Steve Price: Australian correspondent on Pauline Hanson being named preferred Prime Minister in Queensland
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
Steve Price. Morning, mate.
Speaking of voters.
Yes, indeed. She's hot as.
What does the latest Queensland poll reveal about Pauline Hanson’s popularity?
I mean, I'm reading this thing, the news poll for the Australian Queensland, 36 to 25. Yeah,
you've asked me a lot and so have other people. Is the Hanson thing real? Will it last? Can it go all the way to the next election? And I keep answering, I'm not quite sure, but we'll find out in Victoria and then we'll find out in New South Wales. But You mentioned the news poll. This is an aggregate, so they add up all of the responses they got from July through to September. And the One Nation Party is ahead on primary vote in New South Wales and Queensland. which does not surprise me. They're one point behind in WA and South Australia. They're not as popular in Victoria. So the poll in eight weeks' time here is not going to give us such a great indicator of what might happen in a federal poll. But overall, Pauline Hanson's now the preferred prime minister.
Who would have ever thought I was going to say that to you? And they don't appear to be losing ground. When you dig down into the demographics... It does show me one really interesting thing, and that is that this is not just coming off, taking bark off the coalition. This is also taking a lot of bark off the Labour Party. So they've lost ground in most age, education, language, housing and income demographics. Labor has copped the biggest backlash from voters aged between 35 and 49. That's another thing that surprised me. Most people say, oh, One Nation is just old baby boomers voting for them. They're not going to do very well when it comes to the national election. But they've fallen behind. Labor has in both male and female voters.
More men support One Nation, 31%, than women, 27%. And then you look at the age demographics. Now, support for One Nation is strongest between that 35 and 64-year-old age bracket. Australians without a university degree and who identify as Christian. So that also is extraordinarily interesting. Labor used its budget, as we know, to try and get younger voters. That's not worked either. There is a bunch of younger people who also want to vote One Nation. And then the real kicker, one in five voters who speak another language at home are supporting One Nation. Now, they're trying to be painted by their opponents as anti-migrant and racist. Right. It's quite extraordinary. The numbers are amazing.
Could I argue, let me proffer you this, the reason they're not doing as well in WA and South Australia, is it possible because WA is wealthy and doing well in the perception of WA, you've got all your money in the ground, et cetera, so you're okay, thank you. And in South Australia, melanouscus is pretty popular. So if you go to a place where the anger is not as great, you won't be tapping into as much support.
Sort of, but they're only one point behind in both of those states. The place where they're further behind is Victoria, and Victoria has always been a left-leaning state, both in state politics. We've had one conservative government here in Victoria. I think, in about the last 20 years, and the union movement was born out of Melbourne, and so Victorians are much more left-leaning and less likely to vote One Nation. But you're right, WA is doing well, and so, you know, you probably go, oh, well, we'll just vote the same government we got back in because who wants to change things? But the One Nation thing is certainly real, and you wait. We've already seen the dirt units... come up with as much stuff as they can so far.
They'll be digging a lot deeper right now.
And Albanese, if he's not worried about that, will be worried tomorrow when Michelle puts the interest rates up for, what is it now, the fourth time?
Yep, that's right. The Reserve Bank meets about 2.30 our time tomorrow. The tip is 0.25, so that'll take the interest rate rises to four, and that's a full percentage point. And one of the problems we've got there is that, you know, She's trying to stop inflation, but it's going to wipe $100,000 off the borrowing power of a typical first-home-buying couple who are earning $200,000.
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