Chapter 1: What critical statements did Jerome Powell make about Trump?
Donald Trump was just hit with nightmare news as the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell just went nuclear on him. The announcement today was Jerome Powell's last address regarding the interest rates and whether they would be cut or not. The Fed ultimately decided to leave interest rates unchanged.
But a statement that came out from the Fed is very telling, whereas previously the way inflation was described was somewhat elevated. Right now, inflation is being described as increasing. actually elevated.
And then when Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke, he said a number of things demonstrating just how catastrophic Donald Trump has been for the economy, making the dual mandate of the Federal Reserve virtually impossible as Trump has created essentially a stagflation environment.
Chapter 2: What was the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates?
Notably, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell also stated that the legal action and the attacks on the Federal Reserve by the Trump regime are unprecedented in the institution's history. And Jerome Powell says that he fears for the independence of the Fed. Powerful words indeed. And Chairman Powell also said that
that when his term ends in May, as it's about to end, and a new Federal Reserve chairman, it's going to be that guy Warsh who was hanging out with Epstein, he's in the Epstein files, when he becomes the new chairman of the Federal Reserve, Powell said, I'm not leaving.
This is the first time that the chairman of the Federal Reserve has not left since 1948 after fulfilling their term as the chairman of the Federal Reserve. Oftentimes you go into retirement and you don't just stay on as a Federal Reserve governor. But he goes, no, I'm gonna stay on. I'm gonna do my job quietly because he fears for the independence of the Fed.
And he also knows that if he leaves, Donald Trump is likely going to continue to attack him. So he goes, nope, I'm gonna stay and I'm gonna see this out. I wanna show you specifically what Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell was saying at his last address regarding interest rate cuts, where he said no interest rate cuts also.
It certainly doesn't seem that there's going to be interest rate cuts anytime this year. I can't even imagine next year. I think, if anything, interest rates will likely be raised next year. And if you're saying, well, Ben, isn't Donald Trump picking his guy to be the chairman? And aren't they going to all then lower the interest rates?
They really don't have the votes for that overall, especially if Jerome Powell is staying on, which he's doing because he doesn't trust the Trump regime. And when you look at PCE inflation right now, it's at 3.5% year over year in March, with core PCE at 3.2%, with near-term inflation expectations having moved higher, while long-term expectations do remain consistent with a 2% target.
But that target keeps getting moved back and back and back and back. as Donald Trump keeps on engaging in conduct that's causing inflation. Here's what Jerome Powell said during his press conference, where he goes, energy prices haven't even come close to peaking yet. Here, let's play this clip.
For a long time, we've been
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Chapter 3: How does Jerome Powell describe the current inflation situation?
working on the hypothesis really that tariffs would lead to a one-time price increase and that that would go away over time. In other words, that there would be no further change. So measured inflation wouldn't reflect that higher level going up more and more. And it's time for that to happen. We really do expect that to be happening in the next two quarters.
So we'll be watching very carefully to see that what we've thought all along would happen. That's kind of critical part of the forecast. We need to really see that. With energy, it's so hard to say. I mentioned in sort of the textbook, you would look through an oil shock because they tend to be short-lived and they tend to revert. And monetary policy works with long and variable lags.
you wouldn't necessarily react right away. I think that is all the more true given that we're several years above 2% inflation and that we're already looking through the tariff shock. So I think we're going to be very cautious about that. But the question about looking through energy really is not in front of us right now. It hasn't even peaked yet.
And I think we'd want to see the backside of that and progress on tariffs before we even thought about reducing rates.
So if I could follow up more from Jerome Powell here, who says that he's got deep concerns regarding the independence of the Fed that are unprecedented in the history of the Federal Reserve. Play this clip.
Thank you, Mr. Chair.
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Chapter 4: What unprecedented actions has Trump taken against the Federal Reserve?
Appreciate the kind words about the press often doesn't come from the podium in different places, but appreciate that. Can you talk about what is gone into your decision to remain on the board? What kind of criteria are you weighing and how long might you stay? Thank you.
Sure. So, you know, my concern is really about the series of legal attacks on the Fed, which threaten our ability to conduct monetary policy without considering political factors. And I want to note here, this has nothing whatever to do with verbal criticism by elected officials. I've never suggested that such verbal criticism is a problem and neither has anyone else here.
But these legal actions by the administration are unprecedented in our 113-year history, and there are ongoing threats of additional such actions. I worry that these attacks are battering the institution and putting at risk the thing that really matters to the public, which is the ability to conduct monetary policy without taking into consideration political factors.
It is so important for our economy, for the people that we serve, that they can depend over time on a central bank that operates that way, free of political influence. It's part of the absolute foundation of this amazing economy that we have. It's just one of the many reasons why the US economy is the envy of the world.
That piece of an institutional architecture separates successful countries from unsuccessful countries, It is extremely important, not for the people who work at the Fed at any given time, but for the people that we serve, that the Fed remain able to conduct monetary policy in a way that doesn't get pulled into politics, trying to help or hurt any particular politician or political party.
It's critical for the people that we serve. In terms of when I would leave, I will leave when I think it's appropriate to do so. Was that all your questions?
Then Chairman Powell talks about the real catastrophic inflation situation we're in now because of Donald Trump and his regime. Here, play this clip.
Inflation has moved up recently and is elevated relative to our 2% longer run goal. Estimates based on the Consumer Price Index and other data indicate that total PCE prices rose 3.5% over the 12 months ending in March, boosted by the significant rise in global oil prices that has resulted from the conflict in the Middle East.
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Chapter 5: Why does Powell choose to remain on the Federal Reserve board?
Excluding the volatile food and energy categories, core PCE prices rose 3.2% over the 12 months ending in March. This relatively high rate largely reflects the effects of tariffs on prices in the goods sector. Near-term measures of inflation expectations have risen this year, likely because of the substantial rise in oil prices.
Powell further talks about how inflation has moved up. Let's play this clip.
Inflation has moved up and is elevated in part reflecting the recent increase in global energy prices. Today, the FOMC decided to leave our policy rate unchanged. We see the current stance of monetary policy as appropriate to promote progress toward our maximum employment and 2% inflation goals.
Developments in the Middle East are contributing to a high level of uncertainty about the economic outlook, and we will remain attentive to risks to both sides of our dual mandate.
And he talks about how there's been a slowdown in job growth. One major driver is Trump's attack on immigrants. That's a major part of the labor force. But another major part is just stagnant job growth in general. Trump is a loser when it comes to jobs.
Here, play this clip. A good part of the slowing in the pace of the job growth over the past year reflects a decline in the growth of the labor force due to lower immigration and labor force participation, though labor demand has clearly softened as well. Other indicators, including job openings, layoffs, hiring, and nominal wage growth generally show little change in recent months.
And I've long said this, folks, we are in a jobs recession right now. You don't need to hear it from me. You know we're in a jobs recession right now. But are we talking about manufacturing jobs or across the board jobs? Trump hasn't created any new jobs. You remember under former President Biden, we're on a month-to-month basis.
300,000 new jobs were created, 200,000 new jobs, 400,000 new jobs created. Regardless of the later adjustments, massive jobs were created, the most in American history. The most jobs in American history under any presidency, objectively, they were created under former President Biden. Then Donald Trump's like, I'm going to do it better. I'm going to do it better. Just give me two weeks.
And then Donald Trump not only made it worse, but just like Trump's first term where he was a job losing president. Oops, he did it again because he's a lifelong loser who bankrupts things. More on Jerome Powell right here, who said he's not leaving the board, the Federal Reserve Board.
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Chapter 6: What are the implications of Trump's economic policies on job growth?
There's only ever one chair of the Federal Reserve Board. When Kevin Warsh is confirmed and sworn in, he will be that chair. Once sworn in as board chair, his new colleagues will elect him to chair the FOMC as well.
And he's like, let me be clear. I'm literally staying because of the actions being taken against me and the Federal Reserve in general. He goes, I was planning on retiring, but because of these actions, that's what inspired me to stay because I feel that I have an obligation to protect the independence of this thing. So I'm going to make a sacrifice and stay on. Here, let's play this clip.
What would you say to the criticism that by remaining on the board, you're actually taking a political act and denying President Trump the majority of the board, which as president he would have if you left?
I don't see that at all. As I mentioned, I'm literally staying because of the actions that have been taken. I had long planned to be retiring, and the things that have happened really in the last three months have, I think, left me no choice but to stay until I see them through at least that long. In addition, I don't see how this will interfere. My intention is not to interfere.
And folks, you know the price of the gas right now is atrocious. The average price for a gallon of gas in the U.S. is now rising to $4.23 a gallon. I mean, out here in California, it's like six bucks. It's the highest since 2022 nationally right now. Brent crude oil prices officially surged to their highest level of the Iran war at $119.50 per barrel.
So in the entire war right now, the entire thing, we're at $119.50. And this comes as Donald Trump also was like, I love the blockade. Genius. We're just going to do the blockade forever. This puts Brent crude oil prices at their highest level since 2022. The IEA has called this the biggest energy security threat in history.
And as I noted before, the Fed is no longer expected to do any interest rate cuts in 2026. And if Donald Trump just did freaking nothing, if he did nothing, if he just let Biden's economy go on overdrive, that's why I say my little daughter Ximena would have done a better job than Donald Trump because she would have just listened to Elmo and Abby all day. And...
and it wouldn't have to be all of the moves that hurt. Seriously, my 18 month old would do better than Donald Trump in the presidency because she'd just be watching Elmo and Miss Rachel. But Donald Trump screwed it all up, all of his moves. Now we can do rate cuts. Now we're losing jobs. Now we're back in inflation where everything was moving in the right direction.
Well, all of that's taking place. Donald Trump was in the Oval Office saying, I love the blockade. Genius. The blockade is a genius. Listen to what he said. Here, play this clip.
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Chapter 7: How does Powell assess the impact of energy prices on inflation?
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