The Power Play: Is Fusion Nearing a Kitty Hawk Moment?

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The Outthinking Investor with Daleep Singh 23 min 3 speakers 8 chapters transcribed 1 month ago
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What is the overall vision for commercial fusion power and the Spark prototype?

Unknown 0:03
Welcome to PGIM's The Outthinking Investor, exploring the forces shaping global markets, past, present, and future. Join Dalip Singh as he talks to economists, policymakers, technologists, and veterans of global financial markets to explore what could happen next and why it matters. Now over to DLEEP.
Daleep Singh 0:28
Good to see you, Bob. Great, great to see you. Thanks for coming out. Thanks for having us here. So I'm looking at Spark. And this is a prototype you've built, and it's on track to become the first commercially produced machine that generates net energy from fusion. That's right. Yes. That's right. You know, what would that milestone mean for science, for the fusion sector, for CFS once you turn it on?
Bob Mumgaard 0:51
Yeah, I think the way to think about it is you break it into pieces, right? Like different time frames. So you know long term, fusion is a hugely disruptive energy source. And I'm sure we'll talk more about that. But that is huge amount of promise. Medium term, we have to get the first generation of fusion power plants built. This is not a plant, but it's the step right before that. And the fact that that step, which is sort of sort of the last step you need to really have confidence in how a fusion power plant works, what are all the parts, how do you put it together, that step is happening right now here. And so this facility, this facility is really the only one like it in the world, and it's taking all the science that's happened in fusion from
Bob Mumgaard 1:29
long time, summing it up with a supply chain and with the ability to build at scale, and then putting that into a prototype machine. And that's what you're seeing here is Spark. The actual machine itself that at the heart of it creates the fusion reactions. And we're standing in a room that's in the middle of a plant, a full facility that has all the the things that make this machine operate.
Daleep Singh 1:49
Yes. Okay. So Spark is the prototype and what follows Spark is what you call Arc, which would be the world's first commercial scale fusion power plant, outside of Richmond on the James River, right? And that's right.

How does Spark serve as the stepping‑stone to the ARC commercial plant?

Daleep Singh 2:03
You're targeting the early twenty thirties?
Bob Mumgaard 2:05
That's right. So like you can think of the company, Commonwealth Fusion Systems. You know, we're the largest of the fusion companies in the world. We're one of the best capitalized next generation energy companies. And what we've been doing over the last eight years since we were founded is to take this science and advance it towards that goal of large scale mini, mini fusion power plants. And we're pretty much on the right track on that. We've got this machine about 80% complete. We're with the least complete part of the whole facility. And when this turns on, it'll it'll give us a bunch of the last pieces of data that we want to see before we really go and go full speed on the commercial plants. As you mentioned, the first commercial plant, that one's going to be built in just outside of Richmond, Virginia.
Bob Mumgaard 2:46
It's called the Faw Line Fusion Power Station. That's already through permitting. Still a couple things to do on connecting it to the grid, et cetera, but we're super excited because we can see the trajectory that we've laid out from the beginning actually happening of the technology, the science, the demonstration, the first commercial plants, and then there more plants.
Daleep Singh 3:04
Is it is it too simplistic to think about Spark is solving or proving you can solve the science risk, the science challenge? And arc would be proving you can solve the engineering challenge, or is that
Bob Mumgaard 3:16
It's a little bit um misaligned with that, what's actually happening. So the science we know really well. We've we've done the science in fusion for a long time. That in fact, a couple of years ago, a large facility owned by the US government called NIF in California showed that you could get more power out than in of the fusion reaction itself. So the science here is well understood. This is really an engineering project of taking that science and putting it at scale. And then the commercial plant, arc, you know, that's really an economic indicator.

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