Is SpaceX Worth the Hype?

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The Journal. 20 min 2 speakers 6 chapters transcribed 3 months ago
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What is the significance of SpaceX's upcoming IPO?

Ryan Knudson 0:05
Elon Musk's company SpaceX is going public, meaning at some point on Friday, SpaceX will begin selling shares on the stock market. And it's aiming to raise a lot of money.
Corrie Driebusch 0:18
SpaceX is by far the largest IPO ever. So I don't even have to say the largest that I've covered. It's the largest ever.
Ryan Knudson 0:28
Our colleague Cori Dreebush is an expert in Initial Public Offerings, or IPOs. And she says that the amount of money that SpaceX is aiming to raise, a whopping $75 billion, is more than the amount typically raised in an entire year by all other IPOs combined.
Corrie Driebusch 0:47
So think about the total dollars that are raised in a year by IPOs in the U.S.
Ryan Knudson 0:54
So all of the companies that are listing, all the money that they're raising from all these investors.
Corrie Driebusch 0:58
Yeah, all the companies listing in the U.S. to raise money each year. If you look back the last 10 years, that total has only exceeded the $75 billion SpaceX is going for twice.
Ryan Knudson 1:11
That is, forgive the pun, astronomical.
Corrie Driebusch 1:15
It's pretty crazy.
Ryan Knudson 1:17
So what does that tell you?

How does SpaceX's IPO compare to previous IPOs?

Corrie Driebusch 1:19
It speaks a lot to the craziness of what SpaceX hopes and dreams to do. They kind of believe in almost the quote-unquote impossible.
Ryan Knudson 1:35
The price SpaceX is selling shares for values the company at $1.77 trillion. That puts it among the top 10 most valuable companies in the world. On paper, does it look like SpaceX is a company that should be worth $1.7 trillion?
Corrie Driebusch 1:55
SpaceX is selling itself based on its potential, not its current ability to turn profits. SpaceX, in its current iteration, is unprofitable. You're buying in to what it could be, not what it is right now.
Ryan Knudson 2:16
Welcome to The Journal, our show about money, business, and power. I'm Ryan Knudson. It's Thursday, June 11th. Coming up on the show, is SpaceX really worth $1.7 trillion?
Ryan Knudson 2:49
When Elon Musk founded SpaceX in the early 2000s, he had big dreams for what the company could accomplish.
The long-term goal of SpaceX is perhaps not a very commercial-sounding goal at all, which is to really build the technologies necessary to make life multi-planetary.
Ryan Knudson 3:05
Human life on other planets? His vision wasn't always taken that seriously. For one, Musk didn't have a background in aerospace. And for the most part, launching rockets into space had been NASA's domain, not a private company's. It didn't help that getting rockets into orbit is no easy task. It's literally rocket science. Plus, it's super expensive and dangerous. The first three rockets SpaceX launched. And here we go in 10, nine, eight, seven. They never made it into orbit. Five, four. The Falcon 1 rockets, which cost millions of dollars to make, were either destroyed or lost mid-flight. But in 2008, SpaceX finally started to take off when Falcon 1 Flight 4 successfully reached orbit.
Which means Falcon 1 has made history as the first privately developed launch vehicle to reach Earth orbit from the ground.
Ryan Knudson 4:10
SpaceX later expanded beyond the rocket business. It went on to launch a satellite internet arm called Starlink, and it eventually merged with XAI, Musk's artificial intelligence startup, which also owns the social media platform X, by the way. So SpaceX is now a rockets, internet, AI, and social media company. How all that works out financially was mostly a mystery. Since it was a privately owned company, it didn't have to disclose very much, even to its original investors.
Corrie Driebusch 4:42
One thing that's been fascinating about SpaceX for the many years that I've been watching the company is it's been notoriously so secretive about its finances. So the majority of pre-IPO investors have been in the dark about how much it made or lost.
Ryan Knudson 4:59
That's changing now that the company is going public. To be listed on stock exchanges, companies have to disclose a lot. A few weeks ago, SpaceX released a document that was several hundred pages long and outlined the financial state of the business. Let's start with the part of the business that's making money, Starlink.
Corrie Driebusch 5:22
When you think of SpaceX, even just the name, you think of rockets and space travel. But the part of the business that's really propping up the company right now is actually much more boring.

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