zdinak, Ph.D., a director in S&P Global's U.S. economics team, Kristen explores the current economic landscape following a recent government shutdown and its impact on vital economic data. Kristen and Michael discuss the resilience of consumer spending—despite low consumer sentiment—highlighting the factors driving spending behaviors among different income groups. They analyze retail sales trends, the significance of Black Friday, and the growing share of online shopping in holiday sales. Listeners will gain insights into inflation's effects on purchasing power and the expected growth in holiday sales, alongside a nuanced understanding of how consumers are navigating their financial realities this season. Tune in for a comprehensive overview of the U.S. economy as we head into the holidays. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: The Age of Agility: Key Themes for 2026 Global Economic Outlook: November 2025 Widening China import-export imbalance soaking up container capacity For S&P Global subscribers (login required): 2026: The age of agility Inflation indications Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Michael Zdinak Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun

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