Chapter 1: What is the significance of Elon Musk's $1.25 trillion megamerger?
This week, billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk announced some major news having to do with two of his companies.
We're going to start with the world's richest man and the biggest merger of all time.
Elon Musk making a major power move, merging XAI and SpaceX. Saying that SpaceX and XAI together would be valued at $1.25 trillion again. This is And $1.25 trillion, that's a really, really, really big company, yes?
Yes. Not a lot of companies crossed the $1 trillion mark.
Our colleague, Berber Jin, covers tech.
And besides the sheer value of this mega company, why should I care about this?
That's a great question. First of all, there hasn't ever really been a company that looks like the way the new SpaceX will look like.
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Chapter 2: How do SpaceX and xAI's missions align with Musk's vision?
Elon Musk essentially merged an AI research company that builds what Elon calls a truth-seeking AI chatbot with a space company that sends rockets into space and has satellites that build global internet connectivity. So on the face of it, there isn't that much that ties the two companies together.
But Elon Musk does have a grand vision that marries AI and space. And so he made the deal happen, seemingly at light speed. Is this something any billionaire can do, or is this very much an Elon Musk thing?
This is very much an Elon Musk thing, but he has a very loyal shareholder base that has a lot of faith in him. He says he has famously never lost any of his investors any money, and he takes that pledge really seriously.
Welcome to The Journal, our show about money, business, and power. I'm Jessica Mendoza. It's Friday, February 6th. Coming up on the show, Elon Musk's AI rocket ship mega merger.
Chapter 3: Why is Musk's merger considered a unique move in the tech industry?
In a blog post announcing the merger, Musk explained his vision for his newly combined trillion-dollar mega-company.
This was actually a really Elon blog post. There are emojis in it and jokes that are very Musk-coded.
Musk wrote that this new endeavor will, quote, extend the light of consciousness to the stars, enable the creation of colonies on Mars, and ensure, quote, humanity's multi-planetary future. Musk also lays out what he says is the driving cause for combining SpaceX and XAI, data centers in space.
See, he talks about why it makes a lot of sense to put data centers in space. He says, the only logical solution is to transport these resource intensive efforts to a location with vast power and space. I mean, space is called space for a reason. Laughing emoji.
The idea is that AI data centers on Earth take up a lot of land and power. It's a big drain. But in space, neither of those issues are problems, at least theoretically.
In space, there's a very big source of power, that is the sun, and you need rockets to launch satellites operating those data centers into space. And if that is the case, SpaceX is the world's largest rocket launching company, and so therefore it stands to benefit a lot.
The idea here is that solar will be what powers these data centers, which I suppose in space you have plenty of access to that.
That's the idea. And it is fraught with a lot of engineering challenges. Like I think if you talk to anyone, even the most optimistic investors and CEOs who are dreaming of this, they acknowledge that it'll take a few years. There are a lot of engineering challenges that come with putting them and having them operate successfully in space.
Elon Musk, he's dreamed for the stars for his whole life. He is, you know, obsessed with moving civilization from Earth to Mars. And so if you're him, right, I mean, this is a very tantalizing prospect.
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Chapter 4: What challenges do AI data centers in space present?
Just a few days ago, Tesla, his electric vehicle company, did exactly that, investing $2 billion in XAI. And Musk has also sometimes combined businesses. Like last year, when X, formerly known as Twitter, combined with XAI.
For a long time, XAI and XE was clear that their businesses were kind of intertwined, like they were sharing data center capacity and employees were moving between the two. Grok, the XAI chatbot, was put on X as a product that people could use.
So he ended up merging those two businesses last spring, and a lot of people at the time saw it as a way to kind of fortify two struggling businesses in Elon's empire.
This time, having SpaceX acquire XAI would give the AI startup a major financial boost because SpaceX has a lot of money.
XAI can continue to do its AI research without having to worry that much about all these business questions around profitability and growing revenue because SpaceX is such a strong business and has such a strong financial profile.
SpaceX is also planning to go public this year, as early as this summer, according to Wall Street Journal reporting. And for XAI, being hitched to SpaceX ahead of an initial public offering gives it more financial muscle to compete with other AI companies, like OpenAI and Anthropic. Both of those companies are also considering going public later in the year.
And through the SpaceX IPO, now, XAI might beat them to the punch.
There's an advantage to going out first. If SpaceX has a huge IPO, and now I guess since SpaceX is an AI company, right, they get to raise a lot more money. They get the benefit of the kind of halo and the attention around going public. And it definitely, I think, puts more pressure on OpenAI and Anthropic.
What have XAI shareholders said about the acquisition?
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Chapter 5: How does the merger impact the financial landscape of AI companies?
And it's kind of the crown jewel of Elon's empire.
Even before it acquired XAI, SpaceX was already a customer and an investor in the AI startup. According to people familiar with the matter, SpaceX uses a custom version of the XAI chatbot Grok, which is known internally as Spock. SpaceX also invested $2 billion in XAI last summer.
But despite the rocket company's involvement with XAI, actually combining the two companies has been the subject of intense discussion for people close to SpaceX.
The rationale for the acquisition, there isn't really like an immediate tangible benefit to SpaceX's bottom line, right? The case you can make is that they could work together to figure out the technology needed to build data centers that are able to operate successfully in space, right? They're able to work on the design together. SpaceX would have...
more of a sense of the research direction that XAI is going in, you know, how to design systems that kind of work very well with the models that XAI is training. So I guess that's the kind of the benefit that SpaceX would get in theory.
It was late last year that work on the deal picked up steam, according to recent Wall Street Journal reporting.
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Chapter 6: What are the investor reactions to the SpaceX and xAI merger?
At that point, the idea of combining SpaceX and XAI became a priority for people in Musk's inner circle. Soon, SpaceX executives were selling the company's new focus on AI satellites to banks and investors, people familiar with the discussion said. On January 31st, SpaceX and XAI signed a merger agreement that created a $1.25 trillion company. The deal closed two days later.
Now, with SpaceX reportedly set to debut on the stock market in the coming months, executives at the mega company and Elon Musk have to sell their vision to the public. Is this risky for the valuation of SpaceX? Will it change anything about its plan to go public, if at all?
I think it definitely complicates the plan to go public for two reasons. I mean, first, they have to actually integrate and unify the cultures, right? So there's a lot of legwork to do there, and that takes time. And usually when a company goes public, they already have that stuff mostly sorted out.
Mm-hmm.
The second thing goes to this question of how are they going to sell this new business? The way Wall Street works is people, I mean, it's all about narrative. The question is, are they buying the narrative that the company is selling?
It's not unusual for a more established, profitable company to buy a small startup with a lot of potential but not a lot of revenue. But Berber says this acquisition is different, in part because Musk owns both companies, so investors might see it as a conflicted transaction. Also, the synergies Musk is promising, specifically these data centers in space, are an unproven technology.
even if you're going to give Elon buy-in to his vision, it is a bet that is very much ambitious. Some people would even say, you know... Out of this world? Out of this world, overly idealistic. And if you're a cynic, right, and I've spoken to a lot of investors who are a little bit more cynical of Elon's motivations, they would say it's just a way for him to save XAI.
The mega merger shows how committed Musk is to his grand ambitions for a multi-planetary human species. But it also makes clear that his focus on AI is paramount.
He is really willing to do whatever it takes to win in AI. And it's become clearer than ever that he is willing to leverage the power of other parts of his empire to shore up ex-AI.
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Chapter 7: What potential benefits does SpaceX gain from acquiring xAI?
Our engineers are Griffin Tanner, Nathan Singapak, and Peter Leonard. Our theme music is by So Wiley. Additional music this week from Katherine Anderson, Peter Leonard, Bobby Lord, Emma Munger, Nathan Singapak, Griffin Tanner, and Blue Dot Sessions. Fact-checking this week by Mary Mathis. Thanks for listening. See you on Monday.