The Pentagon is currently preparing plans for a weeks-long ground operation in Iran, including a raid on Kharg Island—where 90% of Iran's crude oil exports are processed—despite military experts warning that 50,000 troops are nowhere near enough for a decisive victory in a country of 93 million people with rugged terrain and a formidable military. Jimmy notes that even experts admit any ground incursion would lead to heavy casualties, political backlash, and prolonged conflict, while Iran has been preparing for this invasion for decades. He points out that Iran is already winning the war: it has seized control of the Strait of Hormuz, is charging $2 million tolls per tanker, and has achieved its long-sought goal of getting U.S. oil sanctions lifted—something diplomacy could never accomplish. He warns that if the U.S. attacks Kharg Island, Iran will retaliate by destroying oil infrastructure across the Gulf States, triggering a global depression and food crisis. Plus segments on Marco Rubio's admission that Iran will control the Strait of Hormuz after the war ends, reports emerging that the bullet that killed Charlie Kirk doesn't match the gun allegedly used by Tyler Robinson, and the Israeli army sitting out a ground invasion of Iran. Also featuring Jeffrey Sachs, Stef Zamorano and Mike MacRae. And a phone call from JD Vance!

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“What did the council decide on item 42?” — answered with the speaker and the moment.