Will Trump’s Failures Cost the G.O.P. in Texas?

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What are the stakes in the Texas Senate primary?

Unknown 0:01
I'm opening up cross play. I've been playing against Dan, my colleague at the New York Times. Kat's played another move. She played stoop for 36 points. I've got a Z, which is 10 points. I'm guessing tanga is not a word. Let's see. Tanga is a word. Oh. Dan played his last turn.

How did Trump's State of the Union address perform?

Unknown 0:18
Let's see who won. It's so close, but I did win. New York Times game subscribers get full access to Crossplay, our first two-player word game. Subscribe now for a special offer on all of our games. This is The Opinions, a show that brings you a mix of voices from New York Times opinion. You've heard the news. Here's what to make of it.
Michelle Cottle 0:50
I'm Michelle Cottle. I cover national politics for New York Times Opinion. And this week, we've got the band back together. I've got my fabulous colleagues, David French coming to us from Chicago and our man in Charlottesville, Jamel Bowie. Guys, good to see you as always.
Jamel Bouie 1:09
Hey, Michelle. Hey, Michelle. Hey, David.
Michelle Cottle 1:11
All right. Today, we're going to talk about the center of the electoral universe in the coming week, Texas, and the emerging cracks in Trump's coalition. Usual caveat, we are recording this on Thursday, and Trump is set to head to Texas on Friday, ahead of the state's primary elections next week. So, you know, anything goes. But as for the current no-knowns, Trump is hitting the Lone Star Trail to spread his message of economic victory, prosperity.

What challenges does Trump face with his economic messaging?

Michelle Cottle 1:45
Now, of course, this past Tuesday, he had an even bigger platform from which to tout his economic record during the marathon State of the Union. So how did he do on that front?
Jamel Bouie 1:59
I'm sort of astonished that I managed to sit through the whole two hours.
Michelle Cottle 2:04
Hey, good endurance. Very impressive.
Jamel Bouie 2:06
But the things that stuck out to me, I mean, the two big things that stuck out to me, the first was really the level of truly lurid and virulent racism, especially against Somali Americans. I think people have gotten desensitized to this kind of public performance of bigotry, and they shouldn't because it's truly extraordinary. It's not as if all American, past American presidents, or even most American presidents have ever been racial egalitarians, but there is a recognition that public bigotry of that kind was just not acceptable. It's not a thing that was okay because the president is supposed to represent all Americans and at best try to represent all Americans at their highest aspirations.
Jamel Bouie 2:51
And that gets to the second thing that was striking to me about the State of the Union, which is that there are no aspirations here. It's sort of the most base kind of emotions and attitudes and feelings, you know, a crude instinct to dominate others. And that's all that Trump has to offer to the public.
Michelle Cottle 3:09
Okay, so he was supposed to be going in there to focus on the economy and make America feel like he understands their concerns. Now, he started off with a list, a laundry list of all the magical things he feels that he has done for the country, and that included... some plans or moves he's made, although they were creatively spun, like how he has lifted so many people up off of food stamps, by which he means he has slashed the number of people who are receiving food stamps. So... I'm not sure that even in that small chunk of time where he talked about the economy and economic achievements, that it would necessarily resonate with a public that clearly doesn't think that the economic problems have been solved.
Michelle Cottle 4:01
And I just wanted to get your thoughts on that specific part of this, because that's so important to the party in November.
David French 4:10
Yeah, this is a really important point. And I think it's something that You know, both parties really, you know, they're doing what they only thing they can do when voters experiences are sour. So what Trump did is sort of boast about things in a completely false way to say everything's better now, everything's great. But vote, you cannot lie your way out of voters actual experiences. So if voters are experiencing a job crunch, if they're experiencing higher prices and key goods and services that they want, if their interest rates aren't as low as they want, you can talk and boast all you want and it's not going to land.

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