December 23rd, 2025: China Crosses Nuclear Red Line & Ukraine Strikes Deep Inside Russia
episodePreviously titled “December 23rd, 2025:” — renamed by the publisher on Aug 3, 2026
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It's Tuesday, the 23rd of December. Look at that. You've got, let me see if my math is correct, two more shopping days until Christmas. Welcome to the President's Daily Brief. I'm Mike Baker, your eyes and ears on the world stage. All right, let's get briefed. First up, alarming new intelligence from the Pentagon. Is there any other kind? China is rapidly filling missile silos with intercontinental ballistic missiles, signaling a nuclear buildup moving faster than anyone expected. Happy holidays. Later in the show, Ukraine continues to take the fight deep inside Russia, striking energy infrastructure, aircraft and naval targets in a coordinated wave of attacks. Plus, despite happy talk out of Washington following talks with Russia in Miami, the Kremlin says no progress has been made as negotiations fail to move the needle.
But don't worry. U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff says Putin is fully committed to achieving peace in Ukraine. And in today's Back of the Brief, the fighting drags into a third week as Cambodia and Thailand agree to new talks aimed at reviving a ceasefire previously brokered by the Trump administration. But first, today's BDB Spotlight. New intelligence from the Pentagon suggests China may have quietly crossed a major nuclear threshold. According to a draft Defense Department report obtained by Reuters, Beijing has likely loaded more than 100 intercontinental ballistic missiles into newly constructed silo fields, marking a significant escalation in China's nuclear posture. These silo fields were already known to U.S.
intelligence. What's new, and obviously far more concerning, is the assessment that the missiles are now operationally loaded. That distinction, of course, is important. Building silos is one thing, loading them with solid-fueled ICBMs is another entirely. The report says the missiles involved are likely DF-31 intercontinental ballistic missiles deployed across three silo fields near China's northern border with Mongolia. Solid-fueled missiles can be launched far more quickly than older liquid-fueled systems, reducing warning time and increasing survivability. In plain terms, this shifts China's nuclear force from potential to ready. The Pentagon had previously disclosed the existence of these silo fields, but not the number of missiles and not their status.
This new assessment suggests Beijing is no longer preparing for some distant future. It's building a force designed to operate now. The same Pentagon report states flatly that Beijing shows no appetite for arms control talks, even as President Trump has said he wants to pursue denuclearization discussions with both China and Russia. U.S. officials say they've seen no indication that Beijing is willing to engage in meaningful negotiations, bilateral or otherwise. In less than two months, the New START treaty – that's the last remaining nuclear arms control agreement between the U.S. and Russia – is set to expire. Once it does, there will be no formal limits on deployed strategic nuclear weapons among the world's three largest nuclear powers.
Happy holidays. No caps, no inspections, no guardrails. The Pentagon estimates China's nuclear warhead stockpile was still in the low 600s as of last year, but it's on track to exceed 1,000 warheads by 2030. That would represent the fastest nuclear expansion by any nuclear-armed state in modern history. And, of course, prior to modern history, there were no nuclear-armed states. So, admittedly, that was an odd statement. Beijing insists it adheres to a no-first-use policy. Well, that's good, and claims its nuclear strategy is purely defensive. But actions tend to speak, well, louder than doctrine.
What insights does the Pentagon provide about China's missile capabilities?
And the scale and speed of this buildup suggests something far more ambitious than deterrence.
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