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Aussie Real Estate Podcast

Let’s Look At Numbers

13 Jun 2022

Transcription

Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

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It's the Real Estate Podcast, brought to you by Ray White, the largest real estate and property group in Australasia. And welcome to another episode of the Real Estate Podcast, available on iHeartRadio and also Spotify and Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts from. And welcome to your Tuesday, June the 14th for 2022.

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Coming up in just a moment, we've got that second part of the PropTrack Report with economist Angus Moore. And yes, we're looking at the May numbers around the country. Also looking at New Zealand's time tunnel of looking into the future of what might happen here in Australia. In New Zealand, the slowdown in the property market is seeing fewer homes go under the hammer.

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Figures from realestate.co.nz show auction listings had fallen by more than a third than a year ago, while listings with displayed prices had jumped by close to a quarter. Recent reports from CoreLogic and Quotable Values have shown that house prices are coming under pressure from rising interest rates, tighter lending criteria,

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and a shift in buying behaviour from fear of missing out to fear of overpaying. And there were 77% more properties on the market in May this year in New Zealand compared with last. And the higher premium properties there were also coming off the boil as the downturn takes hold with local investment bank Jardines forecasting that that the average house price would fall 18% by the end of 2023.

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So that is coming out of New Zealand this morning, remembering that they are ahead of time with what is happening here in Australia. It's the main centre forecast with propertybuyer.com.au. And let's have a look at your weather around Australia on this Tuesday morning. First we go to Sydney, expecting a mainly fine Monday, a high of 15 degrees. In Melbourne, some good news.

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You're up 1 to 14 degrees today, mainly dry and cloudy skies. So the rain has disappeared, fingers crossed, for today. Brisbane, a possible shower, which means probably long dry periods and a high of 21 degrees. And in Perth, make sure you grab the raincoat and the brolly, expecting showers again today and your high of 19 degrees. Informing you on real estate.

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Wake up every morning to the Real Estate Podcast. I see in Melbourne on this day, way, way back in 1964, drummer Ringo Starr reunites with the Beatles on stage after recovering from tonsillitis.

Chapter 2: What is the PropTrack report revealing about the housing market?

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Also on this day in 2002, I don't remember this happening, a large asteroid just misses hitting Earth. A 73-metre asteroid was three times closer to Earth than the Moon was, and it was first discovered three days after its closest approach. Probably all over if that makes contact. We won't be sitting around talking about real estate then, will we?

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And if you're celebrating a birthday today, well, boy George from Culture Club is celebrating his birthday. Come a chameleon. Who can forget that song? He is turning 61 years old. Across every state, city and town of Australia, The Real Estate Podcast. And let's continue with PropTrack. They released this report for May, which is very comprehensive.

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Yesterday, we were talking to PropTrack economist Angus Moore to break down some of the numbers, and he is back again. Good morning, Angus. Good morning. Thanks for having me again. No worries. And I think we're up to Queensland to have a look at some of the listings in Brisbane, which were up 5.8% month on month after a quieter April.

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So what are the numbers, Angus, from your report for Queensland?

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255.518 - 268.738 Angus Moore

Brisbane has been one of the most interesting, and South East Queensland broadly, but one of the most interesting property markets for the past couple of years because we've seen just red hot demand for people moving up from Sydney and Melbourne in particular to South East Queensland.

Chapter 3: How are property listings changing in New Zealand?

268.779 - 285.586 Angus Moore

And what that's meant is there's been strong demand and relatively little supply available because when it comes up, it's getting kind of snapped up. And we're starting to see a bit more coming to market. So as you said, we saw more new listings in Brisbane in May than we did in April. In part, that's because April was quiet with the public holidays.

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285.646 - 305.108 Angus Moore

But even compared to last year, the number of new listings in Brisbane was up 8%, 8.5% compared to the same time in 2021. So that's going to start being good news for buyers. You know, they are starting to see a bit more stock coming to market. But even so, the number of properties listed, number of active properties listed, is still below even where it was a year ago.

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305.168 - 317.352 Angus Moore

It's down sort of 12% in Brisbane compared to where it was a year ago, which is showing just how quickly stuff's getting picked up. And even with those new listings, it's kind of not enough to boost the stock of properties available to buyers.

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And Adelaide's housing market bounced back from a quiet April as well with new listings surging 18.5% month on month. Were you surprised by that surge and what else with the numbers in South Australia were happening?

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333.937 - 349.581 Angus Moore

Yeah. So I said Brisbane was one of the most interesting, I think. And I'm a little parochial here because I grew up in Adelaide. I think Adelaide's one of the most interesting this year. So prices in Adelaide are actually still continuing to grow. They're up 0.6% in May. And that's against prices nationally falling by 0.1%.

350.062 - 371.285 Angus Moore

So Adelaide is really outperforming the rest of the nation at the moment. We did see a lot of new stock come to market in Adelaide in May. So we saw 18% more new listings than we did in April. Again, partly that's public holidays in April. But even when we look compared to the same time last year in Adelaide, listings are up more than 13%. So that's helping give buyers a bit more choice.

371.326 - 382.877 Angus Moore

And we'll start to call some of the competition in the market. But much like in Brisbane, the total stock available in Adelaide is well down compared to pre-pandemic. And it is pretty competitive for buyers.

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let's have a look at the Perth housing market because once again it is rebounded from a quieter April with new listings surging 14.5% month on month and it was the busiest first quarter I noted for new listings since 2015. So tell us a little bit more about the story behind Perth's surge.

406.972 - 425.2 Angus Moore

Yeah, we've certainly seen a busy start to the year in Perth, as we have in other capital cities. But Perth has been quite busy. So the first quarter was very busy. April was a little quieter, as it was kind of right around the country with the public holidays. But again, surging through in May, keeping that pace of activity reasonably strong. And if we're looking at

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