Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing
Podcast Image

The Opinions

ICE Is Splitting America in Two

24 Jan 2026

Transcription

Chapter 1: What is the vision of executive power under President Trump?

0.031 - 4.918 Unknown

Hey, it's Vaughn Vreeland from New York Times Cooking. Baking season is here.

0

5.739 - 11.588 David French

Almost any cake can be turned into a one-bowl cake. There's nothing better than a freshly baked croissant from my oven.

0

11.748 - 15.354 Unknown

Oh, my God. I could eat five billion of these. That is a brownie.

0

15.654 - 17.837 David French

Don't be afraid. This is so forgiving.

0

17.898 - 41.412 Unknown

These are deluxe cookies. At New York Times Cooking, we've got it all. We've got tips, recipes, videos for whatever you want to bake. So come bake with us at NYTCooking.com. This is The Opinions, a show that brings you a mix of voices from New York Times opinion. You've heard the news. Here's what to make of it.

44.378 - 61.191 Aaron Retica

I'm Aaron Redica, an editor-at-large for New York Times Opinion. I'm here with Emily Bazelon and David French, both of whom teach the occasional class in the law, but they work full-time here as writers for the New York Times on legal and other political subjects. Hi, guys.

61.772 - 62.093 Emily Bazelon

Hey.

62.273 - 62.353

Hey.

62.333 - 67.039 Aaron Retica

Hi, Aaron. So, David, you're in Nashville right now. What's what's doing down there?

Chapter 2: How has Trump's first year reshaped political dynamics?

250.728 - 251.83 Emily Bazelon

David, what do you think about that?

0

252.791 - 262.911 David French

Yeah, so I'm going to go with two fantasy analogies. So Game of Thrones and Lord of the Rings. Okay. Way too on brand here.

0

262.971 - 265.735 Aaron Retica

Two great tastes that taste great together, yes.

0

265.755 - 292.371 David French

So think of January 20th, 2025 as like the coronation at the Red Keep, where you have the king is being crowned and the nobles are gathered there to pay homage to their new liege lord. And so make no mistake, when you had Bezos, when you had these billionaires in the room, they were not there as Trump's peers, correct? They were there as Trump's subjects.

0

292.391 - 311.802 David French

And so that was not necessarily an array of the power structure of the administration. It was sort of a Trump has always been a billionaire with pretenses to be seen as sort of the alpha billionaire. And this is the alpha billionaire showing the other billionaires who was boss. So that's January 20th, 2025.

312.443 - 339.606 David French

But you fast forward to right now, and I would even narrow the circle that Emily had smaller. I would say the real power is Stephen Miller primarily. And this gets to the Lord of the Rings analogy. Grima, Wormtongue, and Theoden, where you had an old- I know, I can't help it. An old decrepit king who is being influenced by a malignant and malicious voice.

339.766 - 360.096 David French

But it's a little bit more complicated than that, obviously. And I would say real power is, of course, Stephen Miller at apex. Vote also. I think Rubio has had a surprising amount of influence, but then there's also this other dynamic that always exists with Trump. He's got Stephen Miller, he's got his advisors, and then he's got the last person he talked to.

360.076 - 391.893 David French

And so it is very well known that Trump is often influenceable in the moment. And then a Stephen Miller will come in and backfill and kind of get Trump back on track in Stephen Miller's track. So I really do see... that one year apart, he was marking who he lorded over on January 20th, 25. And in January 20th, 2026, we are now much more aware of who the real powers are within his kingdom.

391.974 - 396.242 David French

And Stephen Miller is at the top of the advisor pecking order.

Chapter 3: What role do key figures like Stephen Miller play in Trump's administration?

739.963 - 759.409 Aaron Retica

This is just a useful way of thinking about this. There's Ernst Frankl, who was a actual practicing lawyer in Nazi Germany until 1938, like defending dissidents in court, right? But meanwhile, he was secretly writing a book called The Dual State. And David, do you want to pick up from there and just explain what it is and why it's relevant to René Goode?

0

760.57 - 776.07 David French

Yeah, so essentially what he's arguing is that one of the things that aided the rise of the Nazi party was it is not as if the Nazis came into power and then everything changed for everybody, that most Germans were still living under what he calls the normative state.

0

776.11 - 794.638 David French

And that would be the normal life and existence that we all enjoy, where you can start a business, you can enter into a contract, you can go to court and enforce your rights against somebody who's violated your rights. It all is normal. But what he said is that along this normative state that was still existing, there was something he called the prerogative state.

0

794.678 - 814.445 David French

And the prerogative state was the zone of lawlessness. This was the zone of aggression for the state. And so where the state's interests intersected with the normative state, then the prerogative state would take over. And this would impact only a minority of citizens. So for example, you know, Jews in Germany, They were subject to the prerogative state.

0

814.485 - 832.9 David French

This is where the law didn't really protect them, that they were at the mercy and the whim of the government. They were at the mercy and the whim of sort of the shock troops of the Nazi regime. And if we don't want to use Nazi analogies, I think we can actually use an American analogy that works really well, and that would be the Jim Crow South analogy.

832.88 - 845.721 David French

In the Jim Crow South, you had a normative state that was enjoyed by white Southerners. They lived in the land of the free and the home of the brave, and they had free speech rights, and they had free association rights, and they had economic opportunity.

846.242 - 866.196 David French

But then you had a prerogative state that applied to Black Americans in the South, and they lived at the mercy and at the whim of the government or even of just their white neighbors. could end their lives at their will and at their whim. And so this is not something that is unique to Germany.

866.256 - 889.812 David French

This is something that happens when you have rising authoritarianism, is that the authoritarian segment of society acts with impunity And it sustains itself in part by making sure that large numbers of people don't experience that. That so long as they live their normal lives and they don't interfere with the government, they get something that looks very routine.

890.713 - 917.781 David French

And I used to think, how did Jim Crow happen? How does stuff like that happen? And I don't wonder anymore. I don't wonder anymore because as soon as you can allow a large segment of the society to live normal lives, even while you oppress others, it takes a lot to rouse the majority to do anything on behalf of the minority.

Chapter 4: How does Trump's approach to power differ from traditional norms?

1221.931 - 1235.29 Emily Bazelon

And the court did not seem to buy the president's arguments. Right. And so in a lot of ways, like, argument ended and seemed like, okay, well, rule of law still exists in some way, and the president is not actually the king and doesn't have absolute dominion.

0

1236.071 - 1257.601 Emily Bazelon

I have to say, though, that the arguments that the Solicitor General, John Sauer, was making were so out there to me that I was not entirely reassured by the fact that they were going to lose because he was literally asserting— that Trump saying that he planned to fire Lisa Cook on Truth Social, like that was enough.

0

1257.922 - 1280.595 Emily Bazelon

And he could assert any reason that he wanted, and that would count as being for cause, and the courts would have no power to review any of it. That was the position they were taking. And that seemed so extreme to me that hearing it come out of the mouth of the Solicitor General seemed like a problem, even though I don't think the justices are going to accede to it. David, what was your sense?

0

1280.916 - 1282.578 Emily Bazelon

How did you feel coming out of this argument?

0

1283.74 - 1292.032 David French

I thought, now I'm not predicting this, but I will say I would not be remotely surprised if this decision is at 9-0.

1292.332 - 1296.979 Emily Bazelon

Or maybe 8-1. I don't, Clarence Thomas, I couldn't tell. But anyway, go ahead. Sorry.

1297.111 - 1318.308 David French

9-0 in the sense that, no, Trump doesn't have the ability to fire her at will. But it was very clear to me that the Supreme Court, an overwhelming majority of the Supreme Court, had two propositions in their mind. One was, The Fed is different. The Fed isn't like the CFPB. The Fed isn't like the Securities and Exchange Commission or the Federal Trade Commission or the others.

1318.388 - 1341.267 David French

It's just different. And that, number two, because it's different, the president doesn't get to just make it up as he goes along, including by substituting truth social posts for proper notice and opportunity to be heard when you're going to fire somebody who can only be fired for cause. And so I think that that was— I could almost count to eight or nine for that position, leaving aside Thomas.

1341.387 - 1355.563 David French

I agree, Emily, that he was more opaque. But there's another thing that was very interesting, and I don't think enough people have noticed this, The advocate for Lisa Cook was Paul Clement, okay?

Chapter 5: What implications does Trump's desire for Greenland have on international relations?

2073.641 - 2076.646 David French

And that rear guard can either be very effective or somewhat effective.

0

2076.666 - 2077.748 Aaron Retica

As an army of orcs?

0

2078.329 - 2101.791 David French

Yeah, a retreating army of Congress, right? And so you have... And that rear guard can be really good or it can be not so good. But the bottom line is the rear guard isn't going to win the war. And one of the fundamental problems is... Article I, which spells out legislative powers, is Article I for a reason. It is supposed to be whatever term you want, first among equals.

0

2101.871 - 2117.255 David French

It is supposed to be the alpha branch of government. And now it's... You know, it's not the beta branch, it's the last branch. I mean, it is the last, it's the least powerful branch of government. And so the entire system, the entire structure is warped right now.

0

2118.036 - 2143.347 David French

And so until that dynamic is fixed, and it can only ultimately be fixed by the voters, the voters are the only ones who can ultimately fix it. Until that dynamic is fixed, The courts are gonna be a delaying action at best, and then we'll end up fighting ferociously over whether they're delaying Trump more or less, but they can only ultimately delay him. That's all the courts can do.

2143.407 - 2144.468 David French

They cannot save us.

2145.169 - 2174.01 Aaron Retica

Can I just say that if you're from New York City, the idea that you would be wanting, however much you wanted executive power to expand, that you would be depositing it in the bank of Donald Trump, just to keep my metaphor going there, is so preposterous. My mother died right after Obama was inaugurated. And I always think about telling her, guess what? Guess who came next?

2174.05 - 2196.02 Aaron Retica

It would be the most unimaginable thing, right? I think to a lot of people, but certainly to people who were living through the Trump ascendance here. And that these constitutional issues are being... played out through this person in this way, like, while we're living it, it's very hard for us to recognize how completely insane it is, right? But it is actually, in fact, totally nutsville.

2196.661 - 2220.598 Aaron Retica

I want to talk to you guys. You often talk about TV shows that you like when we're doing the online conversations, but I wanted to ask you about lawyers and novels or... long non-fiction books about the law that you think really capture what it's like to be a legal thinker a lawyer a practitioner uh who wants to go first

Chapter 6: How is the rule of law being affected by Trump's policies?

2383.574 - 2396.117 Emily Bazelon

Well, that gives lawyers and courts a lot of power. It reminds me of a nonfiction book that I really love called Devil in the Grove. The subtitle is Thurgood Marshall, The Groveland Boys and the Dawn of a New America.

0

2396.157 - 2398.061 Aaron Retica

So that's a Florida case, right?

0

2398.081 - 2420.668 Emily Bazelon

Yeah. And it's from 1949. So it's like a kind of precursor to the civil rights movement. I was thinking about a character who looms very large for me, different era entirely, Portia from Merchant of Venice, who, you know, deploys all the tactics of clever lawyers to try to change society.

0

2420.648 - 2444.291 Emily Bazelon

what we think of now as the quality of mercy in the courts in her Shakespearean time, somehow that was like a comforting, reassuring sort of trial to go back to. I mean, it's a time, obviously, of deep prejudice without a lot of the safeguards of the rule of law that we think of now, but she was able to achieve a better result by making legal arguments.

0

2444.531 - 2453.49 Emily Bazelon

So maybe I'm trying to be with you in some ways, David, in going back to a kind of touchstone where we can imagine lawyers having a good effect.

2454.736 - 2469.497 Aaron Retica

Okay. Wow. The quality of mercy is not strained. Thank you both so, so much. You know, we're all uneasy, but you made it easy. So thank you very much. Thanks so much, Aaron.

2469.517 - 2470.5 Emily Bazelon

Thanks. Fun.

2482.732 - 2523.152 Unknown

If you like this show, follow it on YouTube, Spotify, or Apple. The Opinions is produced by Derek Arthur, Vishakha Darba, and Jillian Weinberger. It's edited by Kari Pitkin and Alison Bruzek. Mixing by Carol Saburo. Original music by Isaac Jones, Sonia Herrero, Pat McCusker, Carol Saburo, Efim Shapiro, and Amin Sahota. The fact-check team is Kate Sinclair, Mary Marge Locker, and Michelle Harris.

2524.093 - 2533.782 Unknown

The head of operations is Shannon Busta. Audience support by Christina Samuluski. The director of opinion shows is Annie Rose Strasser.

Comments

There are no comments yet.

Please log in to write the first comment.