The Great Mortgage Divide

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Aussie Real Estate Podcast 8 min 2 speakers 8 chapters transcribed 2 months ago
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

Craig (Host) 0:02
It's The Real Estate Podcast, brought to you by Ray White, the largest real estate and property group in Australasia. And welcome to another episode of The Real Estate Podcast. We're talking with Avi Kahn from Ray White AKG in Brisbane and Sydney. Hey, welcome to The Real Estate Podcast, Avi. Thank you for having me. And we're going to be looking at mortgages in the market at this time.

How are mortgages and buyer behavior changing in Feb–Mar 2022?

Craig (Host) 0:27
And if you're looking for one, what does that look like in February 2022? RV, already next month is March. We are well underway into this year. And people, it seems, have not even caught their breath when it comes to a mortgage. Of course, during COVID, there's been a lot of people getting into investment second, third and fourth properties. But there is always this big difference between a first home buyer and the investment property buyer and the mortgage loans and how they look in both equity borrowing from an existing property versus a wage performance borrowing from a first home mortgage seeker. So what have you been seeing between the two?

Why did COVID create a ‘perfect storm’ of first-home buyers and investors?

Craig (Host) 1:09
Is there a widening of the gap?
Avi Kahn 1:13
I think when we look at what COVID's done to the market, initially we had a lot of predictions that everything's going to go down, the house prices will go down, people are going to lose their jobs. So we came into the COVID period, all these predictions that everything's going to be doom and gloom out there. But what we've seen transpired has been totally opposite. And at the moment in the market, probably for the last six months, we've seen a perfect storm of buyers being first home owners coming into the market and investors coming into the market as well. And that's had a really strong upward influence on prices. So we've seen different things happening with first home buyers and investors. So with the prices going up and the value of homes going up, second and third time investors are tapping into their equity a lot at the moment and buying those homes from their current place of residence.
Avi Kahn 2:01
So it's really becoming really difficult for first home buyers to compete with those investors coming into the market because they have the borrowing capacity to go in They're buying under the auction conditions and very strong plays from them over the last six months.

How are investors using equity to outcompete first-home buyers?

Avi Kahn 2:15
So we've seen a lot of different things happening in the market. As a result, first-time buyers have been shifted into different areas where they haven't been looking before. They're trying to buy townhouses and units, which were very deflated in the last two, three years. We've seen a lot of concentration, a lot of demand for new homes. We've seen a lot of demand for land. So the competition between those two groups is causing a lot of different things to happen in the marketplace at the moment.
Craig (Host) 2:40
And are you a little bit surprised about just picking up on that point about townhouses and apartments? I guess, especially in Brisbane, because there's a lot of townhouses and apartments that weren't really elevating in price over a period of time. But when COVID hit, as you rightly say, suddenly there's this volume just coming into those two areas.
Avi Kahn 3:02
Yeah, look, we had an oversupply of apartments and units probably about 18 months ago. With the advent of COVID, these things have been in hot demand, and now there's very little stock of them, so the prices are going up. And countering with that is that the cost of build has gone up as well. So there's things that take six months to build are taking 12 months to build. There's lack of materials. So the existing stock has been very, very much in hot demand with buyers, and that's why the townhouse and units market is absolutely soaring at the moment. When sometimes it's two, three days and things are sold, whereas these things will take 60 to 90 days to sell, maybe 18 months ago.

Why have townhouses and apartments suddenly surged in demand?

Avi Kahn 3:38
So townhouse units have been a real winner in this whole COVID up and surge of the market.
Craig (Host) 3:43
And are you a little bit concerned, maybe? I don't know if concerned is the right word, but... There seems to be a lot of people that are very much gearing into those second, third, fourth, fifth, sixth investment properties.

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