Chapter 1: Why is the Strait of Hormuz significant for global oil supply?
War affects supply chains, and right now, one of the most important shipping routes in the world, the Strait of Hormuz, along Iran's southern border, is under massive strain. About 20% of the world's oil passes through it, and when conflicts in that region occur, It is effectively closed right now. Consequences will ripple out fast.
Air freight costs have already soared by as much as 400 percent. Some shipping routes now require detours that add close to a million dollars to a single voyage. And those costs are passed right along to you. Experts are warning that this could escalate before it even starts to settle down. What happens the next time you need a prescription and the pharmacy can't get it?
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Chapter 2: How has the conflict in the region affected shipping costs?
Today, the condensed version of the podcast is really good. It has some really useful things in it, but get a full perspective and understanding of all of it. You should listen to the full podcast. You can get that right here and also at glennbeck.com slash torch. Get the full thing today.
But if you only have time for the edited version, six stories today that tell you exactly where we are as a nation, 12 things that you can do to make sure you're not part of the problem and practice one of the, most important things that we need in our country, and that is courage. Also, why, if we are energy independent, are we spending so much money at the gas station?
Why do we care what's coming through the straits of Hormuz? Carol has that answer. You don't want to miss it. All on the edited version of today's podcast.
You're listening to... The best of the Glenn Beck Program.
You know, we always see things and we read history and we're like, how did these people miss this? How did the people living at that time not see that what was coming their way? Because people say the same thing every time. It will never go that far. Not this time. It's different this time. And it's usually not. So let me tell you the things that you need to watch for.
And all these things are happening right now. Let's start with... Cultural pressure to conform. Is that happening? Not legally, not legally, socially. When silence becomes safer than speaking. Or the next step, language that removes legitimacy from any opposition. They're not wrong, but they shouldn't be allowed. then the normalization of unequal justice.
Similar actions produce wildly different consequences depending on the political alignment. You're seeing that in Chicago right now. Guy with a gun kills a woman on a pier. You know how that ends in Chicago? Not this time because he's an illegal. So now he's the hero. Then the last one in difference from the public, this is the final stage before I believe acceleration.
So what do you do about it? I don't know who I'm going to talk to in the audience here because not everybody will think this way. Not everybody will understand it, but it's going to take enough of us. There has to be enough of us that are willing to say that is unthinkable, but possible. And I cannot be the quiet one in the crowd.
When the crowd starts crying for blood, left, right, indifferent, it doesn't matter. When the world truly goes insane and we have lost it because the crowd is indifferent. How do you round up a bunch of people? You lie to them and you convince other people that your lies are true and they shrug. They don't show up for one reason or another. They just don't show up.
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Chapter 3: What courageous actions can individuals take in political discourse?
You must be a road bump. Every time you bend the truth to make your life a little bit easier, you are rehearsing for surrender. And every time you speak it calmly and clearly, you are rehearsing courage. Next thing you have to do, build a tolerance for social friction. Most people don't fear jail because they don't see themselves going to jail. They fear being disliked. Start there.
Say something mildly unpopular in a calm setting. Not to cause trouble, just to rehearse. Disagree without raising your voice. Hold your ground without needing approval or to win. Just, that's not true. If you can't endure an awkward conversation, you will not be able to endure real pressure. And this must be courage is a muscle.
You must practice these things, but you must do it in a peaceful way. Next thing, separate your identity from your tribe. The moment your beliefs are tied to your group's approval, you're owned, you're dead. That's stacked justification.
Chapter 4: Why should we care about oil imports despite US energy independence?
You may come in with one viewpoint that you think is reasonable, but this society now makes it so you must agree with all of it because you're a traitor if you don't. And you will be forever afraid of being exposed, so you go along with it. Separate yourself from your tribe. Criticize your own side when they're wrong. Defend fairness for people you disagree with.
Refuse to cheer for something just because it benefits your team. This builds independence and that's the core of moral stability. You have to be independent. You have to think for yourself and you have to have the courage to say it. Number four, strengthen your understanding of first principles, not talking points, principles.
Know things deeply, like why free speech matters, especially for views you dislike. You've probably said it a million times if you're my age. I strongly disagree, but I'll defend with my life your right to say those things. Why? Why would you do that? Why is free speech important? Why is equal justice important even when it's really inconvenient?
Why does due process matter for everyone, including the guilty? If you don't understand why something matters, you will trade it away when it's tested because you won't be able to defend it. Next, limit your consumption of outrage. This is something I am trying to limit my vomiting of outrage on you.
I am trying to give you perspective and things that you can actually use in your life because I do believe troubled times are coming. Outrage feels like action, but it's not. It exhausts you. It distorts you. It makes it feel like everything is urgent, and yet If everything is urgent, nothing really is urgent or important. So set boundaries on news intake. Seek primary sources over commentary.
I say that understanding that I'm a commentator. You're much better off if you could find primary sources to get the news. You should get the news from a primary source over me or anybody else. But if you do listen to commentary, try to listen to the ones that are not pouring gasoline. They're trying to be fair.
And know that you can't really trust them either because everybody has their own thing. Ask, does this affect my actual behavior? Clarity is strength. Constant agitation is weakness. Six, build real-world relationships. Isolation is the breeding ground of fear. You are far less likely to stand alone. You are far more likely to stand with others that are around you that you trust.
So know your neighbors, have conversations outside of your echo chamber, build relationships built on shared values, not just shared opinions. We are building a society on shared opinions. That's death. We have to be shared values and principles. Freedom has always been defended in communities, not in comment sections. Practice self-discipline in unrelated areas.
This seems totally disconnected, but the more I think about this one, the more I think it's true. You have to keep your commitments because you remember courage is a muscle. Everything is a muscle. And if you don't exercise it when you're not needing it, it's not going to be there. I can't go run a five-minute mile. I can't go run a 25-minute mile, okay? Because I'm not exercising.
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Chapter 5: What are the implications of AI on the job market?
You can either be somebody who shrugs and goes, well, nothing I can do about it, so I'm not paying attention to it. Ah, it doesn't matter. Everybody's doing it. Or people, one of the people who practiced when it was really easy so they could stand when it wasn't easy. Because when that moment comes, you will not rise to the occasion. You will only fall to the level of your preparation.
Chapter 6: How does the government influence our understanding of AI?
You're listening to the best of the Glenn Beck Program. Carol Roth is with us. She has her newsletter every day. You want to understand the economy, she speaks your language, carolroth.com slash news. Carol, there's several things I want to talk to you about, but the first one that I don't understand is Why oil dropped so dramatically?
Why everything is as stable as it is when really we have no news? We don't know who we're negotiating with. Iran came out with horrible demands that seem insane. We came out with our 15 point plan for peace. But the world kind of went, OK, you know what? This is good. And the price of oil went down, which is great. But what are they basing this on?
Well, first, Glenn, I'd just like everyone to know that in addition to a background in finance, business, and economics, I have seen both seasons of Landman. So I feel like this is right in my sweet spot to be able to explain to everybody.
Right. No. Right. I got it. I got it. Good.
Good. So the headline that is hitting the markets, and you have to remember that markets react to immediate news and You know, they look out long-term kind of, but they do tend to go kind of minute to minute, you know, when you're looking at it at any point in time. So the news that came out on CNBC is that Iran signaled safe passage for, quote, non-hostile ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
So the market is interpreting that, whether it's true or not, but in this moment of time, that there is going to be more opening, and particularly for countries that it may be well aligned with, especially Asia, who is very much affected by the non-travel of ships through this critical junction. There has been at least the interpretation of a signal that that is going to open up somewhat,
So they're perceiving that as, okay, things are moving in the right direction, that there may be more transportation going through, and that is what is feeding into prices across the markets today, starting with that drop in oil, whether it's true or not.
Okay, so here's where, you know, I said earlier today, look, there's nothing you can do because we don't know. So this is something, be aware of, but just don't worry about it. Because you don't know if it's going to get really bad or it's going to get really good. We have no idea. Everybody is just speculating. And so...
when you look at the price of oil, I just don't want to be on this roller coaster every day going, Oh, it's good. It's good. Everything's getting better. And then tomorrow it's no, it's all going to fall apart. It's going to be $250 a barrel because they don't know what they're talking about. There is just speculation.
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Chapter 7: How can we practice courage in everyday situations?
Is that accurate?
It is entirely speculation. And you have all of these Wall Street houses that are coming out with their predictions, which are forming the consensus of what people are thinking on Wall Street. And it's based on a guess. And that's going to move from moment to moment based on what happens. And by the way, it's like a choose-your-own-adventure book. But there's like 17 different paths to go down.
And depending on which path one person goes down, another 17 open up. So we don't know. There's a great clip that's going around social media this morning with people asking kids on spring break about what's going on in Iran. They have absolutely no idea. That's kind of everybody's best bet, at least for the short term, because it's going to drive you crazy otherwise.
Can I tell you, do you remember you remember the Gulf War, the first Gulf War? And I remember what was his name? Bernie, somebody on CNN, the anchor Bernie. He was I think he was over in Kuwait when that started going and they were showing the footage and the green missiles and the lights and everything else. It was night vision and we were watching it on TV.
The difference between what we see on TV now and what we saw back then, we were actually getting news. I don't think we're getting news. We're just getting opinions all the time. And opinions, I'm so sick of opinions. I'm an opinion guy, Carol. I am so sick of people like me who are just talking out their butt. They have no idea. They're guessing like everybody else.
But it's not fair for you to put yourself in the same category because you actually give caveats. use information, you educate yourself so they're at least informed opinions. The difference that we had between back then, I think I was in high school back then, is that we didn't have social media.
So now everybody who was an expert on tariffs last week is now an expert on Iran and geopolitics this week. Next week, they're going to be an expert on AI. And you're just hearing all of the noise that everybody feels empowered to just put out into the universe. You know, we used to have diaries, write down our thoughts. Now we just say, hey, we want everybody to know everything we're thinking.
There is no off filter. And it's overwhelming. It really is.
Yeah. It's really not helpful. I mean, we do it to ourselves. I'm not talking about, you know, regulating anybody or anything like that. I'm just like, regulate yourself. I just turn it off because it's like it's not useful. It's just not useful.
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