Munk Dialogue with Andrew Coyne: Is Carney’s momentum pointing to a spring election?
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
uh Pierre Poyev um um cutting the the figure in the international stage that Mark Carney is at this moment. And if you think that's just theatrics, I think that's foolish. Th th this country needs allies at this moment. We are under threat. And we need to be rethinking our trade alliances and our defensive alliances and everything else. And so international uh you know, as you say, rallying support internationally is a huge part of the Prime Minister's job right now.
Welcome to our regular monk dialogue with Globe Mail journalist Andrew Coyne. Andrew, great to be in conversation with you today. Good to be with you. A lot to talk about, but let's begin with the opening of Parliament. That happened yesterday in Ottawa. Paint us a picture of what you think the two protagonists. I mean, there's more, but let's face it, there's two big protagonists in our parliamentary drama this fall. Mark Carney with a majority government now rushing towards a consequential fall budget. And then Pierre Polyev, you know, facing off against the Kearney juggernaut, uh, fending off growing criticism inside his party, finding real challenges, Andrew, and getting kind of trapped. traction on the issue set.
So let's start with Mr. Carney first. Uh where's he going to take this Parliament uh this autumn? What's your prediction?
Well, he I think he wants to keep the momentum up. Um, you know, he he had a very consequential week. Last week. with, you know, the the um tax cut and the investor summit and going off to Europe. Um and um the momentum is keeping up now with this new bill on uh combination of um labor la law reforms and uh permitting reforms and all trying to generate both the impression and the reality uh of borrowed momentum not just for his government but for the country. Um trying to send the message both at home and abroad. Uh this is very much a country that welcomes investment, uh wants to get things done. Uh, to the extent that there's been a reality and a perception that it's hard to get things done here, uh, that that has really hurt uh investment.
So that's very much um the projection. He's also trying to um keep one eye on both the referendum in Alberta and the election in Quebec and of course the upcoming election.
What is the opening picture of Parliament and the two main protagonists?
in the United States. So it's gonna be very packed. um uh uh political agenda. And I think it's important, both for his sake and for the countries, that there be a sense that this country has its act together, uh, that it's a good place to be a part of, that it's a place that deserves its It's standing in the world and deserves to be uh taken seriously and be treated as a sovereign nation and not as a fifty first state. So all these things kind of fit together. And right now he he's got the wind in the sales. Uh uh he's uh the approval ratings for him personally are astronomical. They're something like seventy percent, I think I last saw. Uh and his party leads the conservatives by fifteen, sixteen points in the polls.
Uh so it's a good time to be uh Mark Carney right now.
Let's talk about uh these two uh two big uh kind of legislative pieces that are following on the investment summit. Uh a labor reform bill and then uh this uh Again, increasing kind of liberalization of the permitting regime around major projects and in this case specifically Pipelines. Um, I guess two thoughts, Andrew, for you to react to. One, boy, uh, Pierre Polyev, I guess, missed his his lunch on Uh on on uh Monday he opened his lunchbox and there are two, you know, long standing conservative policy planks gone. And I guess the second question following out of that, Andrew, is This liberal caucus uh and indeed the cabinet still has a lot of Justin Trudeau's MPs and cabinet ministers uh in this party, people who were up until eighteen to twenty-four months ago, uh very serious uh about the environment, about Canada's responsibility to uh to fight and mitigate uh the effects of climate change.
Had very different views on things like pipelines and generally were Courting labor also in a significant way, right from the very beginning of the the first uh Trudeau government, a an attempt by the Liberal Party to actively displace the NDP as the preferred party of labor.
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Chapters
4 chapters
1
What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
0:02–2:24
2
What is the opening picture of Parliament and the two main protagonists?
2:24–7:28
3
How is Prime Minister Mark Carney trying to keep momentum with labour and permitting reforms?
7:28–17:47
4
Why are the Liberals seeing breakthroughs in Alberta and Saskatchewan?
17:47–31:45
Speakers
2 identifiedMore from The Munk Debates Podcast
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